Brazil - Serie BEstádio Onésio Brasileiro AlvarengaData current as of 30 August 2026

Vila Nova vs Ceará: match statistics

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Vila Nova vs Ceará: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Vila Nova play Ceará in Serie B (Brazil). The match date is 30 August 2026. Venue: Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga.

Current form

Vila Nova: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Ceará: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Vila Nova scores 1.46 and concedes 1.04 goals per match. Ceará scores 1.04 and concedes 1.25. League average: 2.29 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Vila Nova 46%, Ceará 50%. Over 2.5: Vila Nova 42%, Ceará 33%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 42%.

xG, shots and style

Ceará has higher xG: 1.52 vs 1.43. Vila Nova: 13.3 shots per match, Ceará: 13.8.

Match halves

Vila Nova: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.71. Ceará: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.63.

Goals by minute

Vila Nova: 61-75 (10 goals). Ceará: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie B: 2.29 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 42%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 6.00, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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(-)
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Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.46Goals scored / match1.04
Vila NovaCeará
1.04Goals conceded / match1.25
Vila NovaCeará
52%Average possession51%
Vila NovaCeará
4.08Shots on target / match4.38
Vila NovaCeará

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.33Shots per match13.79
Vila NovaCeará
4.08Shots on target4.38
Vila NovaCeará
10.9%Shot conversion7.6%
Vila NovaCeará
52%Possession51%
Vila NovaCeará
1.43xG for1.52
Vila NovaCeará
1.24xG against1.4
Vila NovaCeará

Shooting quality

Vila Nova: BalancedCeará: Balanced
Vila NovaCeará
Accuracy (shots on target)31%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.360.24

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Ceará is 29% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Vila Nova · 1.8 pts / match - Ceará

Vila Nova
LLWWD
Season result split
50% W21% R29% P
Season (W-D-L)
12-5-7
1.71 pts / match · goal difference +10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
8-2-1
Last 5 at home
4-0-1
WWWLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.57Opponent xG: 1.20BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 20%
Ceará
WWLLW
Season result split
29% W29% R42% P
Season (W-D-L)
7-7-10
1.17 pts / match · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-4-5
Last 5 away
1-1-3
LLDWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.58Opponent xG: 1.68BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Vila Nova is 40% better for: goals scored per match.

1.46 goals / match - Vila Nova · 1.04 goals / match - Ceará

Vila Nova is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.04 goals / match - Vila Nova · 1.25 goals / match - Ceará

Vila Nova scoring profile: very strong

Vila Nova scores in 71% of matches (17 of 24 matches), while Ceará keeps a clean sheet in 21% (5 of 24 matches).

Ceará scoring profile: strong

Ceará scores in 63% of matches (15 of 24 matches), while Vila Nova keeps a clean sheet in 29% (7 of 24 matches).

35Goals scored (season)25
Vila NovaCeará
25Goals conceded (season)30
Vila NovaCeará
2.5Average goals in match2.29
Vila NovaCeará
8Goals scored (last 5)9
Vila NovaCeará
3Goals conceded (last 5)8
Vila NovaCeará

How often they score at least...

71%1 goal63%
Vila NovaCeará
46%2 goals29%
Vila NovaCeará
13%3 goals8%
Vila NovaCeará
8%4 goals4%
Vila NovaCeará

How often they concede at least...

71%1 goal79%
Vila NovaCeará
25%2 goals33%
Vila NovaCeará
8%3 goals13%
Vila NovaCeará
0%4 goals0%
Vila NovaCeará

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

48%
League average

Goal patterns

17%BTTS at half-time13%
Vila NovaCeará
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Vila NovaCeará
21%Scored in both halves8%
Vila NovaCeará

BTTS and goal count

38%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
Vila NovaCeará
4%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Vila NovaCeará
0%BTTS - last 560%
Vila NovaCeará

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

75%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
Vila NovaCeará
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time21%
Vila NovaCeará
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time4%
Vila NovaCeará

2nd half

71%Min. 1 goal after half-time75%
Vila NovaCeará
38%Min. 2 goals after half-time38%
Vila NovaCeará
8%Min. 3 goals after half-time8%
Vila NovaCeará

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Vila Nova is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.33 pts / match - Vila Nova · 1.04 pts / match - Ceará

Vila Nova - half-time state
33% leading33% draw33% trailing
Ceará - half-time state
21% leading42% draw38% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.33Points per match (1st half)1.04
Vila NovaCeará
0.75Goals scored (1st half)0.42
Vila NovaCeará
0.58Goals conceded (1st half)0.54
Vila NovaCeará
1.33Average goals (1st half)0.96
Vila NovaCeará
54%Clean sheet before half-time50%
Vila NovaCeará
54%No goal before half-time71%
Vila NovaCeará

After half-time (2nd half)

1.42Points per match (2nd half)1.21
Vila NovaCeará
0.71Goals scored (2nd half)0.63
Vila NovaCeará
0.46Goals conceded (2nd half)0.71
Vila NovaCeará
1.17Average goals (2nd half)1.33
Vila NovaCeará
58%Clean sheet after half-time50%
Vila NovaCeará
54%No goal after half-time58%
Vila NovaCeará

Vila Nova - second-half results

33% W42% R25% P
32
Half-time points
18
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
34
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding152%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Ceará - second-half results

29% W33% R38% P
25
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
29
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.04
PPG before half-time
Lead holding138%

Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Vila Nova - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.80
Goals scored / match0.80.8
Goals conceded / match0.60.0
Average goals in match1.40.8
1 goal80%40%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%100%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference+1+4
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4
Ceará - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.802.00
Goals scored / match0.41.4
Goals conceded / match0.80.8
Average goals in match1.22.2
1 goal100%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet20%60%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference-2+3
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Vila Nova
ScoredConceded
6
5
0-15
4
3
16-30
8
6
31-45
3
1
46-60
10
1
61-75
4
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

Ceará
ScoredConceded
2
4
0-15
2
5
16-30
6
4
31-45
3
8
46-60
6
4
61-75
6
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.40
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
105%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
48%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+151%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
45%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
11%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 9 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Vila Nova

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.19
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.23
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.20
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
115%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
102%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.31
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.0
Late goals
11% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
11%

Ceará

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.12
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.33
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.48
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.15
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
102%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
98%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.63
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).

Teams vs league

Vila NovaLigaCeará
Average goals in match 2.502.29 2.29
Both teams scored 46%48% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 42%42% 33%
Clean sheets 29%31% 21%
Goal before half-time 75%66% 67%
Goal after half-time 71%75% 75%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.29
Average goals per match
48%
Both teams scored
42%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
31%
Clean sheets
1.27
Home goals / match
1.02
Away goals / match
+25%
Home attack advantage
+20%
Home defence advantage
+15%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
66%
1 goal
25%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Vila Nova 0 - 1 - 0 Ceará. Average goals 6.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

When do Vila Nova and Ceará play?

Vila Nova face Ceará on 30 August 2026 in Serie B at Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Vila Nova vs Ceará?

Vila Nova score 1.46 goals per game on average and Ceará 1.04. The Serie B average is 2.29 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 46% of Vila Nova's matches and 50% of Ceará's.

What form are Vila Nova and Ceará in?

Over the last 5 games Vila Nova have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Ceará 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Vila Nova vs Ceará?

The statistical background for Vila Nova vs Ceará — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.