Uganda - Uganda Premier LeagueSt. Mary's StadiumData current as of 20 October 2026

Vipers vs Police Uganda: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Vipers vs Police Uganda: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Vipers play Police Uganda in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The match date is 23 October 2026. Venue: St. Mary's Stadium.

Current form

Vipers: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Police Uganda: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Vipers scores 2.60 and concedes 0.40 goals per match. Police Uganda scores 0.67 and concedes 1.67. League average: 2.14 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Vipers 20%, Police Uganda 17%. Over 2.5: Vipers 60%, Police Uganda 33%. League level: BTTS 35%, Over 2.5 39%.

xG, shots and style

Vipers has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.42. Vipers: 9.6 shots per match, Police Uganda: 8.3.

Match halves

Vipers: half-time lead 60%, second-half goals 1.60. Police Uganda: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.67.

Goals by minute

Vipers: 16-30 (3 goals). Police Uganda: 61-75 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Uganda Premier League: 2.14 goals per match, BTTS 35%, Over 2.5 39%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

2.6Goals scored / match0.67
VipersPolice Uganda
0.4Goals conceded / match1.67
VipersPolice Uganda
62%Average possession50%
VipersPolice Uganda
4Shots on target / match4.5
VipersPolice Uganda

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.6Shots per match8.33
VipersPolice Uganda
4Shots on target4.5
VipersPolice Uganda
27.1%Shot conversion8%
VipersPolice Uganda
62%Possession50%
VipersPolice Uganda
1.54xG for1.42
VipersPolice Uganda
1.15xG against1.65
VipersPolice Uganda

Shooting quality

Vipers: Efficient finishingPolice Uganda: Balanced
VipersPolice Uganda
Accuracy (shots on target)42%54%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.160.17
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.650.15

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Vipers is 150% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Vipers · 0.8 pts / match - Police Uganda

Vipers
LWWDW
Season result split
60% W20% D20% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match · goal difference +11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-1-1
Last 5 at home
1-1-1
LWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.6Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.54Opponent xG: 1.15BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 60%
Police Uganda
LDWLL
Season result split
33% W17% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-1-3
1.17 pts / match · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-2
Last 5 away
1-0-2
LWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.40Opponent xG: 1.58BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Vipers is 288% better for: goals scored per match.

2.6 goals / match - Vipers · 0.67 goals / match - Police Uganda

Vipers is 318% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.4 goals / match - Vipers · 1.67 goals / match - Police Uganda

Vipers scoring profile: strong

Vipers scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while Police Uganda keeps a clean sheet in 50% (3 of 6 matches).

Police Uganda scoring profile: more difficult

Police Uganda scores in 50% of matches (3 of 6 matches), while Vipers keeps a clean sheet in 60% (3 of 5 matches).

13Goals scored (season)4
VipersPolice Uganda
2Goals conceded (season)10
VipersPolice Uganda
3Average goals in match2.33
VipersPolice Uganda
13Goals scored (last 5)3
VipersPolice Uganda
2Goals conceded (last 5)10
VipersPolice Uganda

How often they score at least...

80%1 goal50%
VipersPolice Uganda
60%2 goals17%
VipersPolice Uganda
60%3 goals0%
VipersPolice Uganda
40%4 goals0%
VipersPolice Uganda

How often they concede at least...

40%1 goal50%
VipersPolice Uganda
0%2 goals33%
VipersPolice Uganda
0%3 goals33%
VipersPolice Uganda
0%4 goals17%
VipersPolice Uganda

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

35%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time0%
VipersPolice Uganda
0%BTTS in both halves0%
VipersPolice Uganda
60%Scored in both halves0%
VipersPolice Uganda

BTTS and goal count

0%Min. 3 goals and BTTS17%
VipersPolice Uganda
60%Min. 3 goals without BTTS17%
VipersPolice Uganda
20%BTTS - last 520%
VipersPolice Uganda

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time33%
VipersPolice Uganda
20%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
VipersPolice Uganda
20%Min. 3 goals before half-time17%
VipersPolice Uganda

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
VipersPolice Uganda
40%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
VipersPolice Uganda
20%Min. 3 goals after half-time17%
VipersPolice Uganda

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Vipers is 169% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.8 pts / match - Vipers · 0.67 pts / match - Police Uganda

Vipers - half-time state
60% leading0% draw40% trailing
Police Uganda - half-time state
0% leading67% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.8Points per match (1st half)0.67
VipersPolice Uganda
1Goals scored (1st half)0
VipersPolice Uganda
0.4Goals conceded (1st half)0.83
VipersPolice Uganda
1.4Average goals (1st half)0.83
VipersPolice Uganda
60%Clean sheet before half-time67%
VipersPolice Uganda
40%No goal before half-time100%
VipersPolice Uganda

After half-time (2nd half)

2.6Points per match (2nd half)1.17
VipersPolice Uganda
1.6Goals scored (2nd half)0.67
VipersPolice Uganda
0Goals conceded (2nd half)0.83
VipersPolice Uganda
1.6Average goals (2nd half)1.5
VipersPolice Uganda
100%Clean sheet after half-time50%
VipersPolice Uganda
20%No goal after half-time50%
VipersPolice Uganda

Vipers - second-half results

80% W20% D0% L
9
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
+8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.80
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 60% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.4

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Police Uganda - second-half results

33% W17% D50% L
4
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.67
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Vipers - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.802.60
Goals scored / match1.01.6
Goals conceded / match0.40.0
Average goals in match1.41.6
1 goal100%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%100%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+3+8
Half-time: 60% leading - 0% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 5
Police Uganda - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.600.80
Goals scored / match0.00.6
Goals conceded / match1.01.0
Average goals in match1.01.6
1 goal40%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal100%60%
Goal difference-5-2
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Vipers
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
3
1
16-30
1
1
31-45
2
0
46-60
3
0
61-75
3
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Police Uganda
ScoredConceded
0
3
0-15
0
1
16-30
0
1
31-45
0
3
46-60
2
0
61-75
2
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.67
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
2.1 : 0.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
125%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
19%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+13%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
40%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
10%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 10 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Vipers

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.39
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.81
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+1.06
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.75
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
245%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
37%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

Police Uganda

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.23
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.77
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+4.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.75
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.02
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
62%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
158%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.37
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.7
Late goals
50% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
50%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).

Teams vs league

VipersLigaPolice Uganda
Average goals in match▲ 3.002.14▲ 2.33
Both teams scored▼ 20%35%▼ 17%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 60%39%▼ 33%
Clean sheets▲ 60%40%▲ 50%
Goal before half-time▲ 100%57%▼ 33%
Goal after half-time▲ 80%69%▲ 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.14
Average goals per match
35%
Both teams scored
39%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
40%
Clean sheets
1.06
Home goals / match
1.08
Away goals / match
+-2%
Home attack advantage
+-2%
Home defence advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
57%
1 goal
25%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
31%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Vipers 2 - 0 - 0 Police Uganda. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.

FAQ

When do Vipers and Police Uganda play?

Vipers face Police Uganda on 23 October 2026 in Uganda Premier League at St. Mary's Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Vipers and Police Uganda?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Vipers won 2, Police Uganda won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Vipers vs Police Uganda?

Vipers score 2.60 goals per game on average and Police Uganda 0.67. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.14 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 20% of Vipers's matches and 17% of Police Uganda's.

What form are Vipers and Police Uganda in?

Over the last 5 games Vipers have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Police Uganda 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Vipers vs Police Uganda?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.