Vélez Sarsfield vs Estudiantes: match statistics
Vélez Sarsfield vs Estudiantes: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Vélez Sarsfield played Estudiantes in Primera División (Argentina). The match was played on 6 September 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Vélez Sarsfield: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Estudiantes: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Vélez Sarsfield scores 1.06 and concedes 0.76 goals per match. Estudiantes scores 1.12 and concedes 0.47. League average: 2.08 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Vélez Sarsfield 47%, Estudiantes 24%. Over 2.5: Vélez Sarsfield 24%, Estudiantes 24%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
Estudiantes has higher xG: 1.57 vs 1.48. Vélez Sarsfield: 12.7 shots per match, Estudiantes: 13.3.
Match halves
Vélez Sarsfield: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.59. Estudiantes: half-time lead 6%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Vélez Sarsfield: 0-15 (6 goals). Estudiantes: 46-60 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.08 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Vélez Sarsfield have a clearly stronger home profile: they win 50% of their matches at home, score an average of 1.00 goals and concede just 0.67, while Estudiantes average 0.73 goals per away game. The hosts also create more chances, averaging 13.42 shots, 4.50 shots on target and an xG of 1.59, compared with 11.82 shots, 4.18 on target and an xG of 1.37 for the visitors. Estudiantes are in better current form, having won 3 of their last 5 matches and conceded only 3 goals in that run, but they failed to score in as many as 55% of their away fixtures. Vélez have lost just 17% of their home games, while 42% ended with a clean sheet, which should limit the strengths of the in-form visitors. However, Vélez’s last 5 matches produced as many as 4 draws, so a narrow home win is the most likely outcome, with a significant risk of the points being shared.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal BTTS figures are exceptionally low: 15% for Vélez and 18% for Estudiantes, compared with a league average of 44%. Vélez keep a clean sheet in 54% of matches, while Estudiantes do so in 45%, significantly increasing the likelihood that at least one team fails to score. The visitors score just 0.73 goals per away game with a 6% shot conversion rate, while the hosts concede only 0.54 goals at home. Estudiantes are enjoying a strong recent run, scoring 2.0 goals per match, but they have conceded just 0.6 goals, and their BTTS rate across their last five appearances is only 20%. Vélez’s recent form, with BTTS at 80%, increases the risk of both teams scoring, but the stronger seasonal and defensive data support a BTTS - No scenario.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The season profile clearly favors a low-scoring outcome: Estudiantes have recorded matches with Under 2.5 goals in 91% of cases and Under 3.5 goals in 100%, while Vélez’s figures stand at 62% and 85%, respectively. The hosts concede just 0.54 goals per match at home, whereas the visitors score only 0.73 goals per away game, significantly limiting their attacking projection. Vélez average 1.38 goals scored, but Estudiantes are also defensively solid, allowing opponents just 0.73 goals per match. Even after the visitors’ recent improvement, during which they scored 10 goals in five matches, their defense conceded only 3 goals, while the projected total remains at 1.94 goals. The strongest option is Under 3.5 goals, as both teams very rarely feature in matches with four or more goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal points to a draw both at half-time and at full-time: Vélez were level at the break in 69% of their matches, compared with 45% for Estudiantes. The hosts concede just 0.08 goals per match before half-time and kept a clean sheet at that stage in 92% of their appearances, while the visitors have failed to score in any first half. The match should remain evenly balanced after the break as well, since Estudiantes concede an average of only 0.73 goals away from home, while both teams have high clean-sheet rates: 54% for Vélez and 45% for Estudiantes. The hosts’ overall season advantage is reflected in their average of 1.38 goals scored compared with 0.73 for the visitors, but Estudiantes’ recent form is stronger — averaging 2.0 points and 2.0 goals per match across their last five appearances — increasing the likelihood of the draw being maintained.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Vélez Sarsfield | Estudiantes | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Estudiantes is 67% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Vélez Sarsfield · 2 pts / match - Estudiantes
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Estudiantes is 6% better for: goals scored per match.
1.06 goals / match - Vélez Sarsfield · 1.12 goals / match - Estudiantes
Estudiantes is 62% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.76 goals / match - Vélez Sarsfield · 0.47 goals / match - Estudiantes
Vélez Sarsfield scores in 76% of matches (13 of 17 matches), while Estudiantes keeps a clean sheet in 53% (9 of 17 matches).
Estudiantes scores in 59% of matches (10 of 17 matches), while Vélez Sarsfield keeps a clean sheet in 41% (7 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Vélez Sarsfield
Over / Under - Estudiantes
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Vélez Sarsfield is 53% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.35 pts / match - Vélez Sarsfield · 0.88 pts / match - Estudiantes
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Vélez Sarsfield - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Estudiantes - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 6% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Vélez Sarsfield
Estudiantes
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Vélez Sarsfield | Liga | Estudiantes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.82 | 2.08 | ▼ 1.59 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 47% | 45% | ▼ 24% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 24% | 34% | ▼ 24% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 41% | 34% | ▲ 53% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 59% | 61% | ▼ 29% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 65% | 71% | ▲ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Vélez Sarsfield 2 - 0 - 0 Estudiantes. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Vélez Sarsfield vs Estudiantes?
The Primera División match finished Vélez Sarsfield 1:0 Estudiantes. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Vélez Sarsfield and Estudiantes?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Vélez Sarsfield won 2, Estudiantes won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Vélez Sarsfield vs Estudiantes?
Vélez Sarsfield score 1.06 goals per game on average and Estudiantes 1.12. The Primera División average is 2.08 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Vélez Sarsfield's matches and 24% of Estudiantes's.
What form are Vélez Sarsfield and Estudiantes in?
Over the last 5 games Vélez Sarsfield have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Estudiantes 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Vélez Sarsfield vs Estudiantes?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.