Vila Nova vs Novorizontino: match statistics
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Vila Nova vs Novorizontino: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Vila Nova play Novorizontino in Serie B (Brazil). The match date is 18 October 2026. Venue: Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga.
Current form
Vila Nova: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Novorizontino: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Vila Nova scores 1.39 and concedes 0.94 goals per match. Novorizontino scores 1.79 and concedes 0.85. League average: 2.35 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Vila Nova 36%, Novorizontino 52%. Over 2.5: Vila Nova 33%, Novorizontino 58%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 43%.
xG, shots and style
Novorizontino has higher xG: 1.74 vs 1.45. Vila Nova: 13.6 shots per match, Novorizontino: 16.0.
Match halves
Vila Nova: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.64. Novorizontino: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Vila Nova: 61-75 (12 goals). Novorizontino: 76-90+ (17 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.35 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 43%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-2. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 67%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Vila Nova | Novorizontino | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Vila Nova is 30% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Vila Nova · 2 pts / match - Novorizontino
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Novorizontino is 29% better for: goals scored per match.
1.39 goals / match - Vila Nova · 1.79 goals / match - Novorizontino
Novorizontino is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.94 goals / match - Vila Nova · 0.85 goals / match - Novorizontino
Vila Nova scores in 73% of matches (24 of 33 matches), while Novorizontino keeps a clean sheet in 36% (12 of 33 matches).
Novorizontino scores in 76% of matches (25 of 33 matches), while Vila Nova keeps a clean sheet in 42% (14 of 33 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Vila Nova
Over / Under - Novorizontino
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Novorizontino is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.52 pts / match - Vila Nova · 1.64 pts / match - Novorizontino
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Vila Nova - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Novorizontino - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 52%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +6 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Vila Nova
Novorizontino
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Vila Nova | Liga | Novorizontino | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.33 | 2.35 | ▲ 2.64 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 36% | 47% | ▲ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 43% | ▲ 58% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 42% | 30% | ▲ 36% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 76% | 68% | • 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 64% | 74% | • 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Vila Nova 0 - 1 - 2 Novorizontino. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
When do Vila Nova and Novorizontino play?
Vila Nova face Novorizontino on 18 October 2026 in Serie B at Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Vila Nova and Novorizontino?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Vila Nova won 0, Novorizontino won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Vila Nova vs Novorizontino?
Vila Nova score 1.39 goals per game on average and Novorizontino 1.79. The Serie B average is 2.35 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 36% of Vila Nova's matches and 52% of Novorizontino's.
What form are Vila Nova and Novorizontino in?
Over the last 5 games Vila Nova have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Novorizontino 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Vila Nova vs Novorizontino?
The statistical background for Vila Nova vs Novorizontino — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.


