Wil vs Étoile Carouge: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates very evenly matched chances for both teams, which points towards a draw. Wil displays poor home form with only 31% wins and a negative goal difference (-6), and their last five matches are a series of draws and defeats. Étoile Carouge also struggles away from home, losing over half of their matches (54%), although their recent form is slightly better with two wins in their last five games. Both teams share an identical average of goals conceded (1.38) and a similar percentage of matches without scoring (38%), suggesting a defensive encounter. Considering the hosts' high draw rate (31%) and the balanced xG values of both sides, the most likely outcome is a draw, although the slight home advantage gives Wil a minimally greater chance of winning.
Wil vs Étoile Carouge: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Wil played Étoile Carouge in Challenge League (Switzerland). The match was played on 22 March 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Wil: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Étoile Carouge: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Wil scores 0.88 and concedes 1.46 goals per match. Étoile Carouge scores 1.08 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.80 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Wil 46%, Étoile Carouge 50%. Over 2.5: Wil 46%, Étoile Carouge 54%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Wil has higher xG: 1.42 vs 1.37. Wil: 12.3 shots per match, Étoile Carouge: 12.7.
Match halves
Wil: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.54. Étoile Carouge: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.65.
Goals by minute
Wil: 76-90+ (8 goals). Étoile Carouge: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Challenge League: 2.80 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 0.50, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates very evenly matched chances for both teams, which points towards a draw. Wil displays poor home form with only 31% wins and a negative goal difference (-6), and their last five matches are a series of draws and defeats. Étoile Carouge also struggles away from home, losing over half of their matches (54%), although their recent form is slightly better with two wins in their last five games. Both teams share an identical average of goals conceded (1.38) and a similar percentage of matches without scoring (38%), suggesting a defensive encounter. Considering the hosts' high draw rate (31%) and the balanced xG values of both sides, the most likely outcome is a draw, although the slight home advantage gives Wil a minimally greater chance of winning.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Wil | Étoile Carouge | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Étoile Carouge is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Wil · 1.4 pts / match - Étoile Carouge
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Étoile Carouge is 23% better for: goals scored per match.
0.88 goals / match - Wil · 1.08 goals / match - Étoile Carouge
Wil scores in 62% of matches (16 of 26 matches), while Étoile Carouge keeps a clean sheet in 23% (6 of 26 matches).
Étoile Carouge scores in 65% of matches (17 of 26 matches), while Wil keeps a clean sheet in 38% (10 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Wil
Over / Under - Étoile Carouge
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Wil is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.15 pts / match - Wil · 1.04 pts / match - Étoile Carouge
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Wil - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 23%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Étoile Carouge - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 23%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Wil
Étoile Carouge
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Challenge League).
Teams vs league
| Wil | Liga | Étoile Carouge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.35 | 2.80 | ▼ 2.58 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 46% | 51% | • 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 46% | 54% | • 54% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 28% | ▼ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 67% | ▼ 62% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 65% | 79% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Wil 1 - 1 - 0 Étoile Carouge. Average goals 0.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Wil vs Étoile Carouge?
The Challenge League match finished Wil 1:3 Étoile Carouge. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Wil and Étoile Carouge?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Wil won 1, Étoile Carouge won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 0.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Wil vs Étoile Carouge?
Wil score 0.88 goals per game on average and Étoile Carouge 1.08. The Challenge League average is 2.80 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 46% of Wil's matches and 50% of Étoile Carouge's.
What form are Wil and Étoile Carouge in?
Over the last 5 games Wil have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Étoile Carouge 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Wil vs Étoile Carouge?
The statistical background for Wil vs Étoile Carouge — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.