Velež vs Široki Brijeg: match statistics
Velež vs Široki Brijeg: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Velež played Široki Brijeg in Premier League of Bosnia (Bosnia & Herzegovina). The match was played on 10 October 2026. Venue: Stadion Vrapčići. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Velež: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Široki Brijeg: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Velež scores 0.75 and concedes 1.75 goals per match. Široki Brijeg scores 1.25 and concedes 1.38. League average: 2.60 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Velež 38%, Široki Brijeg 88%. Over 2.5: Velež 38%, Široki Brijeg 63%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 45%.
xG, shots and style
Široki Brijeg has higher xG: 1.30 vs 1.24. Velež: 10.6 shots per match, Široki Brijeg: 10.6.
Match halves
Velež: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.63. Široki Brijeg: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.75.
Goals by minute
Velež: 76-90+ (3 goals). Široki Brijeg: 46-60 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier League of Bosnia: 2.60 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 45%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 3-0-1. Average goals 2.25, BTTS 25%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Velež have won 2 of their 3 home matches and remain unbeaten, although they have recorded just 1 win in their last 5 matches overall. The hosts’ main strength is their home defence: they concede an average of 0.33 goals per match and have kept a clean sheet in 2 of 3 games, while Široki Brijeg concede an average of 1.33 goals away from home and have yet to keep a clean sheet. The visitors create slightly better chances on the road, averaging 1.48 xG compared with Velež’s 1.19 at home, and both teams score 1.33 goals per match in these respective conditions. However, Široki Brijeg’s current form is unconvincing: they have failed to win any of their last 5 matches, recording 2 draws and 3 defeats. Velež’s stronger home results outweigh the visitors’ attacking edge, making a home win the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS landed in 80% of Velež’s matches and 100% of Široki Brijeg’s, a markedly stronger signal than the league average of 55%. The visitors have scored an average of 1.33 goals per match and have yet to finish a game without scoring, while the hosts have conceded an average of 1.4 goals. Velež also have a chance of finding the net: they have scored an average of 1.2 goals, while Široki have conceded 1.33, with opponents averaging 1.53 xG. However, the hosts’ recent form calls for caution: they scored just 0.6 goals per match across their last five games, and BTTS landed in 40% of them. Despite this caveat, the visitors’ consistent scoring and Široki’s failure to keep a clean sheet point towards both teams scoring.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The Over 1.5 goals line has the strongest statistical backing: it was cleared in 80% of Velež's matches and 100% of Široki Brijeg's. Both teams regularly feature in games with goals at both ends—in 80% of the hosts' matches and 100% of the visitors'—although these figures should be treated with caution given the small sample size. Široki Brijeg generate an average of 1.48 xG compared with Velež's 1.19 xG, while the hosts allow opponents 1.45 xG, strengthening the case for an away goal. A projected total of 2.80 goals supports Over 1.5, whereas the Over 2.5 line has less statistical backing: it was cleared in 40% of Velež's and 60% of Široki Brijeg's last five matches.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is a strong starting point: Velež were level at the break in 4 of the 5 matches covered by the statistics, while Široki Brijeg were level in 3 of their last 5 games. The hosts have failed to score in the first half of each of their last 5 matches, so an early lead for them is difficult to envisage. The visitors look stronger offensively in terms of xG (1.48 compared with 1.19), but they have not won any of their last 5 games, which weakens the case for an away win at full-time. After the break, Široki Brijeg drew in 80% of their last 5 matches, compared with 40% for Velež, so I rate the draw lasting until full-time slightly higher than a win for either side.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Velež | Široki Brijeg | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Velež is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Velež · 0.4 pts / match - Široki Brijeg
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Široki Brijeg is 67% better for: goals scored per match.
0.75 goals / match - Velež · 1.25 goals / match - Široki Brijeg
Široki Brijeg is 27% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.75 goals / match - Velež · 1.38 goals / match - Široki Brijeg
Velež scores in 63% of matches (5 of 8 matches), while Široki Brijeg keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 matches).
Široki Brijeg scores in 88% of matches (7 of 8 matches), while Velež keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Velež
Over / Under - Široki Brijeg
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Široki Brijeg is 59% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.63 pts / match - Velež · 1 pts / match - Široki Brijeg
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Velež - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Široki Brijeg - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Velež
Široki Brijeg
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League of Bosnia).
Teams vs league
| Velež | Liga | Široki Brijeg | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.50 | 2.60 | • 2.63 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 55% | ▲ 88% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 38% | 45% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | • 25% | 26% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 68% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 78% | ▼ 63% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Velež 3 - 0 - 1 Široki Brijeg. Average goals 2.25, both teams scored in 25% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Velež vs Široki Brijeg?
The Premier League of Bosnia match finished Velež 0:0 Široki Brijeg. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Velež and Široki Brijeg?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Velež won 3, Široki Brijeg won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Velež vs Široki Brijeg?
Velež score 0.75 goals per game on average and Široki Brijeg 1.25. The Premier League of Bosnia average is 2.60 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Velež's matches and 88% of Široki Brijeg's.
What form are Velež and Široki Brijeg in?
Over the last 5 games Velež have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Široki Brijeg 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Velež vs Široki Brijeg?
The statistical background for Velež vs Široki Brijeg — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.