England - EFL League OneAdams ParkData current as of 16 October 2026

Wycombe Wanderers vs Notts County: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Wycombe Wanderers vs Notts County: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Wycombe Wanderers play Notts County in EFL League One (England). The match date is 17 October 2026. Venue: Adams Park.

Current form

Wycombe Wanderers: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Notts County: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Wycombe Wanderers scores 1.56 and concedes 2.22 goals per match. Notts County scores 1.00 and concedes 1.38. League average: 2.87 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Wycombe Wanderers 89%, Notts County 75%. Over 2.5: Wycombe Wanderers 67%, Notts County 38%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 54%.

xG, shots and style

Wycombe Wanderers has higher xG: 1.50 vs 1.25. Wycombe Wanderers: 12.9 shots per match, Notts County: 12.0.

Match halves

Wycombe Wanderers: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.78. Notts County: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.75.

Goals by minute

Wycombe Wanderers: 0-15 (4 goals). Notts County: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League One: 2.87 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 54%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.04)
(3.48)
(3.42)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Wycombe WanderersNotts County
1.56Goals scored / match1
Wycombe WanderersNotts County
2.22Goals conceded / match1.38
Wycombe WanderersNotts County
50%Average possession46%
Wycombe WanderersNotts County
5.22Shots on target / match3.25
Wycombe WanderersNotts County

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.89Shots per match12
Wycombe WanderersNotts County
5.22Shots on target3.25
Wycombe WanderersNotts County
12.1%Shot conversion8.3%
Wycombe WanderersNotts County
50%Possession46%
Wycombe WanderersNotts County
1.5xG for1.25
Wycombe WanderersNotts County
1.65xG against1.35
Wycombe WanderersNotts County

Shooting quality

Wycombe Wanderers: BalancedNotts County: Balanced
Wycombe WanderersNotts County
Accuracy (shots on target)40%27%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.10
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.300.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Wycombe Wanderers is 300% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Wycombe Wanderers · 0.4 pts / match - Notts County

Wycombe Wanderers
DWWDL
Season result split
22% W44% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-4-3
1.11 pts / match · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-3-2
Last 5 at home
0-3-2
DLDDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.58Opponent xG: 1.54BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Notts County
DDLLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
13% W50% D38% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-4-3
0.88 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-3-1
Last 5 away
0-3-1
DDDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.07Opponent xG: 1.55BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 20%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Wycombe Wanderers is 56% better for: goals scored per match.

1.56 goals / match - Wycombe Wanderers · 1 goals / match - Notts County

Notts County is 61% better for: goals conceded per match.

2.22 goals / match - Wycombe Wanderers · 1.38 goals / match - Notts County

Wycombe Wanderers scoring profile: very strong

Wycombe Wanderers scores in 100% of matches (9 of 9 matches), while Notts County keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 8 matches).

Notts County scoring profile: very strong

Notts County scores in 75% of matches (6 of 8 matches), while Wycombe Wanderers keeps a clean sheet in 11% (1 of 9 matches).

14Goals scored (season)8
Wycombe WanderersNotts County
20Goals conceded (season)11
Wycombe WanderersNotts County
3.78Average goals in match2.38
Wycombe WanderersNotts County
10Goals scored (last 5)3
Wycombe WanderersNotts County
11Goals conceded (last 5)7
Wycombe WanderersNotts County

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal75%
Wycombe WanderersNotts County
33%2 goals25%
Wycombe WanderersNotts County
22%3 goals0%
Wycombe WanderersNotts County
0%4 goals0%
Wycombe WanderersNotts County

How often they concede at least...

