Winterthur vs Luzern: match statistics
Winterthur vs Luzern: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Winterthur played Luzern in Super League (Switzerland). The match was played on 16 May 2026. Final score: 0:3.
Current form
Winterthur: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Luzern: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Winterthur scores 1.19 and concedes 2.62 goals per match. Luzern scores 1.97 and concedes 1.78. League average: 3.28 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Winterthur 70%, Luzern 76%. Over 2.5: Winterthur 78%, Luzern 81%. League level: BTTS 66%, Over 2.5 67%.
xG, shots and style
Luzern has higher xG: 1.59 vs 1.33. Winterthur: 11.8 shots per match, Luzern: 14.5.
Match halves
Winterthur: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.65. Luzern: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 1.19.
Goals by minute
Winterthur: 61-75 (10 goals). Luzern: 76-90+ (20 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Super League: 3.28 goals per match, BTTS 66%, Over 2.5 67%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-1-0. Average goals 3.67, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The favorite is Luzern; the away side sits 7th in the table versus Winterthur’s 12th and has a significantly better goals record — 73 scored vs 44 for the hosts. Away, Luzern averages 1.72 goals scored and concedes 1.56 per match, while Winterthur at home scores 1.28 and concedes 2.22, giving the visitors an advantage in attacking efficiency (+0.44 goals per match) and defensively (-0.66 goals in favor of the away team). xG metrics confirm Luzern’s edge — xG for 1.52 vs 1.41 for the hosts, and xG against 1.7 vs 2.0 for Winterthur, meaning the hosts allow more high-quality chances. Form also favors the visitors: in the last 5 matches Luzern have 3 wins and 2 draws (11 points, 2.2 per match) while Winterthur have only 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses (4 points, 0.8 per match); in that span the hosts conceded 13 goals and Luzern 7. Considering the higher conversion rate (12% vs 10%), higher away win rate (44% vs 17%) and Winterthur’s lack of clean sheets at home (0%), I predict a Luzern win; suggested probability split: 60% away win, 25% draw, 15% home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Strong BTTS signal: Winterthur has BTTS at 84% this season, Luzern 67%, with the league average at 66%. In the last 5 matches both teams scored in 80% of games; during that period Winterthur averaged 1.8 goals scored and 2.6 conceded per game, while Luzern averaged 2.2 scored and 1.4 conceded. xG values confirm the chance exchange — Winterthur posts 1.66 xG per match and concedes 1.52 xG, Luzern has 1.52 xG and concedes 1.70 xG, meaning both teams create and allow opportunities. Seasonal figures are unambiguous: Winterthur has scored 44 and conceded 97, Luzern has scored 73 and conceded 66, and clean sheets occur in only 16% and 17% of matches; additionally matches over 2.5 goals occur for the home and away sides in 89% and 72% of cases, so the most likely scenario is BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I project 1.68 goals for Winterthur (attack xG 1.66 and xG conceded vs Luzern 1.70 → average 1.68) and 1.52 goals for Luzern (attack xG 1.52 and xG conceded vs Winterthur 1.52), totaling 3.20 expected goals. Season-long metrics indicate high goal potential: Over 2.5 goals occurs in 89% of Winterthur matches and 72% of Luzern matches (average 80.5%), and in the last 5 matches both clubs have 80% of games over 2.5. The probability of both teams scoring is high: Winterthur does so in 84% of games, Luzern in 67%, and the combination of Over 2.5 and Both Teams to Score occurs for Winterthur in 79% of cases, increasing the likelihood of goals from both sides. Shot data confirms offensive pressure: Winterthur averages 15.05 shots with 4.58 on target and a 15% conversion rate; Luzern averages 13.89 shots with 4.33 on target and a 12% conversion. Given the combined xG projection (3.20), high seasonal Over 2.5 (~80.5%) and frequent BTTS occurrences, I recommend backing Over 2.5 as the strongest line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
HT analysis shows Winterthur draw at half in 53% of matches and lead only in 26%, so the most likely half-time state is a draw. Luzern are in better form — they won 60% of their last 5 fixtures and average 1.56 points per match this season versus Winterthur’s 1.16, which increases their chances of winning after 90 minutes. The visitors are particularly strong after the break: in the last 5 matches they won the second half in 80% of cases, and the visitors’ average points gained after half-time in the last 5 is 2.4 versus 0.4 for the hosts, favoring a turnaround. Both teams score frequently (hosts in 84% of matches, visitors in 67%), and Winterthur games register at least one goal after the break in 95% of cases; therefore the X/2 scenario (draw at the break, visitors to win full-time) appears the strongest.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Winterthur | Luzern | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.44 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Luzern is 175% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Winterthur · 2.2 pts / match - Luzern
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Luzern is 66% better for: goals scored per match.
1.19 goals / match - Winterthur · 1.97 goals / match - Luzern
Luzern is 47% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.62 goals / match - Winterthur · 1.78 goals / match - Luzern
Winterthur scores in 70% of matches (26 of 37 matches), while Luzern keeps a clean sheet in 16% (6 of 37 matches).
Luzern scores in 89% of matches (33 of 37 matches), while Winterthur keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 37 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Winterthur
Over / Under - Luzern
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Luzern is 24% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.05 pts / match - Winterthur · 1.3 pts / match - Luzern
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Winterthur - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 14%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Luzern - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +7 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (23). Late-goal balance (76-90): -16 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (20 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Winterthur
Luzern
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Super League).
Teams vs league
| Winterthur | Liga | Luzern | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.81 | 3.28 | ▲ 3.76 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 70% | 66% | ▲ 76% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 78% | 67% | ▲ 81% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 19% | ▼ 16% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 84% | 76% | • 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 95% | 84% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Winterthur 2 - 1 - 0 Luzern. Average goals 3.67, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Winterthur vs Luzern?
The Super League match finished Winterthur 0:3 Luzern. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Winterthur and Luzern?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Winterthur won 2, Luzern won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Winterthur vs Luzern?
Winterthur score 1.19 goals per game on average and Luzern 1.97. The Super League average is 3.28 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 67% of games. Both teams score in 70% of Winterthur's matches and 76% of Luzern's.
What form are Winterthur and Luzern in?
Over the last 5 games Winterthur have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Luzern 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Winterthur vs Luzern?
The statistical background for Winterthur vs Luzern — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.