Portugal - Liga NOSEstádio Dom Afonso HenriquesData current as of 18 September 2026

Vitória Guimarães vs Moreirense FC: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Vitória Guimarães vs Moreirense FC: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Vitória Guimarães play Moreirense FC in Liga NOS (Portugal). The match date is 20 September 2026. Venue: Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques.

Current form

Vitória Guimarães: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Moreirense FC: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Vitória Guimarães scores 0.67 and concedes 1.17 goals per match. Moreirense FC scores 1.17 and concedes 2.17. League average: 2.79 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Vitória Guimarães 33%, Moreirense FC 50%. Over 2.5: Vitória Guimarães 33%, Moreirense FC 83%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 57%.

xG, shots and style

Vitória Guimarães has higher xG: 1.97 vs 0.82. Vitória Guimarães: 19.7 shots per match, Moreirense FC: 7.3.

Match halves

Vitória Guimarães: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.50. Moreirense FC: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.33.

Goals by minute

Vitória Guimarães: 61-75 (3 goals). Moreirense FC: 16-30 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Liga Portugal: 2.79 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 57%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.49)
(4.00)
(6.00)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Vitória GuimarãesMoreirense FC
0.67Goals scored / match1.17
Vitória GuimarãesMoreirense FC
1.17Goals conceded / match2.17
Vitória GuimarãesMoreirense FC
Vitória GuimarãesMoreirense FC
54%Average possession36%
Vitória GuimarãesMoreirense FC
4.67Shots on target / match2.83
Vitória GuimarãesMoreirense FC
Vitória GuimarãesMoreirense FC

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

19.67Shots per match7.33
Vitória GuimarãesMoreirense FC
4.67Shots on target2.83
Vitória GuimarãesMoreirense FC
3.4%Shot conversion15.9%
Vitória GuimarãesMoreirense FC
54%Possession36%
Vitória GuimarãesMoreirense FC
1.97xG for0.82
Vitória GuimarãesMoreirense FC
0.85xG against1.79
Vitória GuimarãesMoreirense FC

Shooting quality

Vitória Guimarães: AttackingMoreirense FC: Counter-attacking
Vitória GuimarãesMoreirense FC
Accuracy (shots on target)24%39%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.100.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.140.41

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Moreirense FC is 50% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / match - Vitória Guimarães · 1.2 pts / match - Moreirense FC

Vitória Guimarães
LWLDL
Season result split
17% W17% D67% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-4
0.67 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-1-1
Last 5 at home
1-1-1
LWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.89Opponent xG: 0.92BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Moreirense FC
LWLLW
Season result split
33% W17% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-1-3
1.17 pts / match · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-2
Last 5 away
1-0-2
LWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 0.82Opponent xG: 1.86BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Moreirense FC is 75% better for: goals scored per match.

0.67 goals / match - Vitória Guimarães · 1.17 goals / match - Moreirense FC

Vitória Guimarães is 85% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.17 goals / match - Vitória Guimarães · 2.17 goals / match - Moreirense FC

Vitória Guimarães scoring profile: strong

Vitória Guimarães scores in 50% of matches (3 of 6 matches), while Moreirense FC keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 matches).

Moreirense FC scoring profile: strong

Moreirense FC scores in 67% of matches (4 of 6 matches), while Vitória Guimarães keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 matches).

4Goals scored (season)7
Vitória GuimarãesMoreirense FC
7Goals conceded (season)13
Vitória GuimarãesMoreirense FC
1.83Average goals in match3.33
Vitória GuimarãesMoreirense FC
4Goals scored (last 5)5
Vitória GuimarãesMoreirense FC
6Goals conceded (last 5)11
Vitória GuimarãesMoreirense FC

How often they score at least...

50%1 goal67%
Vitória GuimarãesMoreirense FC
17%2 goals33%
Vitória GuimarãesMoreirense FC
0%3 goals17%
Vitória GuimarãesMoreirense FC
0%4 goals0%
Vitória GuimarãesMoreirense FC

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal83%
Vitória GuimarãesMoreirense FC
33%2 goals67%
Vitória GuimarãesMoreirense FC
17%3 goals33%
Vitória GuimarãesMoreirense FC
0%4 goals33%
Vitória GuimarãesMoreirense FC

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

33%
Vitória Guimarães - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.2 of 6 matches
49%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time33%
Vitória GuimarãesMoreirense FC
0%BTTS in both halves17%
Vitória GuimarãesMoreirense FC
0%Scored in both halves33%
Vitória GuimarãesMoreirense FC

