Velež vs Zrinjski: match statistics
Velež vs Zrinjski: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Velež play Zrinjski in Premier League of Bosnia (Bosnia & Herzegovina). The match date is 3 April 2026 at 20:00. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Velež: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Zrinjski: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Velež scores 1.00 and concedes 0.97 goals per match. Zrinjski scores 1.33 and concedes 0.69. League average: 2.16 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Velež 36%, Zrinjski 36%. Over 2.5: Velež 36%, Zrinjski 36%. League level: BTTS 36%, Over 2.5 38%.
xG, shots and style
Zrinjski has higher xG: 1.45 vs 1.29. Velež: 10.0 shots per match, Zrinjski: 11.5.
Match halves
Velež: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.61. Zrinjski: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.75.
Goals by minute
Velež: 76-90+ (9 goals). Zrinjski: 46-60 (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier League of Bosnia: 2.16 goals per match, BTTS 36%, Over 2.5 38%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 0-1-2. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 67%.
Match description
Zrinjski is the favourite in this match based on form and efficiency: the visitors have 16 wins this season and sit 2nd, while Velež has 11 wins and is 4th. Offensively Zrinjski performs better — averaging 1.33 goals away and a conversion rate of 14%, whereas Velež scores 0.75 goals at home on average with a 6% conversion. Defensively the hosts, however, have strong arguments: Velež concedes only 0.50 goals per home match and keeps a clean sheet in 67% of games, versus 0.83 conceded and 42% clean sheets for Zrinjski away. Looking at chance quality, Velež generates higher xG at home (1.56) than Zrinjski away (1.25), but converts that into just 0.75 goals, indicating low finishing efficiency. Considering higher shot efficiency and better recent form (Zrinjski 4 wins in last 5, 2.4 points per game in last 5 vs Velež 3 wins and 1.8 points per game), I tip the visitors to win; I propose probability distribution 55% Zrinjski, 25% Velež, 20% draw.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Velež | Zrinjski | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Zrinjski is 57% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Velež · 2.2 pts / match - Zrinjski
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Zrinjski is 33% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Velež · 1.33 goals / match - Zrinjski
Zrinjski is 41% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.97 goals / match - Velež · 0.69 goals / match - Zrinjski
Velež scores in 58% of matches (21 of 36 matches), while Zrinjski keeps a clean sheet in 50% (18 of 36 matches).
Zrinjski scores in 78% of matches (28 of 36 matches), while Velež keeps a clean sheet in 36% (13 of 36 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Velež
Over / Under — Zrinjski
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Zrinjski is 32% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.14 pts / match - Velež · 1.5 pts / match - Zrinjski
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Velež - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Zrinjski - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 58%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (14 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Velež
Zrinjski
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League of Bosnia).
Teams vs league
| Velež | Liga | Zrinjski | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.97 | 2.16 | ▼ 2.03 |
| Both teams scored | • 36% | 36% | • 36% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 36% | 38% | ▼ 36% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 36% | 38% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 53% | 59% | • 58% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 69% | 71% | ▲ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Velež 0 - 1 - 2 Zrinjski. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Velež vs Zrinjski?
The Premier League of Bosnia match finished Velež 0:1 Zrinjski. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Velež and Zrinjski?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Velež won 0, Zrinjski won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Velež vs Zrinjski?
Velež score 1.00 goals per game on average and Zrinjski 1.33. The Premier League of Bosnia average is 2.16 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 36% of Velež's matches and 36% of Zrinjski's.
What form are Velež and Zrinjski in?
Over the last 5 games Velež have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Zrinjski 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Velež vs Zrinjski?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Velež vs Zrinjski: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.