Winterthur vs Lugano: match statistics
Lugano is the clear favorite in this match, sitting in 2nd place in the table with an impressive record of 12 wins this season. Winterthur is in 12th position with just 3 wins and a disastrous home goal difference of -7, conceding an average of 2.3 goals per match. The visiting team shows a significant advantage in possession (58% vs 42%) and shooting efficiency, as confirmed by the average xG (1.67 vs 1.32). Lugano has scored 14 goals in their last 5 matches while conceding only 6, whereas the hosts have lost 3 of their last 5 games, conceding 13 goals. The form of both teams and Lugano's away statistics (45% win rate on the road) clearly point to an away win, although Winterthur's poor home form (0% clean sheets) could make the match more open than expected.
Winterthur vs Lugano: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Winterthur played Lugano in Super League (Switzerland). The match was played on 7 February 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Winterthur: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Lugano: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Winterthur scores 1.24 and concedes 2.71 goals per match. Lugano scores 1.73 and concedes 1.23. League average: 3.34 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Winterthur 67%, Lugano 59%. Over 2.5: Winterthur 86%, Lugano 55%. League level: BTTS 66%, Over 2.5 68%.
xG, shots and style
Lugano has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.30. Winterthur: 11.8 shots per match, Lugano: 13.8.
Match halves
Winterthur: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.81. Lugano: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.82.
Goals by minute
Winterthur: 61-75 (8 goals). Lugano: 61-75 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Super League: 3.34 goals per match, BTTS 66%, Over 2.5 68%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 5.50, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Lugano is the clear favorite in this match, sitting in 2nd place in the table with an impressive record of 12 wins this season. Winterthur is in 12th position with just 3 wins and a disastrous home goal difference of -7, conceding an average of 2.3 goals per match. The visiting team shows a significant advantage in possession (58% vs 42%) and shooting efficiency, as confirmed by the average xG (1.67 vs 1.32). Lugano has scored 14 goals in their last 5 matches while conceding only 6, whereas the hosts have lost 3 of their last 5 games, conceding 13 goals. The form of both teams and Lugano's away statistics (45% win rate on the road) clearly point to an away win, although Winterthur's poor home form (0% clean sheets) could make the match more open than expected.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Winterthur | Lugano | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Lugano is 225% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Winterthur · 2.6 pts / match - Lugano
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lugano is 40% better for: goals scored per match.
1.24 goals / match - Winterthur · 1.73 goals / match - Lugano
Lugano is 120% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.71 goals / match - Winterthur · 1.23 goals / match - Lugano
Winterthur scores in 67% of matches (14 of 21 matches), while Lugano keeps a clean sheet in 32% (7 of 22 matches).
Lugano scores in 86% of matches (19 of 22 matches), while Winterthur keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Winterthur
Over / Under - Lugano
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lugano is 87% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.9 pts / match - Winterthur · 1.68 pts / match - Lugano
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Winterthur - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 14%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Lugano - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +7 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Winterthur
Lugano
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Super League).
Teams vs league
| Winterthur | Liga | Lugano | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.95 | 3.34 | ▼ 2.95 |
| Both teams scored | • 67% | 66% | ▼ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 86% | 68% | ▼ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 19% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 76% | ▼ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 95% | 83% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Winterthur 0 - 0 - 2 Lugano. Average goals 5.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Winterthur vs Lugano?
The Super League match finished Winterthur 1:1 Lugano. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Winterthur and Lugano?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Winterthur won 0, Lugano won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 5.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Winterthur vs Lugano?
Winterthur score 1.24 goals per game on average and Lugano 1.73. The Super League average is 3.34 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 68% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Winterthur's matches and 59% of Lugano's.
What form are Winterthur and Lugano in?
Over the last 5 games Winterthur have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Lugano 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Winterthur vs Lugano?
The statistical background for Winterthur vs Lugano — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.