Poland - 3 Liga Group 1Stadion MOSiRData current as of 31 August 2026

Warta Sieradz vs Olimpia Elbląg: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Warta Sieradz vs Olimpia Elbląg: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Warta Sieradz play Olimpia Elbląg in 3 Liga Group 1 (Poland). The match date is 4 September 2026. Venue: Stadion MOSiR.

Current form

Warta Sieradz: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Olimpia Elbląg: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Warta Sieradz scores 1.50 and concedes 1.83 goals per match. Olimpia Elbląg scores 1.67 and concedes 2.00. League average: 3.63 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Warta Sieradz 67%, Olimpia Elbląg 83%. Over 2.5: Warta Sieradz 83%, Olimpia Elbląg 83%. League level: BTTS 70%, Over 2.5 69%.

xG, shots and style

Warta Sieradz has higher xG: 1.74 vs 1.57. Warta Sieradz: 15.3 shots per match, Olimpia Elbląg: 10.7.

Match halves

Warta Sieradz: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.00. Olimpia Elbląg: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.83.

Goals by minute

Warta Sieradz: 76-90+ (3 goals). Olimpia Elbląg: 31-45+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

3 Liga Group 1: 3.63 goals per match, BTTS 70%, Over 2.5 69%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg
1.5Goals scored / match1.67
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg
1.83Goals conceded / match2
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg
50%Average possession40%
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg
5.83Shots on target / match4
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

15.33Shots per match10.67
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg
5.83Shots on target4
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg
9.8%Shot conversion15.6%
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg
50%Possession40%
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg
1.74xG for1.57
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg
1.68xG against1.6
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg

Shooting quality

Warta Sieradz: AttackingOlimpia Elbląg: Counter-attacking
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg
Accuracy (shots on target)38%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.15
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.260.42

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Warta Sieradz
WDWLL
Season result split
33% W17% R50% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-1-3
1.17 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-1-2
Last 5 at home
0-1-2
LDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.70Opponent xG: 1.65BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
Olimpia Elbląg
WWLDL
Season result split
33% W17% R50% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-1-3
1.17 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-0
Last 5 away
1-1-0
WD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.65Opponent xG: 1.66BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Olimpia Elbląg is 11% better for: goals scored per match.

1.5 goals / match - Warta Sieradz · 1.67 goals / match - Olimpia Elbląg

Warta Sieradz is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.83 goals / match - Warta Sieradz · 2 goals / match - Olimpia Elbląg

Warta Sieradz scoring profile: very strong

Warta Sieradz scores in 83% of matches (5 of 6 matches), while Olimpia Elbląg keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 6 matches).

Olimpia Elbląg scoring profile: very strong

Olimpia Elbląg scores in 83% of matches (5 of 6 matches), while Warta Sieradz keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 matches).

9Goals scored (season)10
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg
11Goals conceded (season)12
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg
3.33Average goals in match3.67
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg
8Goals scored (last 5)9
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg
9Goals conceded (last 5)10
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg

How often they score at least...

83%1 goal83%
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg
33%2 goals50%
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg
17%3 goals17%
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg
17%4 goals17%
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg

How often they concede at least...

83%1 goal100%
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg
67%2 goals83%
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg
17%3 goals17%
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg
17%4 goals0%
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

70%
League average

Goal patterns

17%BTTS at half-time17%
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg
0%BTTS in both halves17%
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg
17%Scored in both halves17%
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg

BTTS and goal count

67%Min. 3 goals and BTTS83%
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg
17%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg
60%BTTS - last 580%
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time50%
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg
17%Min. 2 goals before half-time17%
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time17%
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg
67%Min. 2 goals after half-time83%
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg
50%Min. 3 goals after half-time67%
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Warta Sieradz - half-time state
33% leading50% draw17% trailing
Olimpia Elbląg - half-time state
33% leading50% draw17% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.5Points per match (1st half)1.5
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg
0.5Goals scored (1st half)0.5
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg
0.33Goals conceded (1st half)0.33
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg
0.83Average goals (1st half)0.83
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg
67%Clean sheet before half-time67%
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg
50%No goal before half-time67%
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg

After half-time (2nd half)

1.5Points per match (2nd half)1.17
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg
1Goals scored (2nd half)0.83
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg
1.5Goals conceded (2nd half)1.5
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg
2.5Average goals (2nd half)2.33
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg
17%Clean sheet after half-time17%
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg
50%No goal after half-time50%
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg

Warta Sieradz - second-half results

50% W0% R50% P
9
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+1.2

Concedes 1.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Olimpia Elbląg - second-half results

33% W17% R50% P
9
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+1.2

Concedes 1.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Warta Sieradz - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.80
Goals scored / match0.41.2
Goals conceded / match0.21.6
Average goals in match0.62.8
1 goal60%100%
2 goals0%80%
3 goals0%60%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+1-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 0% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Olimpia Elbląg - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.40
Goals scored / match0.60.8
Goals conceded / match0.41.4
Average goals in match1.02.2
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals20%60%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference+1-3
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Warta Sieradz
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
2
0
16-30
0
1
31-45
1
7
46-60
2
1
61-75
3
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Olimpia Elbląg
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
0
1
16-30
3
1
31-45
1
0
46-60
1
4
61-75
3
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.50
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.8 : 1.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
96%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
75%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
0%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
69%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Warta Sieradz

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.06
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.39
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.24
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.15
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
75%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
112%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.23
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

Olimpia Elbląg

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.03
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.30
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.10
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.40
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
102%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
100%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.23
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 1).

Teams vs league

Warta SieradzLigaOlimpia Elbląg
Average goals in match 3.333.63 3.67
Both teams scored 67%70% 83%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 83%69% 83%
Clean sheets 17%18% 0%
Goal before half-time 67%67% 50%
Goal after half-time 100%78% 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.63
Average goals per match
70%
Both teams scored
69%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
18%
Clean sheets
2.00
Home goals / match
1.63
Away goals / match
+23%
Home attack advantage
+19%
Home defence advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
26%
3 goals
7%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
59%
2 goals
41%
3 goals
17%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Warta Sieradz 2 - 0 - 0 Olimpia Elbląg. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Warta Sieradz
4 : 1
Olimpia Elbląg
Olimpia Elbląg
0 : 2
Warta Sieradz

FAQ

When do Warta Sieradz and Olimpia Elbląg play?

Warta Sieradz face Olimpia Elbląg on 4 September 2026 in 3 Liga Group 1 at Stadion MOSiR. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Warta Sieradz and Olimpia Elbląg?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Warta Sieradz won 2, Olimpia Elbląg won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Warta Sieradz vs Olimpia Elbląg?

Warta Sieradz score 1.50 goals per game on average and Olimpia Elbląg 1.67. The 3 Liga Group 1 average is 3.63 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 69% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Warta Sieradz's matches and 83% of Olimpia Elbląg's.

What form are Warta Sieradz and Olimpia Elbląg in?

Over the last 5 games Warta Sieradz have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Olimpia Elbląg 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Warta Sieradz vs Olimpia Elbląg?

The statistical background for Warta Sieradz vs Olimpia Elbląg — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.