England - Southern League Premier SouthLodge RoadData current as of 22 October 2026

Yate Town vs Berkhamsted: match statistics

Yate Town crest
Yate Town
0 : 3half-time 0:0
Berkhamsted crest
Berkhamsted

Yate Town vs Berkhamsted: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Yate Town played Berkhamsted in Southern League Premier South (England). The match was played on 10 October 2026. Venue: Lodge Road. Final score: 0:3.

Current form

Yate Town: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Berkhamsted: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Yate Town scores 1.44 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Berkhamsted scores 1.10 and concedes 1.40. League average: 3.08 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Yate Town 78%, Berkhamsted 50%. Over 2.5: Yate Town 67%, Berkhamsted 50%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 58%.

xG, shots and style

Berkhamsted has higher xG: 1.25 vs 1.03. Yate Town: -0.2 shots per match, Berkhamsted: 5.1.

Match halves

Yate Town: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 0.67. Berkhamsted: half-time lead 10%, second-half goals 0.80.

Goals by minute

Yate Town: 31-45+ (4 goals). Berkhamsted: 31-45+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Southern League Premier South: 3.08 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 58%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 50%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Yate Town have the home advantage: they have won 50% of their home matches and scored an average of 1.75 goals, while Berkhamsted have won 20% of their away games and averaged 0.8 goals. The visitors have failed to score in 40% of their away appearances, and their average away xG is 0.88, limiting their prospects of exploiting the hosts’ defensive weaknesses. However, Yate Town concede an average of 2 goals at home, so their advantage is not decisive. Recent form is another note of caution: the hosts have not won any of their last 5 matches, scoring 4 goals, while Berkhamsted have won 3 of their last 5 and scored 10. Despite the visitors’ improved scoring form, their away record suggests a slight lean towards a Yate Town win.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

The strongest signal against both teams scoring concerns the away side: on the road, they average 0.8 goals and 1.5 shots on target, and fail to score in 40% of matches. Yate Town keep a clean sheet in 60% of their home games, further increasing the risk that Berkhamsted will fail to score. At the same time, the hosts average 1.4 goals at home, while the visitors concede 1.8 on the road, making a Yate Town goal more likely than a goalless draw. Berkhamsted’s recent form supports BTTS - Yes, with an average of 2.0 goals scored across their last five matches, compared with 1.8 conceded by Yate Town. The edge therefore remains slight in favour of BTTS - No, which means at least one team is expected not to score—not necessarily a 0-0 result.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

The strongest signal points to at least two goals: the 1.5 line was surpassed in 60% of Yate Town matches and 80% of Berkhamsted matches. Over their last five games, these teams averaged 2.6 and 3.2 goals respectively, so their recent results also support this pick. Yate Town score an average of 1.4 goals, while Berkhamsted concede 1.8; meanwhile, the visitors score 0.8 goals, with the hosts conceding an average of 1.0. Although no more than three goals were scored in 80% of matches involving either team, the projected total of 2.70 goals offers a clearer edge on Over 1.5 than on either side of the 2.5 and 3.5 lines.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome: Berkhamsted were level at the break in 4 of their 5 away matches, while Yate Town were level in 2 of their 5 home games. The hosts averaged just 0.2 goals before half-time, but 1.2 after the break, while the visitors conceded an average of 1.0 goals in the second half. Yate Town’s home record also supports a home win, with 3 wins in 5 matches, as does their average of 5.5 shots on target compared with Berkhamsted’s 1.5 in away appearances. In addition, the hosts won the second half in 80% of their home matches, while the visitors lost it in 60% of their away games, strengthening the case for a draw at half-time and a Yate Town win at full-time. Recent form increases the risk of this pick: Berkhamsted have won 3 of their last 5 matches, while Yate Town have won none, so an away win also remains a realistic scenario.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
0 : 3
2nd half

