Warta Sieradz vs Olimpia Elbląg: match statistics
Warta Sieradz vs Olimpia Elbląg: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Warta Sieradz played Olimpia Elbląg in 3 Liga Group 1 (Poland). The match was played on 4 September 2026. Venue: Stadion MOSiR. Final score: 4:1.
Current form
Warta Sieradz: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Olimpia Elbląg: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Warta Sieradz scores 1.50 and concedes 1.83 goals per match. Olimpia Elbląg scores 1.67 and concedes 2.00. League average: 3.63 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Warta Sieradz 67%, Olimpia Elbląg 83%. Over 2.5: Warta Sieradz 83%, Olimpia Elbląg 83%. League level: BTTS 70%, Over 2.5 69%.
xG, shots and style
Warta Sieradz has higher xG: 1.74 vs 1.57. Warta Sieradz: 15.3 shots per match, Olimpia Elbląg: 10.7.
Match halves
Warta Sieradz: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.00. Olimpia Elbląg: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.83.
Goals by minute
Warta Sieradz: 76-90+ (3 goals). Olimpia Elbląg: 31-45+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3 Liga Group 1: 3.63 goals per match, BTTS 70%, Over 2.5 69%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Olimpia Elbląg have significantly stronger away statistics, averaging 2.00 goals per match compared with Warta Sieradz’s home average of just 1.00. The hosts have failed to win any of their three home matches, losing two and conceding as many as 2.67 goals per game, without keeping a single clean sheet. Olimpia remain unbeaten away from home, recording one win and one draw, while their defence concedes an average of 1.50 goals. Warta do create more chances, taking 20.33 shots and posting an xG of 2.16, but convert just 5% of their attempts, compared with Olimpia’s 18% conversion rate. The visitors also have a positive away goal difference (+1), whereas the hosts sit at -5 at home, so the greater likelihood of victory should be attributed to Olimpia.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The BTTS signal is very strong: Warta has seen this outcome in 75% of matches, while Olimpia has done so in as many as 100%, compared with a league average of 70%. Neither team has kept a clean sheet yet, with the hosts conceding an average of 2.25 goals per match and the visitors 1.50. In their last five appearances, Warta scored 1.6 and conceded 1.8 goals per match, while Olimpia scored 1.8 and allowed opponents to score 2.0. Their attacking potential is supported by an xG of 1.53 for Warta and 1.75 for Olimpia, with each team averaging 5 shots on target per match. The scenario in which both sides score is clearly more likely than a match featuring at least one team failing to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams have so far played matches with at least 2 goals in 100% of their league games, creating a very strong signal for Over 1.5. Warta score an average of 1.5 goals and concede 2.25, while Olimpia score 2.0 goals per match, despite their defense conceding an average of 1.5 goals. In their last five appearances, the teams recorded an average of 3.4 and 3.8 total goals per match, respectively, with the 2.5-goal line being surpassed in 80% of each team’s games. Their attacking potential is further confirmed by combined average xG of approximately 3.2, with 5 shots on target per match for both sides. Over 1.5 is the safest pick, as it requires only two goals even with lower finishing efficiency, while both teams regularly concede.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is Warta leading at the break, with Olimpia winning after the final whistle — an HT/FT turnaround, represented by 1/2. At home, Warta have been ahead at half-time in 50% of their matches, scoring an average of 0.75 goals and conceding just 0.25, while Olimpia have failed to score before the break away from home and have gone into half-time trailing once. However, the balance should shift in favour of the visitors after the interval: Olimpia score an average of 2.0 goals per match in the second half, while Warta concede as many as 2.0. The overall quality of Olimpia also supports a turnaround, with the visitors averaging 2.0 goals from an xG of 1.75, compared with Warta’s 1.5 goals and 2.25 goals conceded per match. Warta have kept a clean sheet in none of their matches, and both teams’ match data regularly show goals after half-time, increasing the likelihood of a successful comeback by the visitors.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Warta Sieradz | Olimpia Elbląg | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.42 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Olimpia Elbląg is 11% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - Warta Sieradz · 1.67 goals / match - Olimpia Elbląg
Warta Sieradz is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.83 goals / match - Warta Sieradz · 2 goals / match - Olimpia Elbląg
Warta Sieradz scores in 83% of matches (5 of 6 matches), while Olimpia Elbląg keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 6 matches).
Olimpia Elbląg scores in 83% of matches (5 of 6 matches), while Warta Sieradz keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Warta Sieradz
Over / Under - Olimpia Elbląg
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Warta Sieradz - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 1.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Olimpia Elbląg - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 1.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Warta Sieradz
Olimpia Elbląg
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 1).
Teams vs league
| Warta Sieradz | Liga | Olimpia Elbląg | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.33 | 3.63 | • 3.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 67% | 70% | ▲ 83% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 83% | 69% | ▲ 83% |
| Clean sheets | • 17% | 18% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | • 67% | 67% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 78% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Warta SieradzGoalDawid Wierzba
- Warta SieradzGoalBartłomiej Kręcichwost
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Warta Sieradz 2 - 0 - 0 Olimpia Elbląg. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Warta Sieradz vs Olimpia Elbląg?
The 3 Liga Group 1 match finished Warta Sieradz 4:1 Olimpia Elbląg. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Warta Sieradz and Olimpia Elbląg?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Warta Sieradz won 2, Olimpia Elbląg won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Warta Sieradz vs Olimpia Elbląg?
Warta Sieradz score 1.50 goals per game on average and Olimpia Elbląg 1.67. The 3 Liga Group 1 average is 3.63 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 69% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Warta Sieradz's matches and 83% of Olimpia Elbląg's.
What form are Warta Sieradz and Olimpia Elbląg in?
Over the last 5 games Warta Sieradz have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Olimpia Elbląg 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Warta Sieradz vs Olimpia Elbląg?
The statistical background for Warta Sieradz vs Olimpia Elbląg — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.