Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz: match statistics
Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Wolfsberger AC played Sturm Graz in Bundesliga (Austria). The match was played on 1 November 2026. Venue: Lavanttal Arena. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Wolfsberger AC: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match. Sturm Graz: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Wolfsberger AC scores 0.70 and concedes 1.90 goals per match. Sturm Graz scores 1.80 and concedes 1.20. League average: 3.17 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Wolfsberger AC 40%, Sturm Graz 60%. Over 2.5: Wolfsberger AC 60%, Sturm Graz 50%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 65%.
xG, shots and style
Sturm Graz has higher xG: 1.91 vs 1.18. Wolfsberger AC: 11.6 shots per match, Sturm Graz: 17.6.
Match halves
Wolfsberger AC: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.40. Sturm Graz: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Wolfsberger AC: 31-45+ (2 goals). Sturm Graz: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Bundesliga: 3.17 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 65%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Sturm Graz sit 4th and have won 3 of their last 5 matches, while 12th-placed Wolfsberger AC have lost all 5, scoring just 1 goal in the process. The visitors have created chances worth an average of 1.8 xG per away match, compared with the hosts’ 1.1 xG at home, and register more shots on target: 4.8 to 3. Wolfsberger concede an average of 1.8 goals at home, and their last 5 matches have yielded 11 goals conceded, increasing the visitors’ chances of capitalising on their attacking advantage. However, Sturm win only 40% of their away matches and score an average of 1.2 goals in them, so a draw remains a realistic outcome, although an away win is the most likely result.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest evidence against both teams scoring is Wolfsberger AC’s form: the team has scored just 1 goal in its last 5 matches, averaging 0.2 per game. Sturm Graz kept a clean sheet in 40% of its away matches, while its recent tally stands at 11 goals in 5 games, increasing the likelihood of a result in which only the visitors score. The case for BTTS - Yes is supported by Wolfsberger AC scoring in 80% of its home matches and averaging 2.4 goals at home, but that rate has fallen to 20% across its last 5 games. Although the hosts created chances worth an average of 1.45 xG during this period, they converted them into just 0.2 goals per game, so it is more likely that at least one team will fail to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals: this line was surpassed in 80% of Wolfsberger AC matches and 100% of Sturm Graz matches. The hosts score an average of 2.4 goals at home, but have managed just 0.2 goals per game across their last five matches, so I have lowered their projection to 1.35. Sturm have averaged 2.2 goals in their last five matches, while Wolfsberger have conceded 2.2, supporting a projection of 1.75 goals for the visitors. The combined projection of 3.10 goals also supports Over 2.5, but that line has landed in 60% of the hosts' matches and 40% of the visitors' matches, making Over 1.5 the clearer signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal points to Sturm leading at the break and holding on to their advantage: in their last five matches, the visitors led at half-time three times, while Wolfsberger were trailing at that stage four times. Over the same period, the hosts suffered five defeats and averaged just 0.2 goals per match, whereas Sturm won three games and scored an average of 2.2 goals. Home advantage tempers confidence in this pick, as Wolfsberger won 60% of their home matches and the teams were level at half-time in 60% of matches under the conditions analysed. Even so, current attacking form and first-half results lend stronger support to the 2/2 scenario than to a turnaround by the hosts.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Wolfsberger AC | Sturm Graz | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 25% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sturm Graz is 157% better for: goals scored per match.
0.7 goals / match - Wolfsberger AC · 1.8 goals / match - Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz is 58% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.9 goals / match - Wolfsberger AC · 1.2 goals / match - Sturm Graz
Wolfsberger AC scores in 50% of matches (5 of 10 matches), while Sturm Graz keeps a clean sheet in 30% (3 of 10 matches).
Sturm Graz scores in 90% of matches (9 of 10 matches), while Wolfsberger AC keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Wolfsberger AC
Over / Under - Sturm Graz
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sturm Graz is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.9 pts / match - Wolfsberger AC · 1.2 pts / match - Sturm Graz
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Wolfsberger AC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 10%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Sturm Graz - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 0% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -8 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Wolfsberger AC
Sturm Graz
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Wolfsberger AC | Liga | Sturm Graz | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.60 | 3.17 | ▼ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 56% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 60% | 65% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 24% | ▲ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 70% | 76% | ▼ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 80% | 84% | ▲ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Wolfsberger AC 1 - 1 - 0 Sturm Graz. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz?
The Bundesliga match finished Wolfsberger AC 1:1 Sturm Graz. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Wolfsberger AC and Sturm Graz?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Wolfsberger AC won 1, Sturm Graz won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz?
Wolfsberger AC score 0.70 goals per game on average and Sturm Graz 1.80. The Bundesliga average is 3.17 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Wolfsberger AC's matches and 60% of Sturm Graz's.
What form are Wolfsberger AC and Sturm Graz in?
Over the last 5 games Wolfsberger AC have a 0-0-5 record (0.00 points per game) and Sturm Graz 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.