Warri Wolves vs Shooting Stars: match statistics
Warri Wolves vs Shooting Stars: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Warri Wolves played Shooting Stars in NPFL (Nigeria). The match was played on 27 September 2026. Venue: Warri Township Stadium. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Warri Wolves: 1-1-2, 1.00 points/match. Shooting Stars: 2-0-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Warri Wolves scores 0.50 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Shooting Stars scores 1.67 and concedes 1.33. League average: 2.64 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Warri Wolves 25%, Shooting Stars 67%. Over 2.5: Warri Wolves 25%, Shooting Stars 67%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Shooting Stars has higher xG: 1.27 vs 0.80. Warri Wolves: 2.3 shots per match, Shooting Stars: 9.7.
Match halves
Warri Wolves: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.00. Shooting Stars: half-time lead 100%, second-half goals 0.33.
Goals by minute
Warri Wolves: 0-15 (2 goals). Shooting Stars: 0-15 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NPFL: 2.64 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 4.50, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Warri Wolves have a clear home advantage: they won their only home match so far 1:0, keeping a clean sheet. Shooting Stars, meanwhile, lost their only away fixture, conceding 3 goals, while their defence allowed opponents an average of 1.99 xG. Both teams have scored 4 goals in their last five matches and recorded identical returns of 2 wins and 3 defeats, so the gap in attacking quality is not significant. Away from home, the visitors average 7 shots, including 3 on target, but generate only 1.16 xG, suggesting limited chance quality. Given Warri Wolves’ home efficiency and Shooting Stars’ defensive problems, a narrow home win is the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Although both teams have a 100% BTTS rate in the seasonal data for the specified setup, recent form clearly weakens this signal: in their last five matches, the figure stands at just 40% for each side. Warri Wolves have averaged 0.8 goals during this period, while Shooting Stars have also averaged 0.8, indicating limited potential for scoring regularly. Particularly significant is the home side’s defense, which allows opponents just 0.38 expected goals per match, while the visitors’ attacking xG stands at 1.16 in the broader dataset and only 0.85 in their recent matches. The hosts should have good opportunities to score against a Shooting Stars defense that concedes an average of 3.0 goals and allows 1.99 xG, but the more likely scenario is that the visitors will fail to respond with a goal. Therefore, the slightly stronger pick is BTTS - No, meaning that at least one team will finish the match without scoring.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Warri Wolves’ last five matches produced an average of 2.0 total goals, while Shooting Stars’ games averaged 2.2, with both teams scoring only 0.8 goals per match during this period. Warri Wolves have conceded an average of 1.2 goals in their last five appearances, compared with 1.4 for Shooting Stars, supporting a scoreline scenario of around two goals. The hosts’ defensive potential is confirmed by opponents’ average xG of just 0.38 in the season data, while Shooting Stars have recently generated only 0.85 xG per match. Although both teams have recorded Over 2.5 goals in 40% of their matches over the last five rounds, the 3.5 line offers a clear safety margin against the projected total of 1.95 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Shooting Stars have been stronger starters: in their last five matches, they were leading at the break in 60% of cases, while Warri Wolves held a half-time lead in only 20%. The visitors averaged 0.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded before half-time, whereas the hosts scored 0.6 and allowed opponents to score 0.8, reinforcing the case for an away advantage after 45 minutes. However, the match could turn around after the break, as Shooting Stars have failed to score a single second-half goal in their last five matches and conceded an average of 0.8 goals during that period. Warri Wolves also benefit from home advantage in a league where home teams average 1.74 goals compared with 0.91 for away teams, while the overall home-advantage rate stands at 70%. The most likely scenario is therefore that the visitors will take the lead before half-time, but Warri Wolves will complete the turnaround and win the match.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Warri Wolves | Shooting Stars | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | -11% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.36 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.00 | 0.42 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Shooting Stars is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Warri Wolves · 2 pts / match - Shooting Stars
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Shooting Stars is 234% better for: goals scored per match.
0.5 goals / match - Warri Wolves · 1.67 goals / match - Shooting Stars
Warri Wolves is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Warri Wolves · 1.33 goals / match - Shooting Stars
Warri Wolves scores in 50% of matches (2 of 4 matches), while Shooting Stars keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 matches).
Shooting Stars scores in 100% of matches (3 of 3 matches), while Warri Wolves keeps a clean sheet in 50% (2 of 4 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Warri Wolves
Over / Under - Shooting Stars
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Shooting Stars is 140% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.25 pts / match - Warri Wolves · 3 pts / match - Shooting Stars
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Warri Wolves - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Shooting Stars - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 100% of matches and wins 67%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.25 | 0.50 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| 1 goal | 75% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 25% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 50% |
| No goal | 50% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 3.00 | 1.33 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.3 | 0.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.3 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 67% |
| 2 goals | 33% | 33% |
| 3 goals | 33% | 33% |
| Clean sheet | 67% | 67% |
| No goal | 0% | 67% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Warri Wolves
Shooting Stars
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).
Teams vs league
| Warri Wolves | Liga | Shooting Stars | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.50 | 2.64 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 25% | 51% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 25% | 49% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 29% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | • 75% | 76% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 78% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Warri Wolves 0 - 0 - 2 Shooting Stars. Average goals 4.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Warri Wolves vs Shooting Stars?
The NPFL match finished Warri Wolves 1:0 Shooting Stars. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Warri Wolves and Shooting Stars?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Warri Wolves won 0, Shooting Stars won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Warri Wolves vs Shooting Stars?
Warri Wolves score 0.50 goals per game on average and Shooting Stars 1.67. The NPFL average is 2.64 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 25% of Warri Wolves's matches and 67% of Shooting Stars's.
What form are Warri Wolves and Shooting Stars in?
Over the last 5 games Warri Wolves have a 1-1-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Shooting Stars 2-0-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Warri Wolves vs Shooting Stars?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Warri Wolves vs Shooting Stars: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.