Venados vs Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: match statistics
Venados vs Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Venados played Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match was played on 10 October 2026. Venue: Estadio Olímpico Carlos Iturralde Rivero. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Venados: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Venados scores 2.36 and concedes 1.91 goals per match. Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara scores 2.45 and concedes 1.45. League average: 3.27 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Venados 82%, Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 73%. Over 2.5: Venados 91%, Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 73%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
Venados has higher xG: 1.90 vs 1.74. Venados: 15.4 shots per match, Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: 13.8.
Match halves
Venados: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 1.55. Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: half-time lead 64%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Venados: 61-75 (8 goals). Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: 0-15 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ascenso MX: 3.27 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Venados have won all of their last 5 home matches, averaging 3.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded on their own ground. Their attacking edge is reflected in an average xG of 2.37, compared with Leones Negros’ 1.69 away from home, as well as 9.6 shots on target per match against the visitors’ 5.5. Leones Negros have also been strong on the road, winning 5 of their 6 away matches and averaging 2.17 goals, so the hosts should not expect an easy game. Both teams have scored 13 goals across their last 5 matches, while Venados have conceded 8 and the visitors 9, pointing to scoring opportunities at both ends. However, I believe Venados’ clinical home form and their +12 goal difference on home soil will prove decisive, compared with the visitors’ +6 away from home.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS has landed in 80% of Venados’ matches and 67% of Leones Negros’ games, compared with a league average of 56%. Across both teams’ last five matches, the figure reached 80%, reinforcing the signal in the season data. Venados average 2.8 goals scored, while the visitors average 2.17; they concede 1.8 and 1.17 goals per match, respectively. Both sides also show strong potential to create chances, with average xG of 1.81 for the hosts and 1.69 for the visitors. Although Leones Negros concede fewer goals, they have kept a clean sheet in just 17% of their matches, making BTTS - Yes the more likely outcome.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams have gone over 1.5 goals in 100% of their matches so far, making Over 1.5 the strongest signal, although this run does not guarantee another goal. Venados average 2.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded, while the visitors average 2.17 scored and 1.17 conceded, pointing to strong scoring potential in this match. The last five matches reinforce this assessment: both teams scored 2.6 goals per game, and the Over 2.5 line was reached in 100% and 80% of those games, respectively. Average xG of 1.81 for the hosts and 1.69 for the visitors supports a forecast of 3.65 total goals, but Over 1.5 remains a safer pick than the higher lines.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Venados led at the break in 3 of the 5 matches analyzed, scoring an average of 1.8 goals before half-time, while Leones Negros conceded an average of 0.5 goals in that period. The home side also have a slight attacking edge over the full match, averaging 2.8 goals compared with 2.17 for the visitors, and recording an xG of 1.81 versus their opponents’ 1.69. This points to Venados taking an early lead and supports backing them to maintain it as the single most likely scenario. However, the risk of a turnaround is significant, as Leones Negros have won 83% of their matches compared with Venados’ 40% win rate, while the hosts concede an average of 1.2 goals after half-time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Venados | Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 45% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.43 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara is 11% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Venados · 2 pts / match - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara is 32% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.91 goals / match - Venados · 1.45 goals / match - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
Venados scores in 100% of matches (11 of 11 matches), while Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara keeps a clean sheet in 18% (2 of 11 matches).
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara scores in 91% of matches (10 of 11 matches), while Venados keeps a clean sheet in 18% (2 of 11 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Venados
Over / Under - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara is 47% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.36 pts / match - Venados · 2 pts / match - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Venados - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 64% of matches and wins 64%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 3.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Venados
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Venados | Liga | Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.27 | 3.27 | ▲ 3.91 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 82% | 58% | ▲ 73% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 91% | 62% | ▲ 73% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 23% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 91% | 75% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | • 82% | 81% | ▼ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraSubstitutionOn: Kevin Jared Loera RamosOff: Luis Salvador Razo Miranda
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Venados 1 - 0 - 1 Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Venados vs Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara?
The Ascenso MX match finished Venados 1:1 Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Venados and Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Venados won 1, Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Venados vs Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara?
Venados score 2.36 goals per game on average and Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 2.45. The Ascenso MX average is 3.27 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 82% of Venados's matches and 73% of Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara's.
What form are Venados and Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara in?
Over the last 5 games Venados have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Venados vs Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara?
The statistical background for Venados vs Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.