Vila Nova vs Ceará: match statistics
Vila Nova vs Ceará: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Vila Nova played Ceará in Serie B (Brazil). The match was played on 30 August 2026. Venue: Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Vila Nova: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Ceará: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Vila Nova scores 1.46 and concedes 1.04 goals per match. Ceará scores 1.04 and concedes 1.25. League average: 2.29 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Vila Nova 46%, Ceará 50%. Over 2.5: Vila Nova 42%, Ceará 33%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 42%.
xG, shots and style
Ceará has higher xG: 1.52 vs 1.43. Vila Nova: 13.3 shots per match, Ceará: 13.8.
Match halves
Vila Nova: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.71. Ceará: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.63.
Goals by minute
Vila Nova: 61-75 (10 goals). Ceará: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.29 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 42%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 6.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Vila Nova are very strong at home: they win 73% of their matches, score an average of 2.18 goals, and lose only 9% of their home games. Ceará score just 0.91 goals per away match, fail to find the net in 45% of fixtures, and lose 45% of their away games. The hosts also create significantly better chances, as reflected by an average xG of 1.68 compared with Ceará’s 1.27, while opponents allow an xG of 1.69. Vila Nova average 15.45 shots and 5.36 shots on target at home, whereas Ceará record 11.82 and 3.36 respectively. The visitors have won 3 of their last 5 matches, but their poor away scoring record and Vila Nova’s superiority in both penalty areas point to a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal in favour of BTTS No is Vila Nova’s recent run: in their previous five matches, there has not been a single game in which both teams scored, while they have conceded just 0.6 goals per match. Ceará scores only 0.91 goals per game this season and fails to score in 45% of its matches, clearly increasing the risk that the visitors will once again finish without a goal. Ceará’s season BTTS rate stands at 45%, below the league average of 48%, while Vila Nova keeps a clean sheet in 23% of matches. The hosts do have solid attacking foundations, averaging 1.73 xG and 5.23 shots on target per match, but a scenario in which they score alone is more likely than a Goal/Goal outcome. Ceará’s form over the last five matches—1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game—provides an argument for a visitors’ goal, but Vila Nova’s solid current defence outweighs it in favour of BTTS No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The season profile clearly supports a low-scoring outcome: under 3.5 goals was recorded in 85% of Vila Nova’s matches and as many as 91% of Ceará’s games. Ceará score just 0.91 goals on average, while Vila Nova concede an average of 1.15, limiting the projection for the visitors to around 0.95 goals. The hosts have greater attacking potential, with an average xG of 1.73 and 5.23 shots on target per match, while Ceará allow opponents an xG of 1.69, putting their expected tally at 1.55 goals. Ceará’s last five matches were more open, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game, but Vila Nova conceded only 3 goals in five appearances over the same period. A total projection of 2.50 goals, combined with very high seasonal rates of matches finishing below four goals, gives the strongest edge to Under 3.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Vila Nova have a clear advantage in the opening stages of matches: they have led at the break in 38% of their games, while Ceará have not recorded a single such instance. The hosts average 0.69 goals scored and 0.46 conceded before half-time, whereas the visitors score just 0.09 goals in this phase and concede 0.64. Vila Nova’s superiority is also evident in overall match performance, with an average xG of 1.73 compared with Ceará’s 1.27, while shots on target stand at 5.23 to 3.36. Ceará have improved their results in their last five matches, averaging 1.8 goals scored, but they have still conceded 1.6 goals per game, which favours the hosts’ ability to capitalise on their advantage. The most likely scenario, therefore, is for Vila Nova to take the lead before half-time and hold it through to the final whistle.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Vila Nova | Ceará | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ceará is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Vila Nova · 1.8 pts / match - Ceará
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Vila Nova is 40% better for: goals scored per match.
1.46 goals / match - Vila Nova · 1.04 goals / match - Ceará
Vila Nova is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.04 goals / match - Vila Nova · 1.25 goals / match - Ceará
Vila Nova scores in 71% of matches (17 of 24 matches), while Ceará keeps a clean sheet in 21% (5 of 24 matches).
Ceará scores in 63% of matches (15 of 24 matches), while Vila Nova keeps a clean sheet in 29% (7 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Vila Nova
Over / Under - Ceará
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Vila Nova is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / match - Vila Nova · 1.04 pts / match - Ceará
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Vila Nova - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Ceará - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Vila Nova
Ceará
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Vila Nova | Liga | Ceará | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.50 | 2.29 | • 2.29 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 46% | 48% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 42% | 42% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 29% | 31% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 65% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 75% | • 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Vila Nova 0 - 1 - 0 Ceará. Average goals 6.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Vila Nova vs Ceará?
The Serie B match finished Vila Nova 2:0 Ceará. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Vila Nova vs Ceará?
Vila Nova score 1.46 goals per game on average and Ceará 1.04. The Serie B average is 2.29 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 46% of Vila Nova's matches and 50% of Ceará's.
What form are Vila Nova and Ceará in?
Over the last 5 games Vila Nova have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Ceará 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Vila Nova vs Ceará?
The statistical background for Vila Nova vs Ceará — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.