Wanderers vs Cerro Largo: match statistics
Wanderers vs Cerro Largo: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Wanderers played Cerro Largo in Primera División (Uruguay). The match was played on 15 August 2026. Venue: Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Wanderers: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Cerro Largo: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Wanderers scores 1.25 and concedes 1.25 goals per match. Cerro Largo scores 1.04 and concedes 1.09. League average: 2.35 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Wanderers 50%, Cerro Largo 35%. Over 2.5: Wanderers 50%, Cerro Largo 35%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 45%.
xG, shots and style
Wanderers has higher xG: 1.38 vs 1.28. Wanderers: 10.5 shots per match, Cerro Largo: 9.9.
Match halves
Wanderers: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.71. Cerro Largo: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.65.
Goals by minute
Wanderers: 31-45+ (6 goals). Cerro Largo: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.35 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 45%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 3-1-0. Average goals 1.75, BTTS 25%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Wanderers come into this match having won 4 of their last 5 games, averaging 1.6 goals per match over that stretch, while Cerro Largo have scored just 3 goals. At home, the hosts concede only 0.82 goals per game and keep a clean sheet in 55% of matches, which should limit a visiting side averaging just 0.67 goals away from home. Cerro Largo fail to score in as many as 58% of their away matches, with a conversion rate of 7% compared to Wanderers’ 11%. The hosts also post a higher average home xG of 1.32, versus Cerro Largo’s 1.26 away from home, while the visitors allow opponents chances worth an average of 1.63 xG. A draw remains a realistic possibility, given that 36% of Wanderers’ home matches have ended level, but the hosts’ superior current form and more solid defensive record point towards a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal in favor of BTTS - No is Cerro Largo’s very low scoring efficiency: an average of 0.67 goals per game this season and just 0.6 across their last five matches. The visitors have failed to score in 58% of their fixtures, while their season BTTS rate stands at only 17%, well below Wanderers’ 55% and the league average of 51%. Wanderers concede an average of 1.0 goal at home, whereas Cerro Largo have scored just 3 goals in their last five appearances, increasing the likelihood of another scoreless outing for the visitors. The hosts are clearly more efficient, averaging 1.45 goals with a 14% chance-conversion rate compared with the opponents’ 7%; therefore, a one-sided scoring scenario is more likely than both teams finding the net.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The match profile clearly points toward a limited number of goals: 82% of Wanderers’ matches and 83% of Cerro Largo’s games finished with Under 3.5 goals. The visitors average just 0.67 goals per match and failed to score in 58% of their games, significantly reducing the potential for a high-scoring game. Wanderers average 1.45 goals, yet at least 3 goals were scored in only 36% of their matches and 33% of Cerro Largo’s games. The visitors’ last five appearances produced just 3 goals, averaging 0.6 per match, so the projected total of 2.15 goals supports the Under 3.5 goals pick.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most logical starting point: Wanderers were level after 45 minutes in 36% of their matches, compared with 42% for Cerro Largo, while averaging just 0.91 and 0.75 goals respectively in the first half. However, the hosts have a clear advantage in terms of winning potential, scoring an average of 1.45 goals per match compared with Cerro Largo’s 0.67, with the visitors losing 50% of their matches this season. Wanderers’ advantage should grow after the break, as they average 1.00 goal in the second half, whereas the visitors average just 0.33, and Cerro Largo have failed to score after half-time in each of their last five matches. Recent form also favours the hosts: they have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 1.6 goals in those games, while Cerro Largo have recorded 3 draws and just 1 win. The X/1 scenario best combines a cautious, low-scoring first half with Wanderers’ greater efficiency in the closing stages of the match.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Wanderers | Cerro Largo | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Wanderers is 100% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Wanderers · 1.2 pts / match - Cerro Largo
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Wanderers is 20% better for: goals scored per match.
1.25 goals / match - Wanderers · 1.04 goals / match - Cerro Largo
Cerro Largo is 15% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.25 goals / match - Wanderers · 1.09 goals / match - Cerro Largo
Wanderers scores in 79% of matches (19 of 24 matches), while Cerro Largo keeps a clean sheet in 30% (7 of 23 matches).
Cerro Largo scores in 61% of matches (14 of 23 matches), while Wanderers keeps a clean sheet in 42% (10 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Wanderers
Over / Under - Cerro Largo
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Wanderers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Cerro Largo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Wanderers
Cerro Largo
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Wanderers | Liga | Cerro Largo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.50 | 2.35 | ▼ 2.13 |
| Both teams scored | • 50% | 51% | ▼ 35% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 45% | ▼ 35% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 42% | 29% | • 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 67% | ▲ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 75% | 72% | ▲ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Wanderers 3 - 1 - 0 Cerro Largo. Average goals 1.75, both teams scored in 25% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Wanderers vs Cerro Largo?
The Primera División match finished Wanderers 1:1 Cerro Largo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Wanderers and Cerro Largo?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Wanderers won 3, Cerro Largo won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Wanderers vs Cerro Largo?
Wanderers score 1.25 goals per game on average and Cerro Largo 1.04. The Primera División average is 2.35 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Wanderers's matches and 35% of Cerro Largo's.
What form are Wanderers and Cerro Largo in?
Over the last 5 games Wanderers have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Cerro Largo 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Wanderers vs Cerro Largo?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Wanderers vs Cerro Largo: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.