Vitória Guimarães vs CD Nacional: match statistics
Vitória Guimarães vs CD Nacional: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Vitória Guimarães played CD Nacional in Liga NOS (Portugal). The match was played on 23 August 2026. Venue: Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Vitória Guimarães: 0-0-2, 0.00 points/match. CD Nacional: 1-1-0, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Vitória Guimarães scores 1.00 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. CD Nacional scores 2.00 and concedes 1.00. League average: 3.05 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Vitória Guimarães 50%, CD Nacional 50%. Over 2.5: Vitória Guimarães 50%, CD Nacional 50%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Vitória Guimarães has higher xG: 1.80 vs 1.55. Vitória Guimarães: 18.0 shots per match, CD Nacional: 15.0.
Match halves
Vitória Guimarães: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.00. CD Nacional: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Vitória Guimarães: 61-75 (2 goals). CD Nacional: 31-45+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga Portugal: 3.05 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
CD Nacional sit 5th, while Vitória Guimarães are only 16th, and the visitors remain unbeaten after two league matches (1 win and 1 draw). The hosts have lost their last five games, scoring just 3 goals and conceding as many as 12, which clearly raises concerns about their defensive stability. Nacional have picked up 8 points in their last five matches, with 6 goals scored and 4 conceded, while averaging 2 goals per game away from home. Vitória do create plenty of chances at home, with an average xG of 2.33 and just 0.48 xG allowed to opponents, but despite registering 24 shots per match, they have yet to score a single home goal. Nacional’s superior current efficiency and significantly stronger results trend point towards an away win, although the hosts’ unfulfilled attacking potential increases the likelihood of a draw.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The BTTS pick is not primarily based on Vitória Guimarães’ very poor recent finishing, as they have averaged just 0.6 goals over their last five matches and failed to win any of them. Nacional conceded only 0.8 goals per game during this period, while both teams recorded BTTS in just 40% and 20% of their respective last five appearances, below the league average of 47%. However, the hosts are creating a solid number of chances, with an average xG of 1.60 in recent matches and 1.90 across the season, so their goal remains a realistic possibility. On the other hand, Nacional have an xG of 1.23, while the hosts’ defence allows just 1.03 xG on average, limiting the visitors’ chances of scoring. Therefore, the most likely scenario is that at least one team—particularly Vitória—will fail to score, making BTTS - No the preferred outcome.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Recent form points to a more cautious scenario: Vitória scored just 0.6 goals per game across their last five matches, while Nacional averaged 1.2. Nacional’s games were particularly tight, with only 20% of their last five going over 2.5 goals and an average of 0.8 goals conceded per match. The hosts’ attacking potential is supported by an average xG of 1.6, but the visitors’ defence allows an average of 1.38 xG, limiting the projected output for each side to around 1.15 goals. Vitória did concede 2.4 goals per game in their last five, but their average xG against is only 1.03, suggesting that their defensive results have been partially inflated. A total projection of 2.30 goals, combined with the low frequency of high-scoring results, gives a clear edge to Under 3.5 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a win for CD Nacional, as the hosts were level after 45 minutes in 60% of their last five matches, while the visitors did so in 80%. Vitória failed to score before the break in this period and conceded an average of 1.2 goals, whereas Nacional scored 0.4 goals before half-time and conceded only 0.6. After the break, the visitors’ current-form advantage is clear: they score an average of 0.8 goals and concede 0.2, while Vitória concedes 1.2 goals and scores just 0.6. The hosts have lost all of their last five matches, averaging 0.6 goals scored and 2.4 conceded, whereas Nacional has collected 1.6 points per match and lost only 20% of those fixtures. Although Vitória has the higher average xG, 1.90 compared with 1.20, Nacional’s recent form and more solid defence point towards the match being decided after half-time in the visitors’ favour.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Vitória Guimarães | CD Nacional | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 17% | 23% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.57 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
CD Nacional is 100% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Vitória Guimarães · 2 goals / match - CD Nacional
CD Nacional is 100% better for: goals conceded per match.
2 goals / match - Vitória Guimarães · 1 goals / match - CD Nacional
Vitória Guimarães scores in 50% of matches (1 of 2 matches), while CD Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 matches).
CD Nacional scores in 100% of matches (2 of 2 matches), while Vitória Guimarães keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 2 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Vitória Guimarães
Over / Under - CD Nacional
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
CD Nacional is 100% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.5 pts / match - Vitória Guimarães · 1 pts / match - CD Nacional
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Vitória Guimarães - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
CD Nacional - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.50 | 1.50 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| Average goals in match | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 50% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 50% |
| No goal | 100% | 50% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 50% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 100% |
| No goal | 50% | 50% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Vitória Guimarães
CD Nacional
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).
Teams vs league
| Vitória Guimarães | Liga | CD Nacional | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.00 | 3.05 | • 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | • 50% | 50% | • 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 55% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 25% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 70% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 85% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Vitória Guimarães 1 - 0 - 1 CD Nacional. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Vitória Guimarães vs CD Nacional?
The Liga NOS match finished Vitória Guimarães 1:0 CD Nacional. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Vitória Guimarães and CD Nacional?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Vitória Guimarães won 1, CD Nacional won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Vitória Guimarães vs CD Nacional?
Vitória Guimarães score 1.00 goals per game on average and CD Nacional 2.00. The Liga NOS average is 3.05 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Vitória Guimarães's matches and 50% of CD Nacional's.
What form are Vitória Guimarães and CD Nacional in?
Over the last 5 games Vitória Guimarães have a 0-0-2 record (0.00 points per game) and CD Nacional 1-1-0 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Vitória Guimarães vs CD Nacional?
The statistical background for Vitória Guimarães vs CD Nacional — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.