Brazil - Serie AEstádio Manoel BarradasData current as of 02 November 2026

Vitória vs Fluminense: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Vitória vs Fluminense: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Vitória play Fluminense in Serie A (Brazil). The match date is 6 November 2026. Venue: Estádio Manoel Barradas.

Current form

Vitória: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Fluminense: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Vitória scores 1.06 and concedes 1.45 goals per match. Fluminense scores 1.58 and concedes 1.27. League average: 2.66 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Vitória 42%, Fluminense 73%. Over 2.5: Vitória 39%, Fluminense 58%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 51%.

xG, shots and style

Fluminense has higher xG: 1.67 vs 1.30. Vitória: 11.9 shots per match, Fluminense: 14.7.

Match halves

Vitória: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.58. Fluminense: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.97.

Goals by minute

Vitória: 61-75 (9 goals). Fluminense: 76-90+ (18 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie A: 2.66 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 51%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-1. Average goals 2.33, BTTS 67%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(3.04)
(3.41)
(2.38)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

VitóriaFluminense
1.06Goals scored / match1.58
VitóriaFluminense
1.45Goals conceded / match1.27
VitóriaFluminense
45%Average possession59%
VitóriaFluminense
4.09Shots on target / match5.58
VitóriaFluminense

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.91Shots per match14.7
VitóriaFluminense
4.09Shots on target5.58
VitóriaFluminense
8.9%Shot conversion10.7%
VitóriaFluminense
45%Possession59%
VitóriaFluminense
1.3xG for1.67
VitóriaFluminense
1.7xG against1.44
VitóriaFluminense

Shooting quality

Vitória: BalancedFluminense: Dominant
VitóriaFluminense
Accuracy (shots on target)34%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.260.28

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Fluminense is 20% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Vitória · 1.2 pts / match - Fluminense

Vitória
WLDDL
Season result split
30% W24% D45% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-8-15
1.15 pts / match · goal difference -13
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
10-2-4
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
LWLWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.19Opponent xG: 1.81BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Fluminense
WLLLW
Season result split
45% W27% D27% L
Season (W-D-L)
15-9-9
1.64 pts / match · goal difference +10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-6-7
Last 5 away
1-1-3
DLWLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.69Opponent xG: 1.31BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Fluminense is 49% better for: goals scored per match.

1.06 goals / match - Vitória · 1.58 goals / match - Fluminense

Fluminense is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.45 goals / match - Vitória · 1.27 goals / match - Fluminense

Vitória scoring profile: very strong

Vitória scores in 70% of matches (23 of 33 matches), while Fluminense keeps a clean sheet in 18% (6 of 33 matches).

Fluminense scoring profile: very strong

Fluminense scores in 88% of matches (29 of 33 matches), while Vitória keeps a clean sheet in 33% (11 of 33 matches).

35Goals scored (season)52
VitóriaFluminense
48Goals conceded (season)42
VitóriaFluminense
2.52Average goals in match2.85
VitóriaFluminense
7Goals scored (last 5)8
VitóriaFluminense
6Goals conceded (last 5)6
VitóriaFluminense

How often they score at least...

70%1 goal88%
VitóriaFluminense
24%2 goals45%
VitóriaFluminense
6%3 goals21%
VitóriaFluminense
6%4 goals3%
VitóriaFluminense

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal82%
VitóriaFluminense
52%2 goals36%
VitóriaFluminense
18%3 goals9%
VitóriaFluminense
6%4 goals0%
VitóriaFluminense

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

59%
League average

Goal patterns

15%BTTS at half-time18%
VitóriaFluminense
0%BTTS in both halves12%
VitóriaFluminense
15%Scored in both halves30%
VitóriaFluminense

BTTS and goal count

30%Min. 3 goals and BTTS55%
VitóriaFluminense
9%Min. 3 goals without BTTS3%
VitóriaFluminense
60%BTTS - last 560%
VitóriaFluminense

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

76%Min. 1 goal before half-time70%
VitóriaFluminense
30%Min. 2 goals before half-time24%
VitóriaFluminense
9%Min. 3 goals before half-time6%
VitóriaFluminense

2nd half

79%Min. 1 goal after half-time88%
VitóriaFluminense
42%Min. 2 goals after half-time55%
VitóriaFluminense
15%Min. 3 goals after half-time33%
VitóriaFluminense

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Fluminense is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.27 pts / match - Vitória · 1.52 pts / match - Fluminense

Vitória - half-time state
30% leading36% draw33% trailing
Fluminense - half-time state
36% leading42% draw21% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.27Points per match (1st half)1.52
VitóriaFluminense
0.48Goals scored (1st half)0.61
VitóriaFluminense
0.67Goals conceded (1st half)0.39
VitóriaFluminense
1.15Average goals (1st half)1
VitóriaFluminense
52%Clean sheet before half-time64%
VitóriaFluminense
58%No goal before half-time48%
VitóriaFluminense

After half-time (2nd half)

1.18Points per match (2nd half)1.48
VitóriaFluminense
0.58Goals scored (2nd half)0.97
VitóriaFluminense
0.79Goals conceded (2nd half)0.88
VitóriaFluminense
1.36Average goals (2nd half)1.85
VitóriaFluminense
48%Clean sheet after half-time33%
VitóriaFluminense
58%No goal after half-time33%
VitóriaFluminense

Vitória - second-half results

30% W27% D42% L
42
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
39
Second-half points
-7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.27
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Fluminense - second-half results

39% W30% D30% L
50
Half-time points
20
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
49
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.52
PPG before half-time
Lead holding125%

Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Vitória - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.800.80
Goals scored / match0.80.6
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match1.21.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal20%80%
Goal difference+2-1
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4
Fluminense - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.20
Goals scored / match0.61.0
Goals conceded / match0.21.0
Average goals in match0.82.0
1 goal60%100%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+20
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 0% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Vitória
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
8
7
16-30
5
13
31-45
5
6
46-60
9
9
61-75
5
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.

Fluminense
ScoredConceded
3
7
0-15
9
1
16-30
8
5
31-45
8
10
46-60
6
9
61-75
18
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (18 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.68
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
101%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
58%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-13%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
62%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Vitória

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.40
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.01
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.24
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.25
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
69%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
128%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.15
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

Fluminense

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.23
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.08
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.09
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.17
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
140%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
83%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.44
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
35% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
35%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).

Teams vs league

VitóriaLigaFluminense
Average goals in match▼ 2.522.66▲ 2.85
Both teams scored▼ 42%59%▲ 73%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 39%51%▲ 58%
Clean sheets▲ 33%23%▼ 18%
Goal before half-time▲ 76%74%▼ 70%
Goal after half-time• 79%78%▲ 88%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.66
Average goals per match
59%
Both teams scored
51%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.53
Home goals / match
1.13
Away goals / match
+35%
Home attack advantage
+26%
Home defence advantage
+24%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Vitória 0 - 2 - 1 Fluminense. Average goals 2.33, both teams scored in 67% matches.

Fluminense
2 : 2
Vitória
EC Vitória
0 : 1
Fluminense FC
Fluminense FC
1 : 1
EC Vitória

FAQ

When do Vitória and Fluminense play?

Vitória face Fluminense on 6 November 2026 in Serie A at Estádio Manoel Barradas. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Vitória and Fluminense?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Vitória won 0, Fluminense won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Vitória vs Fluminense?

Vitória score 1.06 goals per game on average and Fluminense 1.58. The Serie A average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Vitória's matches and 73% of Fluminense's.

What form are Vitória and Fluminense in?

Over the last 5 games Vitória have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Fluminense 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Vitória vs Fluminense?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.