Virtus Casarano vs Monopoli: match statistics
Virtus Casarano vs Monopoli: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Virtus Casarano played Monopoli in Serie C Group C (Italy). The match was played on 27 September 2026. Venue: Stadio Giuseppe Capozza. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Virtus Casarano: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Monopoli: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Virtus Casarano scores 1.67 and concedes 1.67 goals per match. Monopoli scores 0.83 and concedes 0.67. League average: 2.91 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Virtus Casarano 67%, Monopoli 17%. Over 2.5: Virtus Casarano 50%, Monopoli 17%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Virtus Casarano has higher xG: 1.35 vs 1.12. Virtus Casarano: 11.0 shots per match, Monopoli: 9.0.
Match halves
Virtus Casarano: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.17. Monopoli: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.33.
Goals by minute
Virtus Casarano: 76-90+ (5 goals). Monopoli: 31-45+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group C: 2.91 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Virtus Casarano have won all three of their home matches so far, scoring an average of 2.67 goals per game, while Monopoli are yet to score away from home. The hosts are also in better overall form: they have recorded 3 wins and scored 9 goals in their last five matches, whereas the visitors have won just once and scored 4 goals. Monopoli do have the stronger away defensive record, conceding an average of 0.67 goals, but they have lost 67% of their matches on the road and failed to score in 100% of them. Casarano average 4.33 shots on target at home compared with Monopoli’s 2.33 away from home, which, combined with the home advantage, clearly favors the hosts. The risk of a draw remains significant, as the hosts allow opponents an xG of 2.04, but the visitors’ attacking shortcomings make a Casarano win the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal is Monopoli’s very poor away scoring record: the team has yet to score an away goal, and its rate of matches without scoring stands at 100%. BTTS has not occurred in any of Monopoli’s away fixtures, while Virtus Casarano has recorded BTTS in only 33% of its home matches. The hosts keep a clean sheet in 67% of their home appearances and concede just 0.67 goals on average, which significantly increases the risk of the visitors failing to score again. Monopoli have averaged only 0.8 goals scored per match across their last five games, although their xG of 1.19 and 40% BTTS rate in that run leave some room for a goal. However, the BTTS - No scenario—meaning at least one team fails to score—is more likely than BTTS - Yes, primarily due to the visitors’ attacking profile and Casarano’s solid defence.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Monopoli have yet to score away from home and failed to find the net in 100% of such matches, significantly limiting the visitors’ attacking potential. The hosts average 1.67 goals at home, but their average xG is only 1.07, making it difficult to expect a very high scoring output from either team. All of Monopoli’s away matches finished with under 2.5 goals, as did 67% of Virtus Casarano’s home games. In their last five matches, Monopoli conceded just 0.8 goals per game, and neither team has recorded a match with over 4.5 goals in the available data, making Under 3.5 the strongest statistically supported option.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
At home, Virtus Casarano score an average of 1.67 goals, concede just 0.67, and win 67% of their matches, while Monopoli have yet to score away from home and have lost 67% of their away games. The hosts led at the break in 2 of their 3 home appearances, whereas the visitors went into half-time trailing in 2 of 3 away matches; their average first-half goal tally is 0.00. Current form also favours Casarano: they have won 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 1.8 goals, compared with just 0.8 for Monopoli. Casarano have kept a clean sheet in 67% of their home matches, while Monopoli have failed to score in 100% of their away games, clearly reinforcing the scenario of a Casarano lead at the break and a home win at full-time (1/1). The hosts’ low xG of 1.07 compared with the visitors’ 1.16 calls for reduced confidence, but the results profile and Casarano’s finishing efficiency clearly favour the hosts.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Virtus Casarano | Monopoli | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Virtus Casarano is 25% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Virtus Casarano · 1.6 pts / match - Monopoli
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Virtus Casarano is 101% better for: goals scored per match.
1.67 goals / match - Virtus Casarano · 0.83 goals / match - Monopoli
Monopoli is 149% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.67 goals / match - Virtus Casarano · 0.67 goals / match - Monopoli
Virtus Casarano scores in 83% of matches (5 of 6 matches), while Monopoli keeps a clean sheet in 50% (3 of 6 matches).
Monopoli scores in 50% of matches (3 of 6 matches), while Virtus Casarano keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Virtus Casarano
Over / Under - Monopoli
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Virtus Casarano is 43% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.67 pts / match - Virtus Casarano · 1.17 pts / match - Monopoli
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Virtus Casarano - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 1.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Monopoli - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Virtus Casarano
Monopoli
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group C).
Teams vs league
| Virtus Casarano | Liga | Monopoli | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.33 | 2.91 | ▼ 1.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 57% | ▼ 17% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 54% | ▼ 17% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 26% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 76% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 73% | ▼ 33% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Virtus Casarano 0 - 0 - 2 Monopoli. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Virtus Casarano vs Monopoli?
The Serie C Group C match finished Virtus Casarano 0:1 Monopoli. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Virtus Casarano and Monopoli?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Virtus Casarano won 0, Monopoli won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Virtus Casarano vs Monopoli?
Virtus Casarano score 1.67 goals per game on average and Monopoli 0.83. The Serie C Group C average is 2.91 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Virtus Casarano's matches and 17% of Monopoli's.
What form are Virtus Casarano and Monopoli in?
Over the last 5 games Virtus Casarano have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Monopoli 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Virtus Casarano vs Monopoli?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.