Match statistics

-1Possession (%)-1
Yate TownBerkhamsted
-1Shots-1
Yate TownBerkhamsted
-1Shots on target-1
Yate TownBerkhamsted
0xG0
Yate TownBerkhamsted
-1Corners-1
Yate TownBerkhamsted
0Dangerous attacks0
Yate TownBerkhamsted
-1Fouls-1
Yate TownBerkhamsted
-1Cards-1
Yate TownBerkhamsted

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Yate TownBerkhamsted
1.44Goals scored / match1.1
Yate TownBerkhamsted
2Goals conceded / match1.4
Yate TownBerkhamsted
4%Average possession30%
Yate TownBerkhamsted
-0.33Shots on target / match2.1
Yate TownBerkhamsted

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

-0.22Shots per match5.1
Yate TownBerkhamsted
-0.33Shots on target2.1
Yate TownBerkhamsted
-650%Shot conversion21.6%
Yate TownBerkhamsted
4%Possession30%
Yate TownBerkhamsted
1.03xG for1.25
Yate TownBerkhamsted
1.47xG against1.26
Yate TownBerkhamsted

Shooting quality

Yate Town: BalancedBerkhamsted: Counter-attacking
Yate TownBerkhamsted
Accuracy (shots on target)0%41%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.000.25
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.000.52

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Berkhamsted is 75% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / match - Yate Town · 1.4 pts / match - Berkhamsted

Yate Town
LLWLD
Season result split
33% W33% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-3-3
1.33 pts / match · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-1
Last 5 at home
2-1-1
WWLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 3.0xG: 0.00Opponent xG: 0.00BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 100%
Berkhamsted
WDWLL
Season result split
40% W10% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-1-5
1.30 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-3
Last 5 away
1-1-3
LLWDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.22Opponent xG: 1.14BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Yate Town is 31% better for: goals scored per match.

1.44 goals / match - Yate Town · 1.1 goals / match - Berkhamsted

Berkhamsted is 43% better for: goals conceded per match.

2 goals / match - Yate Town · 1.4 goals / match - Berkhamsted

Yate Town scoring profile: very strong

Yate Town scores in 89% of matches (8 of 9 matches), while Berkhamsted keeps a clean sheet in 40% (4 of 10 matches).

Berkhamsted scoring profile: very strong

Berkhamsted scores in 80% of matches (8 of 10 matches), while Yate Town keeps a clean sheet in 11% (1 of 9 matches).

13Goals scored (season)11
Yate TownBerkhamsted
18Goals conceded (season)14
Yate TownBerkhamsted
3.44Average goals in match2.5
Yate TownBerkhamsted
8Goals scored (last 5)3
Yate TownBerkhamsted
15Goals conceded (last 5)4
Yate TownBerkhamsted

How often they score at least...

89%1 goal80%
Yate TownBerkhamsted
33%2 goals30%
Yate TownBerkhamsted
22%3 goals0%
Yate TownBerkhamsted
0%4 goals0%
Yate TownBerkhamsted

How often they concede at least...

89%1 goal60%
Yate TownBerkhamsted
56%2 goals50%
Yate TownBerkhamsted
33%3 goals20%
Yate TownBerkhamsted
22%4 goals10%
Yate TownBerkhamsted

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

60%
League average

Goal patterns

22%BTTS at half-time20%
Yate TownBerkhamsted
11%BTTS in both halves0%
Yate TownBerkhamsted
11%Scored in both halves20%
Yate TownBerkhamsted

BTTS and goal count

56%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
Yate TownBerkhamsted
11%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Yate TownBerkhamsted
80%BTTS - last 520%
Yate TownBerkhamsted

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time60%
Yate TownBerkhamsted
44%Min. 2 goals before half-time40%
Yate TownBerkhamsted
33%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Yate TownBerkhamsted

2nd half

89%Min. 1 goal after half-time90%
Yate TownBerkhamsted
44%Min. 2 goals after half-time30%
Yate TownBerkhamsted
22%Min. 3 goals after half-time20%
Yate TownBerkhamsted