89%1 goal100%
Wycombe WanderersNotts County
67%2 goals38%
Wycombe WanderersNotts County
33%3 goals0%
Wycombe WanderersNotts County
22%4 goals0%
Wycombe WanderersNotts County

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

61%
League average

Goal patterns

33%BTTS at half-time25%
Wycombe WanderersNotts County
11%BTTS in both halves13%
Wycombe WanderersNotts County
22%Scored in both halves13%
Wycombe WanderersNotts County

BTTS and goal count

67%Min. 3 goals and BTTS38%
Wycombe WanderersNotts County
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Wycombe WanderersNotts County
80%BTTS - last 560%
Wycombe WanderersNotts County

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

78%Min. 1 goal before half-time63%
Wycombe WanderersNotts County
56%Min. 2 goals before half-time25%
Wycombe WanderersNotts County
33%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Wycombe WanderersNotts County

2nd half

89%Min. 1 goal after half-time88%
Wycombe WanderersNotts County
56%Min. 2 goals after half-time63%
Wycombe WanderersNotts County
44%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
Wycombe WanderersNotts County

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Wycombe Wanderers is 94% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.22 pts / match - Wycombe Wanderers · 0.63 pts / match - Notts County

Wycombe Wanderers - half-time state
33% leading22% draw44% trailing
Notts County - half-time state
0% leading63% draw38% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.22Points per match (1st half)0.63
Wycombe WanderersNotts County
0.78Goals scored (1st half)0.25
Wycombe WanderersNotts County
0.89Goals conceded (1st half)0.63
Wycombe WanderersNotts County
1.67Average goals (1st half)0.88
Wycombe WanderersNotts County
44%Clean sheet before half-time38%
Wycombe WanderersNotts County
44%No goal before half-time75%
Wycombe WanderersNotts County

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per match (2nd half)1.25
Wycombe WanderersNotts County
0.78Goals scored (2nd half)0.75
Wycombe WanderersNotts County
1.33Goals conceded (2nd half)0.75
Wycombe WanderersNotts County
2.11Average goals (2nd half)1.5
Wycombe WanderersNotts County
33%Clean sheet after half-time38%
Wycombe WanderersNotts County
33%No goal after half-time38%
Wycombe WanderersNotts County

Wycombe Wanderers - second-half results

22% W33% D44% L
11
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.22
PPG before half-time
Lead holding67%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 22%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Notts County - second-half results

25% W50% D25% L
5
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.63
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Wycombe Wanderers - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.00
Goals scored / match0.81.2
Goals conceded / match0.61.6
Average goals in match1.42.8
1 goal60%100%
2 goals60%80%
3 goals20%60%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal60%0%
Goal difference+1-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Notts County - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.00
Goals scored / match0.20.4
Goals conceded / match0.60.8
Average goals in match0.81.2
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-2-2
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Wycombe Wanderers
ScoredConceded
4
1
0-15
0
5
16-30
3
2
31-45
1
7
46-60
3
1
61-75
3
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Notts County
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
1
2
16-30
1
2
31-45
0
2
46-60
2
3
61-75
4
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.08
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
107%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
82%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
75%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Wycombe Wanderers

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.15
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.51
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.06
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.57
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
105%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
159%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.49
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 29% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

Notts County

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.10
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.28
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.25
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.03
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
71%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
93%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.48
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
50% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
50%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).

Teams vs league

Wycombe WanderersLigaNotts County
Average goals in match▲ 3.782.87▼ 2.38
Both teams scored▲ 89%61%▲ 75%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 67%54%▼ 38%
Clean sheets▼ 11%24%▼ 0%
Goal before half-time▲ 78%65%▼ 63%
Goal after half-time▲ 89%83%▲ 88%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.87
Average goals per match
61%
Both teams scored
54%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.48
Home goals / match
1.40
Away goals / match
+6%
Home attack advantage
+5%
Home defence advantage
+2%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
65%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
27%
3 goals
13%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Wycombe Wanderers and Notts County play?

Wycombe Wanderers face Notts County on 17 October 2026 in EFL League One at Adams Park. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Wycombe Wanderers vs Notts County?

Wycombe Wanderers score 1.56 goals per game on average and Notts County 1.00. The EFL League One average is 2.87 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 89% of Wycombe Wanderers's matches and 75% of Notts County's.

What form are Wycombe Wanderers and Notts County in?

Over the last 5 games Wycombe Wanderers have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Notts County 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Wycombe Wanderers vs Notts County?

The statistical background for Wycombe Wanderers vs Notts County — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.