Virtus Casarano vs Audace Cerignola: match statistics
Virtus Casarano vs Audace Cerignola: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Virtus Casarano played Audace Cerignola in Serie C Group C (Italy). The match was played on 15 September 2026. Venue: Stadio Giuseppe Capozza. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Virtus Casarano: 2-0-2, 1.50 points/match. Audace Cerignola: 3-0-1, 2.25 points/match.
Goal statistics
Virtus Casarano scores 2.00 and concedes 2.25 goals per match. Audace Cerignola scores 2.50 and concedes 1.00. League average: 3.14 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Virtus Casarano 75%, Audace Cerignola 50%. Over 2.5: Virtus Casarano 75%, Audace Cerignola 75%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 57%.
xG, shots and style
xG is very similar for both teams. Virtus Casarano: 12.5 shots per match, Audace Cerignola: 12.8.
Match halves
Virtus Casarano: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.50. Audace Cerignola: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.25.
Goals by minute
Virtus Casarano: 76-90+ (4 goals). Audace Cerignola: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group C: 3.14 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 57%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Virtus Casarano come into this match with a weaker overall record of 1 win and 2 defeats, but they won their only home game so far, scoring an average of 4 goals. The hosts create significantly more in the final third: they record 16 shots and 5 on target per match, with an average xG of 1.89, while Cerignola post an xG of 1.28 away from home. Audace Cerignola have shown better form over their last five matches, collecting 7 points compared with their opponents’ 4. However, they win only 50% of their away fixtures and allow opponents an xG of 2.24. Casarano’s defence remains vulnerable, conceding an average of 3 goals at home and failing to keep a clean sheet, which significantly increases the visitors’ chances of scoring. Nevertheless, the hosts’ possession advantage—63% compared with 44%—and greater chance creation slightly favour a home win in a match expected to feature plenty of opportunities.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The signal for both sides to score is moderately positive: Virtus Casarano had BTTS in 100% of their league matches so far, while Audace Cerignola recorded it in 50%. The hosts have not kept a single clean sheet, whereas the visitors have scored in every game, increasing the likelihood of a Goal/Goal outcome. In their last five matches, Cerignola recorded BTTS in as many as 80% of cases and averaged 1.6 goals, while Casarano conceded an average of 1.8 goals. Casarano have been less consistent in attack, averaging 1.0 goal across their last five appearances, but they produced 1.64 xG, while the visitors' defence allowed opponents 1.76 xG. This supports the BTTS scenario, although Cerignola's 50% clean-sheet rate reduces confidence in the pick. BTTS - No means that at least one team fails to score; it does not automatically mean a 0:0 result or that neither team will score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The prediction is based on an expected total of 3.05 goals, with estimates of 1.70 for Virtus Casarano and 1.35 for Audace Cerignola. The hosts create an average of 1.44 xG, while their opponents allow as much as 2.24 xG away from home, which clearly supports a Casarano goal. In their last five matches, Casarano conceded an average of 1.8 goals, while Cerignola scored 1.6, giving the visitors a realistic basis to contribute to the scoreline as well. Over 1.5 goals was recorded in 100% of both teams’ matches to date, and the league average of 3.1 goals further supports an open game. The strongest pick is Over 1.5, as even under a more cautious assessment of current form, the two-goal threshold remains clearly the most achievable.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by an Audace Cerignola victory at full-time, as the hosts have been level after 45 minutes in 80% of their last five matches, compared with 60% for the visitors. Virtus Casarano scored just 0.2 goals before the break during this period, while Cerignola averaged 0.8, limiting the hosts’ chances of taking an early lead. After the interval, the hosts conceded an average of 1.4 goals, and their record across the last five matches stands at just one win and as many as three defeats, whereas Cerignola won two of those five games. The visitors are also in better scoring form, averaging 1.6 goals per match compared with Virtus’ 1.0, so they should have a greater chance of turning an evenly balanced start in their favour.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Virtus Casarano | Audace Cerignola | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 44% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.53 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Audace Cerignola is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.5 pts / match - Virtus Casarano · 2.25 pts / match - Audace Cerignola
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Audace Cerignola is 25% better for: goals scored per match.
2 goals / match - Virtus Casarano · 2.5 goals / match - Audace Cerignola
Audace Cerignola is 125% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.25 goals / match - Virtus Casarano · 1 goals / match - Audace Cerignola
Virtus Casarano scores in 75% of matches (3 of 4 matches), while Audace Cerignola keeps a clean sheet in 50% (2 of 4 matches).
Audace Cerignola scores in 100% of matches (4 of 4 matches), while Virtus Casarano keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 4 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Virtus Casarano
Over / Under - Audace Cerignola
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Audace Cerignola is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Virtus Casarano · 1.75 pts / match - Audace Cerignola
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Virtus Casarano - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 1.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Audace Cerignola - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 75%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.5 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.3 | 2.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 3.5 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 25% | 75% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 75% |
| Clean sheet | 75% | 0% |
| No goal | 50% | 25% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.75 | 1.75 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 75% |
| 2 goals | 75% | 75% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 25% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 75% |
| No goal | 25% | 25% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Virtus Casarano
Audace Cerignola
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group C).
Teams vs league
| Virtus Casarano | Liga | Audace Cerignola | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.25 | 3.14 | ▲ 3.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 55% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 75% | 57% | ▲ 75% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 24% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 84% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 77% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Virtus Casarano 1 - 0 - 1 Audace Cerignola. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Virtus Casarano vs Audace Cerignola?
The Serie C Group C match finished Virtus Casarano 1:0 Audace Cerignola. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Virtus Casarano and Audace Cerignola?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Virtus Casarano won 1, Audace Cerignola won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Virtus Casarano vs Audace Cerignola?
Virtus Casarano score 2.00 goals per game on average and Audace Cerignola 2.50. The Serie C Group C average is 3.14 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Virtus Casarano's matches and 50% of Audace Cerignola's.
What form are Virtus Casarano and Audace Cerignola in?
Over the last 5 games Virtus Casarano have a 2-0-2 record (1.50 points per game) and Audace Cerignola 3-0-1 (2.25 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Virtus Casarano vs Audace Cerignola?
The statistical background for Virtus Casarano vs Audace Cerignola — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.