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Yate Town is 86% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.67 pts / match - Yate Town · 0.9 pts / match - Berkhamsted

Yate Town - half-time state
44% leading33% draw22% trailing
Berkhamsted - half-time state
10% leading60% draw30% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.67Points per match (1st half)0.9
Yate TownBerkhamsted
0.78Goals scored (1st half)0.3
Yate TownBerkhamsted
0.78Goals conceded (1st half)0.7
Yate TownBerkhamsted
1.56Average goals (1st half)1
Yate TownBerkhamsted
67%Clean sheet before half-time50%
Yate TownBerkhamsted
44%No goal before half-time70%
Yate TownBerkhamsted

After half-time (2nd half)

0.44Points per match (2nd half)1.7
Yate TownBerkhamsted
0.67Goals scored (2nd half)0.8
Yate TownBerkhamsted
1.22Goals conceded (2nd half)0.7
Yate TownBerkhamsted
1.89Average goals (2nd half)1.5
Yate TownBerkhamsted
11%Clean sheet after half-time60%
Yate TownBerkhamsted
56%No goal after half-time30%
Yate TownBerkhamsted

Yate Town - second-half results

0% W44% D56% L
15
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
4
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.67
PPG before half-time
Lead holding75%

Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 33%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Berkhamsted - second-half results

50% W20% D30% L
9
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
17
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.90
PPG before half-time
Lead holding400%

Leads at half-time in 10% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Yate Town - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.40
Goals scored / match0.61.0
Goals conceded / match1.41.6
Average goals in match2.02.6
1 goal60%100%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals60%40%
Clean sheet40%0%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-4-3
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3
Berkhamsted - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.802.00
Goals scored / match0.00.6
Goals conceded / match0.40.4
Average goals in match0.41.0
1 goal20%80%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal100%40%
Goal difference-2+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Yate Town
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
1
3
16-30
4
3
31-45
1
3
46-60
2
5
61-75
3
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Berkhamsted
ScoredConceded
0
2
0-15
0
3
16-30
3
2
31-45
2
2
46-60
3
2
61-75
3
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.97
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
96%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
64%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-66%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
71%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Yate Town

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.44
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.12
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.41
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.53
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
80%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
155%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.53
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

Berkhamsted

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.01
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.29
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.15
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.14
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
85%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
78%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Southern League Premier South).

Teams vs league

Yate TownLigaBerkhamsted
Average goals in match▲ 3.443.08▼ 2.50
Both teams scored▲ 78%60%▼ 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 67%58%▼ 50%
Clean sheets▼ 11%23%▲ 40%
Goal before half-time▼ 67%78%▼ 60%
Goal after half-time▲ 89%85%▲ 90%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.08
Average goals per match
60%
Both teams scored
58%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.79
Home goals / match
1.29
Away goals / match
+39%
Home attack advantage
+28%
Home defence advantage
+20%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
85%
1 goal
48%
2 goals
25%
3 goals
13%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Home team

Away team

Other recorded players

—Ricky German⚽ 1

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. BerkhamstedGoalRicky German

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Yate Town 0 - 2 - 0 Berkhamsted. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Berkhamsted
1 : 1
Yate Town
Yate Town
0 : 0
Berkhamsted

FAQ

What was the result of Yate Town vs Berkhamsted?

The Southern League Premier South match finished Yate Town 0:3 Berkhamsted. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Yate Town and Berkhamsted?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Yate Town won 0, Berkhamsted won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Yate Town vs Berkhamsted?

Yate Town score 1.44 goals per game on average and Berkhamsted 1.10. The Southern League Premier South average is 3.08 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 58% of games. Both teams score in 78% of Yate Town's matches and 50% of Berkhamsted's.

What form are Yate Town and Berkhamsted in?

Over the last 5 games Yate Town have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Berkhamsted 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Yate Town vs Berkhamsted?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Yate Town vs Berkhamsted: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.