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
Vitória GuimarãesMoreirense FC
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS33%
Vitória GuimarãesMoreirense FC
40%BTTS - last 540%
Vitória GuimarãesMoreirense FC

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

1st half

33%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
Vitória GuimarãesMoreirense FC
17%Min. 2 goals before half-time67%
Vitória GuimarãesMoreirense FC
17%Min. 3 goals before half-time17%
Vitória GuimarãesMoreirense FC

2nd half

67%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
Vitória GuimarãesMoreirense FC
33%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
Vitória GuimarãesMoreirense FC
17%Min. 3 goals after half-time17%
Vitória GuimarãesMoreirense FC

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Moreirense FC is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.17 pts / match - Vitória Guimarães · 1.33 pts / match - Moreirense FC

Vitória Guimarães - half-time state
17% leading67% draw17% trailing
Moreirense FC - half-time state
33% leading33% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.17Points per match (1st half)1.33
Vitória GuimarãesMoreirense FC
0.17Goals scored (1st half)0.83
Vitória GuimarãesMoreirense FC
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)1
Vitória GuimarãesMoreirense FC
0.67Average goals (1st half)1.83
Vitória GuimarãesMoreirense FC
83%Clean sheet before half-time33%
Vitória GuimarãesMoreirense FC
83%No goal before half-time33%
Vitória GuimarãesMoreirense FC

After half-time (2nd half)

0.83Points per match (2nd half)0.5
Vitória GuimarãesMoreirense FC
0.5Goals scored (2nd half)0.33
Vitória GuimarãesMoreirense FC
0.67Goals conceded (2nd half)1.17
Vitória GuimarãesMoreirense FC
1.17Average goals (2nd half)1.5
Vitória GuimarãesMoreirense FC
50%Clean sheet after half-time17%
Vitória GuimarãesMoreirense FC
67%No goal after half-time67%
Vitória GuimarãesMoreirense FC

Vitória Guimarães - second-half results

17% W33% D50% L
7
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
5
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.17
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Moreirense FC - second-half results

0% W50% D50% L
8
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
3
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Vitória Guimarães - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.00
Goals scored / match0.20.6
Goals conceded / match0.60.6
Average goals in match0.81.2
1 goal40%60%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-20
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Moreirense FC - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.400.40
Goals scored / match0.80.2
Goals conceded / match1.01.2
Average goals in match1.81.4
1 goal100%80%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference-1-5
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Vitória Guimarães
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
0
1
16-30
0
1
31-45
0
2
46-60
3
0
61-75
0
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Moreirense FC
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
4
2
16-30
0
3
31-45
0
3
46-60
0
2
61-75
2
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.59
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
93%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
42%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-42%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
34%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
17%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 6 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Vitória Guimarães

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.12
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.62
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-1.30
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.32
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
49%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
82%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.13
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 25% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

Moreirense FC

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.97
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.03
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.35
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.38
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
82%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
157%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.03
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.5
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).

Teams vs league

Vitória GuimarãesLigaMoreirense FC
Average goals in match 1.832.79 3.33
Both teams scored 33%49% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 33%57% 83%
Clean sheets 33%28% 17%
Goal before half-time 33%72% 100%
Goal after half-time 67%75% 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.79
Average goals per match
49%
Both teams scored
57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.38
Home goals / match
1.42
Away goals / match
+-3%
Home attack advantage
+-3%
Home defence advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
23%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Vitória Guimarães 1 - 0 - 1 Moreirense FC. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.

Vitória Guimarães SC
1 : 0
Moreirense FC
Moreirense FC
2 : 0
Vitória Guimarães SC

FAQ

When do Vitória Guimarães and Moreirense FC play?

Vitória Guimarães face Moreirense FC on 20 September 2026 in Liga NOS at Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Vitória Guimarães and Moreirense FC?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Vitória Guimarães won 1, Moreirense FC won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Vitória Guimarães vs Moreirense FC?

Vitória Guimarães score 0.67 goals per game on average and Moreirense FC 1.17. The Liga NOS average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Vitória Guimarães's matches and 50% of Moreirense FC's.

What form are Vitória Guimarães and Moreirense FC in?

Over the last 5 games Vitória Guimarães have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Moreirense FC 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Vitória Guimarães vs Moreirense FC?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.