Watford vs Leicester City: match statistics
Watford holds a clear advantage as the home team with a 53% win rate at home and a positive goal difference of +9 in home matches. Leicester City is in 19th place in the table with very poor away form – only 21% wins away and a negative goal difference of -7. The hosts score an average of 1.53 goals per home match with an xG of 1.69, while Leicester concedes an average of 1.68 goals away with an xG Against of 1.7, confirming their defensive issues. The form in the last five matches also favors Watford (1.4 points per match vs 1.0 for Leicester). Considering all statistics, especially the home side's dominance at home and Leicester's away crisis, the most likely outcome is a Watford win, although a draw remains a realistic option due to both teams' inconsistent form.
Watford vs Leicester City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Watford played Leicester City in Championship (England). The match was played on 21 March 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Watford: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Leicester City: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Watford scores 1.32 and concedes 1.21 goals per match. Leicester City scores 1.34 and concedes 1.58. League average: 2.58 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Watford 63%, Leicester City 76%. Over 2.5: Watford 47%, Leicester City 61%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Watford has higher xG: 1.51 vs 1.30. Watford: 14.1 shots per match, Leicester City: 11.6.
Match halves
Watford: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.74. Leicester City: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.58.
Goals by minute
Watford: 76-90+ (13 goals). Leicester City: 0-15 (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Championship: 2.58 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Watford holds a clear advantage as the home team with a 53% win rate at home and a positive goal difference of +9 in home matches. Leicester City is in 19th place in the table with very poor away form – only 21% wins away and a negative goal difference of -7. The hosts score an average of 1.53 goals per home match with an xG of 1.69, while Leicester concedes an average of 1.68 goals away with an xG Against of 1.7, confirming their defensive issues. The form in the last five matches also favors Watford (1.4 points per match vs 1.0 for Leicester). Considering all statistics, especially the home side's dominance at home and Leicester's away crisis, the most likely outcome is a Watford win, although a draw remains a realistic option due to both teams' inconsistent form.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Watford | Leicester City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Watford is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Watford · 1 pts / match - Leicester City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Watford is 31% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.21 goals / match - Watford · 1.58 goals / match - Leicester City
Watford scores in 76% of matches (29 of 38 matches), while Leicester City keeps a clean sheet in 11% (4 of 38 matches).
Leicester City scores in 84% of matches (32 of 38 matches), while Watford keeps a clean sheet in 16% (6 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Watford
Over / Under - Leicester City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Leicester City is 23% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.11 pts / match - Watford · 1.37 pts / match - Leicester City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Watford - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Leicester City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 29%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (13 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Watford
Leicester City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Watford | Liga | Leicester City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.53 | 2.58 | ▲ 2.92 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 56% | ▲ 76% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 47% | 50% | ▲ 61% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 25% | ▼ 11% |
| Goal before half-time | • 71% | 71% | ▲ 87% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 79% | 77% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Watford 1 - 0 - 0 Leicester City. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Watford vs Leicester City?
The Championship match finished Watford 0:0 Leicester City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Watford vs Leicester City?
Watford score 1.32 goals per game on average and Leicester City 1.34. The Championship average is 2.58 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Watford's matches and 76% of Leicester City's.
What form are Watford and Leicester City in?
Over the last 5 games Watford have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Leicester City 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Watford vs Leicester City?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.