Poland - 3 Liga Group 2Data current as of 22 October 2026

Victoria Września vs Noteć Czarnków: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Victoria Września vs Noteć Czarnków: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Victoria Września play Noteć Czarnków in 3 Liga Group 2 (Poland). The match date is 24 October 2026.

Current form

Victoria Września: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match. Noteć Czarnków: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Victoria Września scores 0.92 and concedes 1.77 goals per match. Noteć Czarnków scores 1.46 and concedes 1.46. League average: 3.55 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Victoria Września 46%, Noteć Czarnków 46%. Over 2.5: Victoria Września 38%, Noteć Czarnków 62%. League level: BTTS 67%, Over 2.5 64%.

xG, shots and style

Noteć Czarnków has higher xG: 1.62 vs 1.33. Victoria Września: 7.8 shots per match, Noteć Czarnków: 11.4.

Match halves

Victoria Września: half-time lead 8%, second-half goals 0.46. Noteć Czarnków: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 1.00.

Goals by minute

Victoria Września: 0-15 (4 goals). Noteć Czarnków: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

3 Liga Group 2: 3.55 goals per match, BTTS 67%, Over 2.5 64%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 0.50, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Victoria WrześniaNoteć Czarnków
0.92Goals scored / match1.46
Victoria WrześniaNoteć Czarnków
1.77Goals conceded / match1.46
Victoria WrześniaNoteć Czarnków
Victoria WrześniaNoteć Czarnków
37%Average possession37%
Victoria WrześniaNoteć Czarnków
2.69Shots on target / match4.31
Victoria WrześniaNoteć Czarnków
Victoria WrześniaNoteć Czarnków

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

7.77Shots per match11.38
Victoria WrześniaNoteć Czarnków
2.69Shots on target4.31
Victoria WrześniaNoteć Czarnków
11.9%Shot conversion12.8%
Victoria WrześniaNoteć Czarnków
37%Possession37%
Victoria WrześniaNoteć Czarnków
1.33xG for1.62
Victoria WrześniaNoteć Czarnków
1.69xG against2
Victoria WrześniaNoteć Czarnków

Shooting quality

Victoria Września: BalancedNoteć Czarnków: Counter-attacking
Victoria WrześniaNoteć Czarnków
Accuracy (shots on target)35%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.170.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.340.34

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Victoria Września is 40% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Victoria Września · 1 pts / match - Noteć Czarnków

Victoria Września
DDDWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
15% W46% D38% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-6-5
0.92 pts / match · goal difference -11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-4-0
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-3-2
Last 5 at home
2-3-0
WDDDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.50Opponent xG: 1.27BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 0%
Noteć Czarnków
DLWDL
Season result split
38% W15% D46% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-2-6
1.31 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-1-4
Last 5 away
1-1-3
WLLLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.32Opponent xG: 2.60BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Noteć Czarnków is 59% better for: goals scored per match.

0.92 goals / match - Victoria Września · 1.46 goals / match - Noteć Czarnków

Noteć Czarnków is 21% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.77 goals / match - Victoria Września · 1.46 goals / match - Noteć Czarnków

Victoria Września scoring profile: strong

Victoria Września scores in 62% of matches (8 of 13 matches), while Noteć Czarnków keeps a clean sheet in 31% (4 of 13 matches).

Noteć Czarnków scoring profile: strong

Noteć Czarnków scores in 69% of matches (9 of 13 matches), while Victoria Września keeps a clean sheet in 31% (4 of 13 matches).

12Goals scored (season)19
Victoria WrześniaNoteć Czarnków
23Goals conceded (season)19
Victoria WrześniaNoteć Czarnków
2.69Average goals in match2.92
Victoria WrześniaNoteć Czarnków
3Goals scored (last 5)4
Victoria WrześniaNoteć Czarnków
2Goals conceded (last 5)6
Victoria WrześniaNoteć Czarnków

How often they score at least...

62%1 goal69%
Victoria WrześniaNoteć Czarnków
23%2 goals38%
Victoria WrześniaNoteć Czarnków
8%3 goals38%
Victoria WrześniaNoteć Czarnków
0%4 goals0%
Victoria WrześniaNoteć Czarnków

How often they concede at least...

69%1 goal69%
Victoria WrześniaNoteć Czarnków
46%2 goals46%
Victoria WrześniaNoteć Czarnków
31%3 goals15%
Victoria WrześniaNoteć Czarnków
15%4 goals8%
Victoria WrześniaNoteć Czarnków

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

46%
Victoria Września - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.6 of 13 matches
67%
League average

Goal patterns

31%BTTS at half-time15%
Victoria WrześniaNoteć Czarnków
23%BTTS in both halves8%
Victoria WrześniaNoteć Czarnków
23%Scored in both halves38%
Victoria WrześniaNoteć Czarnków

