Varzim vs Fafe: match statistics
Varzim vs Fafe: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Varzim played Fafe in Liga 3 (Portugal). The match was played on 8 November 2026. Venue: Estádio do Varzim Sport Club. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Varzim: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match. Fafe: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Varzim scores 1.38 and concedes 1.63 goals per match. Fafe scores 1.63 and concedes 0.88. League average: 2.55 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Varzim 63%, Fafe 63%. Over 2.5: Varzim 63%, Fafe 63%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Fafe has higher xG: 1.48 vs 1.25. Varzim: 8.5 shots per match, Fafe: 10.4.
Match halves
Varzim: half-time lead 63%, second-half goals 0.38. Fafe: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Varzim: 0-15 (3 goals). Fafe: 46-60 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga 3: 2.55 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Fafe sit 3rd in the table, while Varzim are 8th, with the hosts having lost all of their last 5 matches and conceded 12 goals in the process. Over the same period, the visitors have picked up 8 points and conceded just 4 goals, pointing to considerably more consistent form. Away from home, Fafe score an average of 1.75 goals and concede 0.75, while Varzim score 1.25 goals and concede 2.00 at home. The visitors’ edge in chance creation is reflected in their average away xG of 1.36, compared with the hosts’ 1.03 at home; Fafe also average 5 shots on target, while Varzim average 2.5. A draw remains possible, but Fafe’s 50% away win rate, compared with Varzim’s 75% home loss rate, points to an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams scored in 75% of Varzim’s matches this season and 80% of their last five, largely because they conceded an average of 2.4 goals over that recent run. Fafe have averaged 1.8 goals recently, giving them a strong basis to exploit the hosts’ defensive weakness. Varzim’s chances of scoring are supported by an average xG of 1.60 and 5.25 shots on target per match. However, BTTS - Yes is not a clear pick: Fafe kept a clean sheet in 50% of their matches, and both teams scored in only 40% of their last five games.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals: this line has been surpassed in 75% of the teams’ matches to date. Varzim have conceded an average of 2.4 goals across their last five matches, while Fafe have scored 1.8 goals per game over the same period, increasing the likelihood of at least two goals. The hosts average 1.5 goals scored per game this season, with an xG of 1.60, so they could add a goal despite their poor form. The Over 2.5 goals line is less reliable: although it has landed in 80% of Varzim’s last five matches and 60% of Fafe’s matches, the visitors have conceded just 0.75 goals per game this season. Therefore, the 2.85-goal forecast gives Over 1.5 a clearer edge than the higher lines.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Fafe have won 2 of their last 5 matches and lost 1, while Varzim have suffered 5 defeats, conceding an average of 2.4 goals per match compared with the 0.8 conceded by the visitors. Fafe led at the break in 2 of the 4 matches covered by the season statistics, while Varzim were trailing at half-time in 1 of 4; across their last five matches, both teams recorded these situations in 40% of cases, respectively. The visitors have recently conceded an average of just 0.2 goals before half-time, increasing the likelihood that they will hold on to any early lead. After the break, Fafe scored an average of 1.0 goals in their last five matches, while Varzim conceded 1.8, making a Varzim half-time lead followed by a full-time win the strongest single HT/FT scenario. However, Varzim’s higher xG of 1.60 compared with Fafe’s 1.36 calls for caution and leaves a significant chance of a draw at half-time followed by an away win.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Varzim | Fafe | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 50% | 49% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Fafe is 18% better for: goals scored per match.
1.38 goals / match - Varzim · 1.63 goals / match - Fafe
Fafe is 85% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.63 goals / match - Varzim · 0.88 goals / match - Fafe
Varzim scores in 75% of matches (6 of 8 matches), while Fafe keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 matches).
Fafe scores in 75% of matches (6 of 8 matches), while Varzim keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Varzim
Over / Under - Fafe
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Varzim is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / match - Varzim · 1.5 pts / match - Fafe
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Varzim - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 63% of matches and wins 38%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Fafe - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Varzim
Fafe
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 3).
Teams vs league
| Varzim | Liga | Fafe | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.00 | 2.55 | • 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 51% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 51% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 30% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 88% | 67% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | • 75% | 74% | ▼ 63% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Varzim 0 - 1 - 1 Fafe. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Varzim vs Fafe?
The Liga 3 match finished Varzim 2:0 Fafe. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Varzim and Fafe?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Varzim won 0, Fafe won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Varzim vs Fafe?
Varzim score 1.38 goals per game on average and Fafe 1.63. The Liga 3 average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Varzim's matches and 63% of Fafe's.
What form are Varzim and Fafe in?
Over the last 5 games Varzim have a 0-0-5 record (0.00 points per game) and Fafe 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Varzim vs Fafe?
The statistical background for Varzim vs Fafe — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.