Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory FC: match statistics
Wellington Phoenix presents solid home form with a goal difference of 0 at their own stadium and a 38% win rate at home. The hosts score an average of 1.63 goals per match in home games, which, given their good xG rate (1.63), suggests efficiency in attack. Melbourne Victory FC has very poor results away – just 25% wins, a substantial 63% losses, and a negative goal difference (-6). The visitors struggle with scoring goals on the road (averaging 0.75 per match), and 50% of their matches end without a goal scored. Although Melbourne Victory has a higher average xG away (1.78), their low chance conversion (4%) and poor away form favor the hosts. Considering Wellington's advantage on their own turf and the visitors' efficiency issues, I bet on a home victory, though the match may be competitive.
Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory FC: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Wellington Phoenix played Melbourne Victory FC in A-League (Australia). The match was played on 6 February 2026. Final score: 2:3.
Current form
Wellington Phoenix: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Melbourne Victory FC: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Wellington Phoenix scores 1.60 and concedes 1.87 goals per match. Melbourne Victory FC scores 1.33 and concedes 1.27. League average: 2.76 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Wellington Phoenix 80%, Melbourne Victory FC 33%. Over 2.5: Wellington Phoenix 80%, Melbourne Victory FC 47%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Melbourne Victory FC has higher xG: 1.86 vs 1.50. Wellington Phoenix: 13.2 shots per match, Melbourne Victory FC: 17.3.
Match halves
Wellington Phoenix: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.00. Melbourne Victory FC: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.93.
Goals by minute
Wellington Phoenix: 46-60 (7 goals). Melbourne Victory FC: 46-60 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
A-League: 2.76 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 6.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Wellington Phoenix presents solid home form with a goal difference of 0 at their own stadium and a 38% win rate at home. The hosts score an average of 1.63 goals per match in home games, which, given their good xG rate (1.63), suggests efficiency in attack. Melbourne Victory FC has very poor results away – just 25% wins, a substantial 63% losses, and a negative goal difference (-6). The visitors struggle with scoring goals on the road (averaging 0.75 per match), and 50% of their matches end without a goal scored. Although Melbourne Victory has a higher average xG away (1.78), their low chance conversion (4%) and poor away form favor the hosts. Considering Wellington's advantage on their own turf and the visitors' efficiency issues, I bet on a home victory, though the match may be competitive.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Wellington Phoenix | Melbourne Victory FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Wellington Phoenix is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Wellington Phoenix · 1.2 pts / match - Melbourne Victory FC
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Wellington Phoenix is 20% better for: goals scored per match.
1.6 goals / match - Wellington Phoenix · 1.33 goals / match - Melbourne Victory FC
Melbourne Victory FC is 47% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.87 goals / match - Wellington Phoenix · 1.27 goals / match - Melbourne Victory FC
Wellington Phoenix scores in 93% of matches (14 of 15 matches), while Melbourne Victory FC keeps a clean sheet in 33% (5 of 15 matches).
Melbourne Victory FC scores in 53% of matches (8 of 15 matches), while Wellington Phoenix keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Wellington Phoenix
Over / Under - Melbourne Victory FC
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Wellington Phoenix is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.2 pts / match - Wellington Phoenix · 1 pts / match - Melbourne Victory FC
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Wellington Phoenix - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Melbourne Victory FC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory FC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (A-League).
Teams vs league
| Wellington Phoenix | Liga | Melbourne Victory FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.47 | 2.76 | ▼ 2.60 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 80% | 54% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 80% | 54% | ▼ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 26% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 87% | 73% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 93% | 75% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Wellington Phoenix 0 - 0 - 1 Melbourne Victory FC. Average goals 6.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory FC?
The A-League match finished Wellington Phoenix 2:3 Melbourne Victory FC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory FC?
Wellington Phoenix score 1.60 goals per game on average and Melbourne Victory FC 1.33. The A-League average is 2.76 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 80% of Wellington Phoenix's matches and 33% of Melbourne Victory FC's.
What form are Wellington Phoenix and Melbourne Victory FC in?
Over the last 5 games Wellington Phoenix have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Melbourne Victory FC 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory FC?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.