Wanderers vs Progreso: match statistics
Wanderers vs Progreso: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Wanderers play Progreso in Primera División (Uruguay). The match date is 11 July 2026 at 23:00. Venue: Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Wanderers: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Progreso: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Wanderers scores 1.24 and concedes 1.19 goals per match. Progreso scores 0.81 and concedes 1.52. League average: 2.40 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Wanderers 52%, Progreso 43%. Over 2.5: Wanderers 52%, Progreso 43%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 45%.
xG, shots and style
Wanderers has higher xG: 1.37 vs 1.16. Wanderers: 10.4 shots per match, Progreso: 8.5.
Match halves
Wanderers: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.67. Progreso: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.43.
Goals by minute
Wanderers: 31-45+ (6 goals). Progreso: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.40 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 45%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 0-1-2. Average goals 2.33, BTTS 67%.
Match description
Wanderers are the clear favorites — they have 7 wins this season and at home average 1.0 goal on 10.1 shots and 4.0 shots on target per match, while Progreso average only 0.78 goals on 7.78 shots and 3.33 shots on target away. Defensively the hosts are superior: Wanderers concede 0.9 goals per home match and keep clean sheets in 50% of home games, whereas Progreso concede 1.33 goals and have an 11% clean-sheet rate on the road. In the last 5 matches Wanderers have scored 7 and conceded 4 (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss, 1.6 points per game), while Progreso have 5 scored and 9 conceded with a record of 1 win and 4 losses (0.6 points per game). Average xG is 1.31 for the hosts versus 1.11 for the visitors, and the higher shot volume (10.1 vs 7.78) together with lower FTS (30% vs 44%) confirm better-quality chances for Wanderers. Considering the 40% home win rate versus the visitors’ 22% away win rate, plus superior defense and form, I tip a home victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Wanderers | Progreso | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Wanderers is 83% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Wanderers · 1.2 pts / match - Progreso
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Wanderers is 53% better for: goals scored per match.
1.24 goals / match - Wanderers · 0.81 goals / match - Progreso
Wanderers is 28% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.19 goals / match - Wanderers · 1.52 goals / match - Progreso
Wanderers scores in 76% of matches (16 of 21 matches), while Progreso keeps a clean sheet in 10% (2 of 21 matches).
Progreso scores in 52% of matches (11 of 21 matches), while Wanderers keeps a clean sheet in 38% (8 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Wanderers
Over / Under — Progreso
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Wanderers is 88% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.43 pts / match - Wanderers · 0.76 pts / match - Progreso
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Wanderers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Progreso - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 19%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Wanderers
Progreso
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Wanderers | Liga | Progreso | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.43 | 2.40 | • 2.33 |
| Both teams scored | • 52% | 53% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 52% | 45% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 27% | ▼ 10% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 76% | 69% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 73% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Wanderers 0 - 1 - 2 Progreso. Average goals 2.33, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Wanderers vs Progreso?
The Primera División match finished Wanderers 2:0 Progreso. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Wanderers and Progreso?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Wanderers won 0, Progreso won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Wanderers vs Progreso?
Wanderers score 1.24 goals per game on average and Progreso 0.81. The Primera División average is 2.40 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Wanderers's matches and 43% of Progreso's.
What form are Wanderers and Progreso in?
Over the last 5 games Wanderers have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Progreso 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Wanderers vs Progreso?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.