Ireland - Premier DivisionWaterford Regional Sports CentreData current as of 17 October 2026

Waterford vs Galway United: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Waterford vs Galway United: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Waterford play Galway United in Premier Division (Ireland). The match date is 19 October 2026. Venue: Waterford Regional Sports Centre.

Current form

Waterford: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Galway United: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Waterford scores 1.36 and concedes 1.70 goals per match. Galway United scores 1.33 and concedes 1.45. League average: 2.79 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Waterford 61%, Galway United 67%. Over 2.5: Waterford 48%, Galway United 48%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 52%.

xG, shots and style

Waterford has higher xG: 1.45 vs 1.34. Waterford: 13.4 shots per match, Galway United: 12.0.

Match halves

Waterford: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.73. Galway United: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.76.

Goals by minute

Waterford: 31-45+ (14 goals). Galway United: 61-75 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Premier Division: 2.79 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 52%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 7 previous H2H matches were available: 2-3-2. Average goals 2.71, BTTS 57%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.06)
(4.16)
(3.08)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

WaterfordGalway United
1.36Goals scored / match1.33
WaterfordGalway United
1.7Goals conceded / match1.45
WaterfordGalway United
38%Average possession38%
WaterfordGalway United
4.15Shots on target / match3.76
WaterfordGalway United

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.36Shots per match11.97
WaterfordGalway United
4.15Shots on target3.76
WaterfordGalway United
10.2%Shot conversion11.1%
WaterfordGalway United
38%Possession38%
WaterfordGalway United
1.45xG for1.34
WaterfordGalway United
1.91xG against1.81
WaterfordGalway United

Shooting quality

Waterford: BalancedGalway United: Balanced
WaterfordGalway United
Accuracy (shots on target)31%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.35

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Galway United is 40% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Waterford · 1.4 pts / match - Galway United

Waterford
WDDLL
Season result split
21% W39% D39% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-13-13
1.03 pts / match · goal difference -11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-9-3
Last 5 at home
2-3-0
DWWDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.67Opponent xG: 1.59BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Galway United
LWLDW
Season result split
30% W33% D36% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-11-12
1.24 pts / match · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-5-7
Last 5 away
2-1-2
LDWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.22Opponent xG: 1.96BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Galway United is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.7 goals / match - Waterford · 1.45 goals / match - Galway United

Waterford scoring profile: very strong

Waterford scores in 70% of matches (23 of 33 matches), while Galway United keeps a clean sheet in 12% (4 of 33 matches).

Galway United scoring profile: very strong

Galway United scores in 73% of matches (24 of 33 matches), while Waterford keeps a clean sheet in 18% (6 of 33 matches).

45Goals scored (season)44
WaterfordGalway United
56Goals conceded (season)48
WaterfordGalway United
3.06Average goals in match2.79
WaterfordGalway United
8Goals scored (last 5)8
WaterfordGalway United
8Goals conceded (last 5)6
WaterfordGalway United

How often they score at least...

70%1 goal73%
WaterfordGalway United
39%2 goals39%
WaterfordGalway United
21%3 goals15%
WaterfordGalway United
6%4 goals6%
WaterfordGalway United

How often they concede at least...

82%1 goal88%
WaterfordGalway United
52%2 goals36%
WaterfordGalway United
21%3 goals18%
WaterfordGalway United
12%4 goals3%
WaterfordGalway United

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

60%
League average

Goal patterns

30%BTTS at half-time15%
WaterfordGalway United
12%BTTS in both halves3%
WaterfordGalway United
30%Scored in both halves27%
WaterfordGalway United

BTTS and goal count

42%Min. 3 goals and BTTS45%
WaterfordGalway United
6%Min. 3 goals without BTTS3%
WaterfordGalway United
80%BTTS - last 560%
WaterfordGalway United

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

82%Min. 1 goal before half-time70%
WaterfordGalway United
39%Min. 2 goals before half-time30%
WaterfordGalway United
15%Min. 3 goals before half-time15%
WaterfordGalway United