BTTS and goal count

31%Min. 3 goals and BTTS38%
Victoria WrześniaNoteć Czarnków
8%Min. 3 goals without BTTS23%
Victoria WrześniaNoteć Czarnków
40%BTTS - last 520%
Victoria WrześniaNoteć Czarnków

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

1st half

54%Min. 1 goal before half-time62%
Victoria WrześniaNoteć Czarnków
31%Min. 2 goals before half-time15%
Victoria WrześniaNoteć Czarnków
15%Min. 3 goals before half-time8%
Victoria WrześniaNoteć Czarnków

2nd half

77%Min. 1 goal after half-time85%
Victoria WrześniaNoteć Czarnków
54%Min. 2 goals after half-time77%
Victoria WrześniaNoteć Czarnków
15%Min. 3 goals after half-time31%
Victoria WrześniaNoteć Czarnków

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Noteć Czarnków is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.92 pts / match - Victoria Września · 1.38 pts / match - Noteć Czarnków

Victoria Września - half-time state
8% leading69% draw23% trailing
Noteć Czarnków - half-time state
31% leading46% draw23% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.92Points per match (1st half)1.38
Victoria WrześniaNoteć Czarnków
0.46Goals scored (1st half)0.46
Victoria WrześniaNoteć Czarnków
0.69Goals conceded (1st half)0.38
Victoria WrześniaNoteć Czarnków
1.15Average goals (1st half)0.85
Victoria WrześniaNoteć Czarnków
54%Clean sheet before half-time69%
Victoria WrześniaNoteć Czarnków
62%No goal before half-time54%
Victoria WrześniaNoteć Czarnków

After half-time (2nd half)

0.92Points per match (2nd half)1.38
Victoria WrześniaNoteć Czarnków
0.46Goals scored (2nd half)1
Victoria WrześniaNoteć Czarnków
1.08Goals conceded (2nd half)1.08
Victoria WrześniaNoteć Czarnków
1.54Average goals (2nd half)2.08
Victoria WrześniaNoteć Czarnków
38%Clean sheet after half-time38%
Victoria WrześniaNoteć Czarnków
54%No goal after half-time38%
Victoria WrześniaNoteć Czarnków

Victoria Września - second-half results

15% W46% D38% L
12
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
12
Second-half points
-8
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.92
PPG before half-time
Lead holding188%

Leads at half-time in 8% of matches and wins 15%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Noteć Czarnków - second-half results

38% W23% D38% L
18
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
18
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.38
PPG before half-time
Lead holding123%

Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.7

Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Victoria Września - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.20
Goals scored / match0.20.4
Goals conceded / match0.00.4
Average goals in match0.20.8
1 goal20%60%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%60%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference+10
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Noteć Czarnków - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.00
Goals scored / match0.40.4
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match0.81.2
1 goal60%60%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference0-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Victoria Września
ScoredConceded
4
3
0-15
0
1
16-30
2
5
31-45
4
2
46-60
2
5
61-75
0
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.

Noteć Czarnków
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
4
2
16-30
1
1
31-45
2
3
46-60
2
5
61-75
9
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.80
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
79%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
46%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-82%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
43%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
12%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Victoria Września

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.36
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.49
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.41
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
49%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
106%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.48
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 33% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

Noteć Czarnków

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.38
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.38
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.16
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.54
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
87%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
78%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.31
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
47% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 5% come in the first quarter-hour.
47%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 2).

Teams vs league

Victoria WrześniaLigaNoteć Czarnków
Average goals in match▼ 2.693.55▼ 2.92
Both teams scored▼ 46%67%▼ 46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 38%64%▼ 62%
Clean sheets▲ 31%18%▲ 31%
Goal before half-time▼ 54%78%▼ 62%
Goal after half-time▼ 77%85%• 85%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.55
Average goals per match
67%
Both teams scored
64%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
18%
Clean sheets
1.88
Home goals / match
1.67
Away goals / match
+13%
Home attack advantage
+11%
Home defence advantage
+7%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
9%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
85%
1 goal
62%
2 goals
33%
3 goals
13%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Victoria Września 1 - 1 - 0 Noteć Czarnków. Average goals 0.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.

Victoria Września
0 : 0
Noteć Czarnków
Noteć Czarnków
0 : 1
Victoria Września

FAQ

When do Victoria Września and Noteć Czarnków play?

Victoria Września face Noteć Czarnków on 24 October 2026 in 3 Liga Group 2. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Victoria Września and Noteć Czarnków?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Victoria Września won 1, Noteć Czarnków won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 0.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Victoria Września vs Noteć Czarnków?

Victoria Września score 0.92 goals per game on average and Noteć Czarnków 1.46. The 3 Liga Group 2 average is 3.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 46% of Victoria Września's matches and 46% of Noteć Czarnków's.

What form are Victoria Września and Noteć Czarnków in?

Over the last 5 games Victoria Września have a 1-4-0 record (1.40 points per game) and Noteć Czarnków 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Victoria Września vs Noteć Czarnków?

The statistical background for Victoria Września vs Noteć Czarnków — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.