Bosnia & Herzegovina - Premier League of BosniaStadion VrapčićiData current as of 07 September 2026

Velež vs Sarajevo: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Velež vs Sarajevo: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Velež play Sarajevo in Premier League of Bosnia (Bosnia & Herzegovina). The match date is 12 September 2026. Venue: Stadion Vrapčići.

Current form

Velež: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Sarajevo: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Velež scores 0.83 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Sarajevo scores 0.80 and concedes 0.40. League average: 2.46 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Velež 50%, Sarajevo 20%. Over 2.5: Velež 50%, Sarajevo 20%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 50%.

xG, shots and style

Sarajevo has higher xG: 1.43 vs 1.34. Velež: 11.2 shots per match, Sarajevo: 11.8.

Match halves

Velež: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.67. Sarajevo: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.60.

Goals by minute

Velež: 76-90+ (3 goals). Sarajevo: 76-90+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Premier League of Bosnia: 2.46 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 50%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-3. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 25%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.83Goals scored / match0.8
VeležSarajevo
2Goals conceded / match0.4
VeležSarajevo
42%Average possession57%
VeležSarajevo
3.67Shots on target / match3.4
VeležSarajevo

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.17Shots per match11.8
VeležSarajevo
3.67Shots on target3.4
VeležSarajevo
7.5%Shot conversion6.8%
VeležSarajevo
42%Possession57%
VeležSarajevo
1.34xG for1.43
VeležSarajevo
1.29xG against1.1
VeležSarajevo

Shooting quality

Velež: BalancedSarajevo: Balanced
VeležSarajevo
Accuracy (shots on target)33%29%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.230.24

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Sarajevo is 150% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / match - Velež · 2 pts / match - Sarajevo

Velež
LWLDL
Season result split
17% W17% R67% P
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-4
0.67 pts / match · goal difference -7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-1-0
Last 5 at home
1-1-0
WD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.31Opponent xG: 1.17BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Sarajevo
DWLWW
Season result split
60% W20% R20% P
Season (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-0
Last 5 away
1-0-0
W
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.43Opponent xG: 1.10BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Sarajevo is 400% better for: goals conceded per match.

2 goals / match - Velež · 0.4 goals / match - Sarajevo

Velež scoring profile: mixed

Velež scores in 67% of matches (4 of 6 matches), while Sarajevo keeps a clean sheet in 60% (3 of 5 matches).

Sarajevo scoring profile: strong

Sarajevo scores in 60% of matches (3 of 5 matches), while Velež keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 matches).

5Goals scored (season)4
VeležSarajevo
12Goals conceded (season)2
VeležSarajevo
2.83Average goals in match1.2
VeležSarajevo
4Goals scored (last 5)4
VeležSarajevo
9Goals conceded (last 5)2
VeležSarajevo

How often they score at least...

67%1 goal60%
VeležSarajevo
17%2 goals20%
VeležSarajevo
0%3 goals0%
VeležSarajevo
0%4 goals0%
VeležSarajevo

How often they concede at least...

83%1 goal40%
VeležSarajevo
67%2 goals0%
VeležSarajevo
50%3 goals0%
VeležSarajevo
0%4 goals0%
VeležSarajevo

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time0%
VeležSarajevo
0%BTTS in both halves0%
VeležSarajevo
17%Scored in both halves0%
VeležSarajevo

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS20%
VeležSarajevo
17%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
VeležSarajevo
40%BTTS - last 520%
VeležSarajevo

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

83%Min. 1 goal before half-time20%
VeležSarajevo
50%Min. 2 goals before half-time0%
VeležSarajevo
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
VeležSarajevo

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time60%
VeležSarajevo
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time20%
VeležSarajevo
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time20%
VeležSarajevo

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Sarajevo is 109% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.67 pts / match - Velež · 1.4 pts / match - Sarajevo

Velež - half-time state
17% leading17% draw67% trailing
Sarajevo - half-time state
20% leading80% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.67Points per match (1st half)1.4
VeležSarajevo
0.17Goals scored (1st half)0.2
VeležSarajevo
1.17Goals conceded (1st half)0
VeležSarajevo
1.33Average goals (1st half)0.2
VeležSarajevo
33%Clean sheet before half-time100%
VeležSarajevo
83%No goal before half-time80%
VeležSarajevo

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per match (2nd half)1.6
VeležSarajevo
0.67Goals scored (2nd half)0.6
VeležSarajevo
0.83Goals conceded (2nd half)0.4
VeležSarajevo
1.5Average goals (2nd half)1
VeležSarajevo
17%Clean sheet after half-time60%
VeležSarajevo
33%No goal after half-time60%
VeležSarajevo

Velež - second-half results

17% W50% R33% P
4
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.67
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Sarajevo - second-half results

40% W40% R20% P
7
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
8
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.40
PPG before half-time
Lead holding300%

Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Velež - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.00
Goals scored / match0.20.6
Goals conceded / match1.00.8
Average goals in match1.21.4
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-4-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Sarajevo - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.60
Goals scored / match0.20.6
Goals conceded / match0.00.4
Average goals in match0.21.0
1 goal20%60%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet100%60%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference+1+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Velež
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
0
3
16-30
0
3
31-45
1
0
46-60
0
3
61-75
3
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Sarajevo
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
0
16-30
1
0
31-45
1
0
46-60
0
1
61-75
2
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.01
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.6 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
82%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
35%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-1%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
40%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
13%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Velež

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.05
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.22
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.51
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.71
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
54%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
215%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.13
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
60% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
60%

Sarajevo

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.33
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.07
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.63
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.70
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
86%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
26%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
50% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
50%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League of Bosnia).

Teams vs league

VeležLigaSarajevo
Average goals in match 2.832.46 1.20
Both teams scored 50%54% 20%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 50%50% 20%
Clean sheets 17%29% 60%
Goal before half-time 83%64% 20%
Goal after half-time 100%79% 60%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.46
Average goals per match
54%
Both teams scored
50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.54
Home goals / match
0.93
Away goals / match
+66%
Home attack advantage
+40%
Home defence advantage
+36%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
64%
1 goal
25%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
21%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (4): Velež 0 - 1 - 3 Sarajevo. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 25% matches.

FAQ

When do Velež and Sarajevo play?

Velež face Sarajevo on 12 September 2026 in Premier League of Bosnia at Stadion Vrapčići. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Velež and Sarajevo?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches Velež won 0, Sarajevo won 3 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Velež vs Sarajevo?

Velež score 0.83 goals per game on average and Sarajevo 0.80. The Premier League of Bosnia average is 2.46 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Velež's matches and 20% of Sarajevo's.

What form are Velež and Sarajevo in?

Over the last 5 games Velež have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Sarajevo 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Velež vs Sarajevo?

The statistical background for Velež vs Sarajevo — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.