Vitória vs Chapecoense: match statistics
Vitória vs Chapecoense: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Vitória played Chapecoense in Serie A (Brazil). The match was played on 7 October 2026. Venue: Estádio Manoel Barradas. Final score: 4:0.
Current form
Vitória: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Chapecoense: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Vitória scores 1.00 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Chapecoense scores 1.07 and concedes 1.96. League average: 2.66 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Vitória 39%, Chapecoense 67%. Over 2.5: Vitória 39%, Chapecoense 56%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Vitória has higher xG: 1.31 vs 1.29. Vitória: 12.1 shots per match, Chapecoense: 12.7.
Match halves
Vitória: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.57. Chapecoense: half-time lead 7%, second-half goals 0.63.
Goals by minute
Vitória: 61-75 (7 goals). Chapecoense: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.66 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Vitória are favourites primarily due to their home record: they have won 64% of these matches, while Chapecoense have won just 7% of their away games and lost 64%. The hosts score an average of 1.29 goals and concede 0.86 at home, while the visitors average 0.79 goals scored and 1.71 conceded away. The quality of chances also favours Vitória: their home xG is 1.51, whereas Chapecoense allow chances worth an average of 2.14 xG on the road. However, some caution is warranted, as Vitória have won only 1 of their last 5 matches, compared with Chapecoense’s 2 out of 5. Despite the visitors’ improved form, their poor away record and failure to keep a clean sheet in these matches point to a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS - Yes landed in 69% of Vitória’s matches and 64% of Chapecoense’s, both above the league average of 60%. The hosts kept a clean sheet in only 15% of their matches, while the visitors did so in none, increasing the likelihood of goals at both ends. Across their last five matches, the teams conceded an average of 1.8 and 1.4 goals respectively, while their average xG stood at 1.57 and 1.49, indicating that both regularly create chances. Chapecoense’s finishing is the biggest risk to this pick: the visitors score an average of 0.79 goals and have failed to score in 36% of their matches. Even so, BTTS - Yes landed in 80% of their last five games, so a scenario in which both teams score remains more likely.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
At least two goals were scored in 85% of Vitória’s matches and 93% of Chapecoense’s, making this the strongest indicator in favour of Over 1.5 goals. Vitória average 1.38 goals scored, while Chapecoense concede 1.71; additionally, the hosts’ xG stands at 1.50, while their opponents allow chances worth 2.14 xG. The visitors score just 0.79 goals per match, but Vitória concede an average of 2.23, so a goal from Chapecoense is also a realistic possibility. Over 2.5 goals is less firmly supported by the data: it has landed in 69% of Vitória’s matches, but only 43% of Chapecoense’s, so Over 1.5 goals is the preferred pick.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome, as Vitória went into the break level in 62% of its matches, compared with 50% for Chapecoense. The hosts have an edge in chance creation, with an average xG of 1.50 versus 1.10 for the visitors, but they have won only 15% of their matches, making a home win a less compelling signal than a draw. Chapecoense did win 2 of the last 5 matches, compared with 1 Vitória win, but over the full period under review it won only 7% of its matches. The limited scoring effectiveness of both teams after the break also points towards the draw holding: Vitória failed to score after half-time in 62% of matches, and Chapecoense in 50%. Therefore, the X/X HT/FT scenario narrowly edges out a half-time draw followed by a home win.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Vitória | Chapecoense | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Chapecoense is 75% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Vitória · 1.4 pts / match - Chapecoense
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Chapecoense is 7% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Vitória · 1.07 goals / match - Chapecoense
Vitória is 31% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.5 goals / match - Vitória · 1.96 goals / match - Chapecoense
Vitória scores in 68% of matches (19 of 28 matches), while Chapecoense keeps a clean sheet in 7% (2 of 27 matches).
Chapecoense scores in 70% of matches (19 of 27 matches), while Vitória keeps a clean sheet in 36% (10 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Vitória
Over / Under - Chapecoense
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Vitória is 51% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.18 pts / match - Vitória · 0.78 pts / match - Chapecoense
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Vitória - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Chapecoense - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 7% of matches and wins 11%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 0% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Vitória
Chapecoense
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Vitória | Liga | Chapecoense | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.50 | 2.66 | ▲ 3.04 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 39% | 60% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 39% | 51% | ▲ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 36% | 23% | ▼ 7% |
| Goal before half-time | • 75% | 74% | ▼ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | • 79% | 79% | ▲ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Vitória 0 - 1 - 0 Chapecoense. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Vitória vs Chapecoense?
The Serie A match finished Vitória 4:0 Chapecoense. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Vitória vs Chapecoense?
Vitória score 1.00 goals per game on average and Chapecoense 1.07. The Serie A average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 39% of Vitória's matches and 67% of Chapecoense's.
What form are Vitória and Chapecoense in?
Over the last 5 games Vitória have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Chapecoense 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Vitória vs Chapecoense?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.