Brazil - Serie BEstádio Onésio Brasileiro AlvarengaData current as of 15 October 2026

Vila Nova vs Novorizontino: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Vila Nova vs Novorizontino: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Vila Nova play Novorizontino in Serie B (Brazil). The match date is 18 October 2026. Venue: Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga.

Current form

Vila Nova: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Novorizontino: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Vila Nova scores 1.39 and concedes 0.94 goals per match. Novorizontino scores 1.79 and concedes 0.85. League average: 2.35 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Vila Nova 36%, Novorizontino 52%. Over 2.5: Vila Nova 33%, Novorizontino 58%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 43%.

xG, shots and style

Novorizontino has higher xG: 1.74 vs 1.45. Vila Nova: 13.6 shots per match, Novorizontino: 16.0.

Match halves

Vila Nova: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.64. Novorizontino: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 1.00.

Goals by minute

Vila Nova: 61-75 (12 goals). Novorizontino: 76-90+ (17 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie B: 2.35 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 43%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-2. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 67%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.51)
(3.14)
(2.71)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Vila NovaNovorizontino
1.39Goals scored / match1.79
Vila NovaNovorizontino
0.94Goals conceded / match0.85
Vila NovaNovorizontino
51%Average possession48%
Vila NovaNovorizontino
4.24Shots on target / match5.61
Vila NovaNovorizontino

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.55Shots per match15.97
Vila NovaNovorizontino
4.24Shots on target5.61
Vila NovaNovorizontino
10.3%Shot conversion11.2%
Vila NovaNovorizontino
51%Possession48%
Vila NovaNovorizontino
1.45xG for1.74
Vila NovaNovorizontino
1.28xG against1.16
Vila NovaNovorizontino

Shooting quality

Vila Nova: BalancedNovorizontino: Attacking
Vila NovaNovorizontino
Accuracy (shots on target)31%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Vila Nova is 30% better for: last-5 form.

2.6 pts / match - Vila Nova · 2 pts / match - Novorizontino

Vila Nova
WWWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
55% W21% D24% L
Season (W-D-L)
18-7-8
1.85 pts / match · goal difference +15
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
12-3-1
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WWWWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.0xG: 1.41Opponent xG: 1.42BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 0%
Novorizontino
LDWWW
Season result split
52% W27% D21% L
Season (W-D-L)
17-9-7
1.82 pts / match · goal difference +31
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
7-5-4
Last 5 away
3-1-1
DWWLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 2.10Opponent xG: 1.05BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Novorizontino is 29% better for: goals scored per match.

1.39 goals / match - Vila Nova · 1.79 goals / match - Novorizontino

Novorizontino is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.94 goals / match - Vila Nova · 0.85 goals / match - Novorizontino

Vila Nova scoring profile: strong

Vila Nova scores in 73% of matches (24 of 33 matches), while Novorizontino keeps a clean sheet in 36% (12 of 33 matches).

Novorizontino scoring profile: strong

Novorizontino scores in 76% of matches (25 of 33 matches), while Vila Nova keeps a clean sheet in 42% (14 of 33 matches).

46Goals scored (season)59
Vila NovaNovorizontino
31Goals conceded (season)28
Vila NovaNovorizontino
2.33Average goals in match2.64
Vila NovaNovorizontino
6Goals scored (last 5)11
Vila NovaNovorizontino
0Goals conceded (last 5)3
Vila NovaNovorizontino

How often they score at least...

73%1 goal76%
Vila NovaNovorizontino
45%2 goals55%
Vila NovaNovorizontino
9%3 goals33%
Vila NovaNovorizontino
6%4 goals12%
Vila NovaNovorizontino

How often they concede at least...

58%1 goal64%
Vila NovaNovorizontino
21%2 goals15%
Vila NovaNovorizontino
9%3 goals6%
Vila NovaNovorizontino
3%4 goals0%
Vila NovaNovorizontino

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

47%
League average

Goal patterns

15%BTTS at half-time30%
Vila NovaNovorizontino
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Vila NovaNovorizontino
21%Scored in both halves39%
Vila NovaNovorizontino

BTTS and goal count

27%Min. 3 goals and BTTS42%
Vila NovaNovorizontino
6%Min. 3 goals without BTTS15%
Vila NovaNovorizontino
0%BTTS - last 540%
Vila NovaNovorizontino

