Varzim vs Vitória Guimarães II: match statistics
Varzim vs Vitória Guimarães II: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Varzim play Vitória Guimarães II in Liga 3 (Portugal). The match date is 25 April 2026 at 17:30. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Varzim: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Vitória Guimarães II: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Varzim scores 1.22 and concedes 1.13 goals per match. Vitória Guimarães II scores 1.13 and concedes 1.03. League average: 2.23 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Varzim 47%, Vitória Guimarães II 50%. Over 2.5: Varzim 44%, Vitória Guimarães II 41%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 40%.
xG, shots and style
Vitória Guimarães II has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.28. Varzim: 9.8 shots per match, Vitória Guimarães II: 10.8.
Match halves
Varzim: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.63. Vitória Guimarães II: half-time lead 34%, second-half goals 0.63.
Goals by minute
Varzim: 76-90+ (12 goals). Vitória Guimarães II: 31-45+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga 3: 2.23 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 40%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 1-1-1. Average goals 2.67, BTTS 67%.
Match description
I back the home win (Varzim). At home Varzim averages 12.29 shots per match and 4.71 shots on target, scoring 1.43 goals with an average xG of 1.50, while Vitória Guimarães II on the road averages 7.71 shots with 3.00 on target and scores 1.00 goal with xG 1.10. This advantage in shot volume and xG converts into a stronger home record: Varzim has a +9 goal difference and 50% home wins, whereas the visitors have +4 on the road and 43% wins. Defensively both teams are similar — Varzim concedes 0.79 goals at home with opposing xG 1.16, and Vitória concedes 0.71 away with opposing xG 1.25, the visitors registering slightly more clean sheets (43% vs 36%). In the last 5 matches both sides scored 4 goals, but Varzim averaged 1.2 points per game (2 wins in 5) and Vitória 1.0 point (1 win and 2 draws); therefore I estimate probabilities of 55% for the home team, 25% for a draw and 20% for the visitors.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Varzim | Vitória Guimarães II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Varzim is 67% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Varzim · 0.6 pts / match - Vitória Guimarães II
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Varzim is 8% better for: goals scored per match.
1.22 goals / match - Varzim · 1.13 goals / match - Vitória Guimarães II
Vitória Guimarães II is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.13 goals / match - Varzim · 1.03 goals / match - Vitória Guimarães II
Varzim scores in 66% of matches (21 of 32 matches), while Vitória Guimarães II keeps a clean sheet in 41% (13 of 32 matches).
Vitória Guimarães II scores in 78% of matches (25 of 32 matches), while Varzim keeps a clean sheet in 25% (8 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Varzim
Over / Under — Vitória Guimarães II
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Vitória Guimarães II is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.25 pts / match - Varzim · 1.41 pts / match - Vitória Guimarães II
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Varzim - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Vitória Guimarães II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 34% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -5 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Varzim
Vitória Guimarães II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 3).
Teams vs league
| Varzim | Liga | Vitória Guimarães II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.34 | 2.23 | • 2.16 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 49% | • 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 44% | 40% | • 41% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 31% | ▲ 41% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 69% | 66% | ▲ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 78% | 74% | ▲ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Varzim 1 - 1 - 1 Vitória Guimarães II. Average goals 2.67, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Varzim vs Vitória Guimarães II?
The Liga 3 match finished Varzim 2:2 Vitória Guimarães II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Varzim and Vitória Guimarães II?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Varzim won 1, Vitória Guimarães II won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Varzim vs Vitória Guimarães II?
Varzim score 1.22 goals per game on average and Vitória Guimarães II 1.13. The Liga 3 average is 2.23 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 40% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Varzim's matches and 50% of Vitória Guimarães II's.
What form are Varzim and Vitória Guimarães II in?
Over the last 5 games Varzim have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Vitória Guimarães II 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Varzim vs Vitória Guimarães II?
The statistical background for Varzim vs Vitória Guimarães II — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.