2nd half

79%Min. 1 goal after half-time79%
WaterfordGalway United
42%Min. 2 goals after half-time52%
WaterfordGalway United
30%Min. 3 goals after half-time21%
WaterfordGalway United

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Galway United is 29% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.12 pts / match - Waterford · 1.45 pts / match - Galway United

Waterford - half-time state
24% leading39% draw36% trailing
Galway United - half-time state
36% leading36% draw27% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.12Points per match (1st half)1.45
WaterfordGalway United
0.64Goals scored (1st half)0.58
WaterfordGalway United
0.76Goals conceded (1st half)0.61
WaterfordGalway United
1.39Average goals (1st half)1.18
WaterfordGalway United
39%Clean sheet before half-time61%
WaterfordGalway United
48%No goal before half-time55%
WaterfordGalway United

After half-time (2nd half)

1.18Points per match (2nd half)1.06
WaterfordGalway United
0.73Goals scored (2nd half)0.76
WaterfordGalway United
0.94Goals conceded (2nd half)0.85
WaterfordGalway United
1.67Average goals (2nd half)1.61
WaterfordGalway United
42%Clean sheet after half-time30%
WaterfordGalway United
52%No goal after half-time45%
WaterfordGalway United

Waterford - second-half results

30% W27% D42% L
37
Half-time points
21
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
39
Second-half points
-7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.12
PPG before half-time
Lead holding88%

Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 21%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Galway United - second-half results

18% W52% D30% L
48
Half-time points
19
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
35
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.45
PPG before half-time
Lead holding83%

Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 30%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Waterford - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.00
Goals scored / match0.80.8
Goals conceded / match0.61.0
Average goals in match1.41.8
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+1-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 4
Galway United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.401.00
Goals scored / match1.20.4
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match1.61.2
1 goal100%60%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+4-2
Half-time: 80% leading - 0% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Waterford
ScoredConceded
3
9
0-15
4
9
16-30
14
7
31-45
8
7
46-60
6
9
61-75
10
15
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

Galway United
ScoredConceded
4
6
0-15
6
8
16-30
9
6
31-45
5
3
46-60
11
5
61-75
9
20
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (20). Late-goal balance (76-90): -11 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.92
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
105%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
64%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-7%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
51%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Waterford

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.46
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.12
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.09
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.21
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
89%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
134%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.03
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

Galway United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.47
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.35
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.01
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.36
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
105%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
95%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.16
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier Division).

Teams vs league

WaterfordLigaGalway United
Average goals in match▲ 3.062.79• 2.79
Both teams scored• 61%60%▲ 67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 48%52%▼ 48%
Clean sheets▼ 18%24%▼ 12%
Goal before half-time▲ 82%75%▼ 70%
Goal after half-time▲ 79%77%▲ 79%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.79
Average goals per match
60%
Both teams scored
52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.52
Home goals / match
1.27
Away goals / match
+20%
Home attack advantage
+16%
Home defence advantage
+11%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (7): Waterford 2 - 3 - 2 Galway United. Average goals 2.71, both teams scored in 57% matches.

Galway United
0 : 0
Waterford
Waterford
1 : 1
Galway United
Galway United
4 : 3
Waterford
Waterford FC
1 : 1
Galway United FC
Galway United FC
2 : 4
Waterford FC
Waterford FC
1 : 0
Galway United FC
Galway United FC
1 : 0
Waterford FC

FAQ

When do Waterford and Galway United play?

Waterford face Galway United on 19 October 2026 in Premier Division at Waterford Regional Sports Centre. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Waterford and Galway United?

In the last 7 head-to-head matches Waterford won 2, Galway United won 2 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 2.71 goals, with both teams scoring in 57% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Waterford vs Galway United?

Waterford score 1.36 goals per game on average and Galway United 1.33. The Premier Division average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Waterford's matches and 67% of Galway United's.

What form are Waterford and Galway United in?

Over the last 5 games Waterford have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Galway United 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Waterford vs Galway United?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Waterford vs Galway United: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.