Warta Gorzów vs Zagłębie Lubin II: match statistics

Zagłębie Lubin II remain unbeaten after 5 matches, recording 3 wins and 2 draws, while Warta Gorzów have managed 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat over the same period. The visitors have scored 11 goals—nearly twice as many as Warta’s 6—and their average of 2.5 goals away from home clearly exceeds the hosts’ 1.0 goals per match at home. Warta are defensively solid on their own ground, however, conceding just 0.5 goals on average and keeping a clean sheet in 50% of matches, which increases the likelihood of a closely contested game. The hosts’ main issue is finishing: despite an xG of 1.49, they score an average of just one goal at home and have failed to find the net in 50% of such matches. The visitors’ stronger points return—2.2 points per game across their last five league fixtures compared with Warta’s 1.6—gives them a slight but clear advantage.

The signal for both teams to score is clear: BTTS occurred in 67% of Warta Gorzów’s matches and in as many as 100% of Zagłębie Lubin II’s fixtures, compared with a league average of 56%. Over the last five outings, these figures have remained high at 60% and 80%, respectively, while the teams conceded an average of 1.6 and 1.4 goals per match. Zagłębie averages 2.5 goals across the season and 2.2 in its last five matches, while Warta allows opponents an average of 1.33 goals per game. The hosts also possess strong attacking arguments, with an average xG of 1.98 for the season and 1.39 in their recent matches, alongside 1.79 xG conceded by their defence. The absence of goalless games for either side and the visitors’ 0% clean-sheet rate further strengthen the scenario in which both teams score at least once.

The match profile indicates a high probability of at least two goals: Warta averaged 2.0 goals per game this season, while Zagłębie’s reserves averaged 2.5. In their last five matches, the visitors scored 2.2 goals per game, whereas Warta conceded 1.6, clearly strengthening the goals forecast in favor of the away side. Over 2.5 goals landed in 60% of Warta’s recent matches and in 80% of Zagłębie’s games, while the league-wide average stands at 3.09 goals. Additionally, both teams scored at least once in 100% of their league matches this season, making Over 1.5 goals the most likely and safest choice.

Zagłębie Lubin II are in clearly better current form: they have averaged 2.2 goals and 2.2 points over their last five matches, compared with Warta’s 1.2 goals and 1.6 points. The visitors held a lead at the break in 60% of those games, while the hosts did so in only 20%; additionally, Zagłębie averaged 1.4 goals before half-time, compared with Warta’s mere 0.4. Warta remain dangerous at home, averaging 2.0 goals and winning 67% of their matches, but they have conceded as many as 1.6 goals per game across their last five outings. Zagłębie have avoided defeat in each of their last five matches, and their average of 2.2 goals scored against 1.4 conceded supports the scenario of taking the lead before half-time and holding on to it until the final whistle.