Wattens vs Sturm Graz: match statistics
Sturm Graz clearly dominates this matchup in all key statistics. The visitors are in 3rd place in the table with an impressive 78% away win rate, while Wattens are in 10th place with just a 38% home win rate. Sturm Graz has not recorded a single match without a goal scored away from home (FTS% 0%) and averages 2.11 goals per away match, which significantly outperforms the hosts' defense that concedes an average of 1.63 goals per home match. Additionally, the visitors keep 56% clean sheets away and have an advantage in possession (52% vs 45%). Wattens' form in the last 5 matches is poor (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses), while Sturm Graz shows greater stability with 2 wins in the last 5 matches. The goal difference (+10 for the visitors vs +1 for the hosts) and higher xG values (1.75 vs 1.43) further support a Sturm Graz victory.
Wattens vs Sturm Graz: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Wattens played Sturm Graz in Bundesliga (Austria). The match was played on 14 February 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Wattens: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Sturm Graz: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Wattens scores 1.33 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Sturm Graz scores 1.56 and concedes 1.28. League average: 2.70 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Wattens 67%, Sturm Graz 56%. Over 2.5: Wattens 50%, Sturm Graz 56%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Sturm Graz has higher xG: 1.72 vs 1.28. Wattens: 11.7 shots per match, Sturm Graz: 15.1.
Match halves
Wattens: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.78. Sturm Graz: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.83.
Goals by minute
Wattens: 61-75 (6 goals). Sturm Graz: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Bundesliga: 2.70 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Sturm Graz clearly dominates this matchup in all key statistics. The visitors are in 3rd place in the table with an impressive 78% away win rate, while Wattens are in 10th place with just a 38% home win rate. Sturm Graz has not recorded a single match without a goal scored away from home (FTS% 0%) and averages 2.11 goals per away match, which significantly outperforms the hosts' defense that concedes an average of 1.63 goals per home match. Additionally, the visitors keep 56% clean sheets away and have an advantage in possession (52% vs 45%). Wattens' form in the last 5 matches is poor (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses), while Sturm Graz shows greater stability with 2 wins in the last 5 matches. The goal difference (+10 for the visitors vs +1 for the hosts) and higher xG values (1.75 vs 1.43) further support a Sturm Graz victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Wattens | Sturm Graz | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sturm Graz is 125% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Wattens · 1.8 pts / match - Sturm Graz
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sturm Graz is 17% better for: goals scored per match.
1.33 goals / match - Wattens · 1.56 goals / match - Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.5 goals / match - Wattens · 1.28 goals / match - Sturm Graz
Wattens scores in 72% of matches (13 of 18 matches), while Sturm Graz keeps a clean sheet in 39% (7 of 18 matches).
Sturm Graz scores in 94% of matches (17 of 18 matches), while Wattens keeps a clean sheet in 17% (3 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Wattens
Over / Under - Sturm Graz
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sturm Graz is 41% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.11 pts / match - Wattens · 1.56 pts / match - Sturm Graz
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Wattens - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Sturm Graz - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Wattens
Sturm Graz
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Wattens | Liga | Sturm Graz | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.83 | 2.70 | ▲ 2.83 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 56% | • 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 55% | • 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 25% | ▲ 39% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 76% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | • 78% | 78% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Wattens 1 - 0 - 0 Sturm Graz. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Wattens vs Sturm Graz?
The Bundesliga match finished Wattens 1:0 Sturm Graz. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Wattens vs Sturm Graz?
Wattens score 1.33 goals per game on average and Sturm Graz 1.56. The Bundesliga average is 2.70 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Wattens's matches and 56% of Sturm Graz's.
What form are Wattens and Sturm Graz in?
Over the last 5 games Wattens have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Sturm Graz 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Wattens vs Sturm Graz?
The statistical background for Wattens vs Sturm Graz — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.