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

76%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
Vila NovaNovorizontino
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
Vila NovaNovorizontino
12%Min. 3 goals before half-time9%
Vila NovaNovorizontino

2nd half

64%Min. 1 goal after half-time73%
Vila NovaNovorizontino
33%Min. 2 goals after half-time42%
Vila NovaNovorizontino
6%Min. 3 goals after half-time18%
Vila NovaNovorizontino

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Novorizontino is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.52 pts / match - Vila Nova · 1.64 pts / match - Novorizontino

Vila Nova - half-time state
39% leading33% draw27% trailing
Novorizontino - half-time state
36% leading55% draw9% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.52Points per match (1st half)1.64
Vila NovaNovorizontino
0.76Goals scored (1st half)0.79
Vila NovaNovorizontino
0.55Goals conceded (1st half)0.39
Vila NovaNovorizontino
1.3Average goals (1st half)1.18
Vila NovaNovorizontino
61%Clean sheet before half-time61%
Vila NovaNovorizontino
48%No goal before half-time42%
Vila NovaNovorizontino

After half-time (2nd half)

1.45Points per match (2nd half)1.79
Vila NovaNovorizontino
0.64Goals scored (2nd half)1
Vila NovaNovorizontino
0.39Goals conceded (2nd half)0.45
Vila NovaNovorizontino
1.03Average goals (2nd half)1.45
Vila NovaNovorizontino
67%Clean sheet after half-time67%
Vila NovaNovorizontino
58%No goal after half-time42%
Vila NovaNovorizontino

Vila Nova - second-half results

33% W45% D21% L
50
Half-time points
25
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
48
Second-half points
+8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.52
PPG before half-time
Lead holding141%

Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Novorizontino - second-half results

48% W33% D18% L
54
Half-time points
26
Half-time goals
+13
Goal difference (1st half)
59
Second-half points
+18
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.64
PPG before half-time
Lead holding144%

Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 52%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Vila Nova - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.601.40
Goals scored / match1.00.2
Goals conceded / match0.00.0
Average goals in match1.00.2
1 goal80%20%
2 goals20%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%100%
No goal20%80%
Goal difference+5+1
Half-time: 80% leading - 20% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 5
Novorizontino - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.601.60
Goals scored / match1.40.8
Goals conceded / match0.20.4
Average goals in match1.61.2
1 goal80%60%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+6+2
Half-time: 80% leading - 20% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 7

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Vila Nova
ScoredConceded
7
5
0-15
7
4
16-30
11
9
31-45
4
1
46-60
12
2
61-75
5
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

Novorizontino
ScoredConceded
8
1
0-15
6
8
16-30
12
4
31-45
6
5
46-60
10
2
61-75
17
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.48
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
106%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
44%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-20%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
55%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Vila Nova

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.17
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.28
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.06
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.34
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
104%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
93%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.75
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
11% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
11%

Novorizontino

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.58
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.36
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-20.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.05
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.31
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
177%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
63%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.18
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).

Teams vs league

Vila NovaLigaNovorizontino
Average goals in match• 2.332.35▲ 2.64
Both teams scored▼ 36%47%▲ 52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 33%43%▲ 58%
Clean sheets▲ 42%30%▲ 36%
Goal before half-time▲ 76%68%• 67%
Goal after half-time▼ 64%74%• 73%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.35
Average goals per match
47%
Both teams scored
43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
30%
Clean sheets
1.34
Home goals / match
1.01
Away goals / match
+33%
Home attack advantage
+25%
Home defence advantage
+17%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Vila Nova 0 - 1 - 2 Novorizontino. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 67% matches.

Novorizontino
2 : 1
Vila Nova
Grêmio Novorizontino
1 : 1
Vila Nova FC
Vila Nova FC
0 : 1
Grêmio Novorizontino

FAQ

When do Vila Nova and Novorizontino play?

Vila Nova face Novorizontino on 18 October 2026 in Serie B at Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Vila Nova and Novorizontino?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Vila Nova won 0, Novorizontino won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Vila Nova vs Novorizontino?

Vila Nova score 1.39 goals per game on average and Novorizontino 1.79. The Serie B average is 2.35 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 36% of Vila Nova's matches and 52% of Novorizontino's.

What form are Vila Nova and Novorizontino in?

Over the last 5 games Vila Nova have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Novorizontino 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Vila Nova vs Novorizontino?

The statistical background for Vila Nova vs Novorizontino — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.