Yokohama vs Urawa Reds: match statistics

Yokohama are unbeaten in their last five matches, winning four and drawing one, while Urawa Reds have recorded four wins and one defeat. The hosts conceded 5 goals during this period, compared with 7 by the visitors, giving them a slight defensive edge. Urawa, however, have attacking credentials: they scored 11 goals in their last five matches, against Yokohama’s 10, and registered an xG of 2,38 and 10 shots on target in their only away match so far. The visitors’ away data covers just one game, while the lack of meaningful home statistics for Yokohama makes it difficult to assess the home advantage. The hosts’ slightly more consistent form and stronger defence point towards a win, although Urawa’s attacking threat suggests this will be a closely contested match.

In their last 5 matches, both teams scored in 60% of Yokohama’s games and 80% of Urawa Reds’ games, which supports a BTTS - Yes pick. Over this period, Yokohama averaged 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, while Urawa scored 2.2 and conceded 1.4 goals per match. Their attacking potential is also reflected in the average xG from those matches: 1.46 for the hosts and 1.55 for the visitors, with Urawa allowing opponents chances worth 1.22 xG. The league average for matches in which both teams score is 45%, so this prediction is not without risk, but both sides’ recent scoring form provides a stronger signal in favour of BTTS - Yes.

Yokohama’s last 5 matches averaged 3.0 goals, while Urawa’s averaged 3.6, meaning both teams regularly feature in games with at least two goals. Yokohama scored an average of 2.0 goals over this period and Urawa 2.2, with average xG of 1.46 and 1.55 respectively, confirming the attacking potential of both sides. Over 2.5 goals landed in 60% of Yokohama’s last 5 matches and 80% of Urawa’s, compared with 53% across the competition. However, the strongest signal is for Over 1.5 goals: a forecast of 3.25 total goals supports this more conservative line, although the small cup-match sample limits confidence in the assessment.

Yokohama led at the break in 4 of their last 5 matches, compared with Urawa in 3 of 5; the hosts averaged 1.4 first-half goals against 1.2 for the visitors. Both teams won 4 of their last 5 matches, but Yokohama remained unbeaten in that run and conceded an average of 1.0 goals per match, while Urawa conceded 1.4. After half-time, the hosts conceded an average of 0.6 goals during this period, compared with 1.2 for the visitors, increasing the likelihood of a lead being held. Urawa won their only match in the competition so far 3–2 and recorded an xG of 2.38, so a Urawa win remains a relevant possibility. However, the competition data covers only one Urawa match and does not yet include a Yokohama appearance, so the pick of Yokohama to lead at the break and win is based primarily on comparable form across their last 5 matches.