Switzerland - Challenge LeagueIGP ArenaData current as of 30 August 2026

Wil vs Aarau: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Wil vs Aarau: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Wil play Aarau in Challenge League (Switzerland). The match date is 31 August 2026. Venue: IGP Arena.

Current form

Wil: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Aarau: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Wil scores 1.40 and concedes 2.80 goals per match. Aarau scores 1.20 and concedes 1.60. League average: 2.84 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Wil 60%, Aarau 80%. Over 2.5: Wil 60%, Aarau 80%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 52%.

xG, shots and style

Aarau has higher xG: 1.51 vs 1.41. Wil: 14.6 shots per match, Aarau: 14.4.

Match halves

Wil: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.40. Aarau: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.80.

Goals by minute

Wil: 0-15 (3 goals). Aarau: 61-75 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Challenge League: 2.84 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 52%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-2. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 75%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.4Goals scored / match1.2
WilAarau
2.8Goals conceded / match1.6
WilAarau
45%Average possession49%
WilAarau
3.8Shots on target / match4
WilAarau

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

14.6Shots per match14.4
WilAarau
3.8Shots on target4
WilAarau
9.6%Shot conversion8.3%
WilAarau
45%Possession49%
WilAarau
1.41xG for1.51
WilAarau
1.7xG against1.29
WilAarau

Shooting quality

Wil: AttackingAarau: Attacking
WilAarau
Accuracy (shots on target)26%28%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.100.10
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.370.30

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Aarau is 75% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / match - Wil · 1.4 pts / match - Aarau

Wil
WLLLD
Season result split
20% W20% R60% P
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match · goal difference -7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-0-2
Last 5 at home
0-0-2
LL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 2.8xG: 1.41Opponent xG: 1.70BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Aarau
LDWLW
Season result split
40% W20% R40% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-2
Last 5 away
0-0-2
LL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.51Opponent xG: 1.29BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Wil is 17% better for: goals scored per match.

1.4 goals / match - Wil · 1.2 goals / match - Aarau

Aarau is 75% better for: goals conceded per match.

2.8 goals / match - Wil · 1.6 goals / match - Aarau

Wil scoring profile: very strong

Wil scores in 60% of matches (3 of 5 matches), while Aarau keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 5 matches).

Aarau scoring profile: very strong

Aarau scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while Wil keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 5 matches).

7Goals scored (season)6
WilAarau
14Goals conceded (season)8
WilAarau
4.2Average goals in match2.8
WilAarau
7Goals scored (last 5)6
WilAarau
14Goals conceded (last 5)8
WilAarau

How often they score at least...

60%1 goal80%
WilAarau
20%2 goals40%
WilAarau
20%3 goals0%
WilAarau
20%4 goals0%
WilAarau

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal100%
WilAarau
80%2 goals40%
WilAarau
40%3 goals20%
WilAarau
40%4 goals0%
WilAarau

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

60%BTTS at half-time0%
WilAarau
20%BTTS in both halves0%
WilAarau
20%Scored in both halves20%
WilAarau

BTTS and goal count

40%Min. 3 goals and BTTS60%
WilAarau
20%Min. 3 goals without BTTS20%
WilAarau
60%BTTS - last 580%
WilAarau

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time60%
WilAarau
80%Min. 2 goals before half-time20%
WilAarau
40%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
WilAarau

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
WilAarau
40%Min. 2 goals after half-time60%
WilAarau
20%Min. 3 goals after half-time40%
WilAarau

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Aarau is 60% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / match - Wil · 1.6 pts / match - Aarau

Wil - half-time state
20% leading40% draw40% trailing
Aarau - half-time state
40% leading40% draw20% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)1.6
WilAarau
1Goals scored (1st half)0.4
WilAarau
1.6Goals conceded (1st half)0.4
WilAarau
2.6Average goals (1st half)0.8
WilAarau
0%Clean sheet before half-time80%
WilAarau
40%No goal before half-time60%
WilAarau

After half-time (2nd half)

0.4Points per match (2nd half)1.4
WilAarau
0.4Goals scored (2nd half)0.8
WilAarau
1.2Goals conceded (2nd half)1.2
WilAarau
1.6Average goals (2nd half)2
WilAarau
20%Clean sheet after half-time20%
WilAarau
80%No goal after half-time40%
WilAarau

Wil - second-half results

0% W40% R60% P
5
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
2
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.4

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Aarau - second-half results

40% W20% R40% P
8
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.60
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.8

Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Wil - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.40
Goals scored / match1.00.4
Goals conceded / match1.61.2
Average goals in match2.61.6
1 goal100%80%
2 goals80%40%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet0%20%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference-3-4
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 5
Aarau - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.40
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match0.41.2
Average goals in match0.82.0
1 goal60%100%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference0-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Wil
ScoredConceded
3
5
0-15
1
1
16-30
1
2
31-45
1
1
46-60
0
0
61-75
1
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

Aarau
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
0
0
16-30
1
1
31-45
0
2
46-60
3
1
61-75
1
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.50
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 2.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
123%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
70%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
0%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
48%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Wil

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.29
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.11
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.01
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-1.10
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
85%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
233%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.6
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 43% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

Aarau

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.22
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.62
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.31
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.31
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
100%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
98%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Challenge League).

Teams vs league

WilLigaAarau
Average goals in match 4.202.84 2.80
Both teams scored 60%56% 80%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 60%52% 80%
Clean sheets 0%24% 0%
Goal before half-time 100%84% 60%
Goal after half-time 80%84% 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.84
Average goals per match
56%
Both teams scored
52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.64
Home goals / match
1.20
Away goals / match
+37%
Home attack advantage
+27%
Home defence advantage
+12%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
84%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
8%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
84%
1 goal
32%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (4): Wil 0 - 2 - 2 Aarau. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 75% matches.

Wil
2 : 2
Aarau
Aarau
2 : 2
Wil
Aarau
2 : 0
Wil
Wil
1 : 3
Aarau

FAQ

When do Wil and Aarau play?

Wil face Aarau on 31 August 2026 in Challenge League at IGP Arena. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Wil and Aarau?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches Wil won 0, Aarau won 2 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Wil vs Aarau?

Wil score 1.40 goals per game on average and Aarau 1.20. The Challenge League average is 2.84 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Wil's matches and 80% of Aarau's.

What form are Wil and Aarau in?

Over the last 5 games Wil have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Aarau 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Wil vs Aarau?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.