Canada - Canadian Premier LeagueData current as of 21 October 2026

York9 FC vs Atlético Ottawa: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

York9 FC vs Atlético Ottawa: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

York9 FC play Atlético Ottawa in Canadian Premier League (Canada). The match date is 25 October 2026.

Current form

York9 FC: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Atlético Ottawa: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

York9 FC scores 1.48 and concedes 2.37 goals per match. Atlético Ottawa scores 1.52 and concedes 1.59. League average: 3.16 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: York9 FC 78%, Atlético Ottawa 63%. Over 2.5: York9 FC 70%, Atlético Ottawa 67%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 59%.

xG, shots and style

York9 FC has higher xG: 1.31 vs 1.30. York9 FC: 12.2 shots per match, Atlético Ottawa: 11.6.

Match halves

York9 FC: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.70. Atlético Ottawa: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 1.15.

Goals by minute

York9 FC: 0-15 (11 goals). Atlético Ottawa: 76-90+ (17 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Canadian Premier League: 3.16 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 59%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 7 previous H2H matches were available: 1-4-2. Average goals 2.71, BTTS 71%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.95)
(3.80)
(2.06)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

York9 FCAtlético Ottawa
1.48Goals scored / match1.52
York9 FCAtlético Ottawa
2.37Goals conceded / match1.59
York9 FCAtlético Ottawa
50%Average possession58%
York9 FCAtlético Ottawa
3.96Shots on target / match4
York9 FCAtlético Ottawa

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.19Shots per match11.56
York9 FCAtlético Ottawa
3.96Shots on target4
York9 FCAtlético Ottawa
12.2%Shot conversion13.1%
York9 FCAtlético Ottawa
50%Possession58%
York9 FCAtlético Ottawa
1.31xG for1.3
York9 FCAtlético Ottawa
1.88xG against1.59
York9 FCAtlético Ottawa

Shooting quality

York9 FC: BalancedAtlético Ottawa: Efficient finishing
York9 FCAtlético Ottawa
Accuracy (shots on target)32%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.370.38

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Atlético Ottawa is 200% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / match - York9 FC · 1.8 pts / match - Atlético Ottawa

York9 FC
LWLLL
Season result split
22% W33% D44% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-9-12
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -24
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-3-5
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
DWLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 3.0xG: 1.28Opponent xG: 1.92BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 100%
Atlético Ottawa
LWWWL
Season result split
48% W15% D37% L
Season (W-D-L)
13-4-10
1.59 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-1-7
Last 5 away
3-0-2
WLLWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.15Opponent xG: 1.83BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Atlético Ottawa is 49% better for: goals conceded per match.

2.37 goals / match - York9 FC · 1.59 goals / match - Atlético Ottawa

York9 FC scoring profile: very strong

York9 FC scores in 85% of matches (23 of 27 matches), while Atlético Ottawa keeps a clean sheet in 22% (6 of 27 matches).

Atlético Ottawa scoring profile: very strong

Atlético Ottawa scores in 81% of matches (22 of 27 matches), while York9 FC keeps a clean sheet in 7% (2 of 27 matches).

40Goals scored (season)41
York9 FCAtlético Ottawa
64Goals conceded (season)43
York9 FCAtlético Ottawa
3.85Average goals in match3.11
York9 FCAtlético Ottawa
7Goals scored (last 5)7
York9 FCAtlético Ottawa
15Goals conceded (last 5)6
York9 FCAtlético Ottawa

How often they score at least...

85%1 goal81%
York9 FCAtlético Ottawa
30%2 goals41%
York9 FCAtlético Ottawa
26%3 goals19%
York9 FCAtlético Ottawa
7%4 goals7%
York9 FCAtlético Ottawa

How often they concede at least...

93%1 goal78%
York9 FCAtlético Ottawa
59%2 goals52%
York9 FCAtlético Ottawa
48%3 goals26%
York9 FCAtlético Ottawa
26%4 goals4%
York9 FCAtlético Ottawa

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

63%
Atlético Ottawa - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.17 of 27 matches
63%
League average

Goal patterns

30%BTTS at half-time7%
York9 FCAtlético Ottawa
7%BTTS in both halves0%
York9 FCAtlético Ottawa
19%Scored in both halves15%
York9 FCAtlético Ottawa

BTTS and goal count

56%Min. 3 goals and BTTS56%
York9 FCAtlético Ottawa
15%Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%
York9 FCAtlético Ottawa
60%BTTS - last 540%
York9 FCAtlético Ottawa

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

81%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
York9 FCAtlético Ottawa
48%Min. 2 goals before half-time26%
York9 FCAtlético Ottawa
26%Min. 3 goals before half-time19%
York9 FCAtlético Ottawa

2nd half

78%Min. 1 goal after half-time85%
York9 FCAtlético Ottawa
59%Min. 2 goals after half-time59%
York9 FCAtlético Ottawa
41%Min. 3 goals after half-time33%
York9 FCAtlético Ottawa

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

York9 FC is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.3 pts / match - York9 FC · 1 pts / match - Atlético Ottawa

York9 FC - half-time state
33% leading30% draw37% trailing
Atlético Ottawa - half-time state
22% leading33% draw44% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.3Points per match (1st half)1
York9 FCAtlético Ottawa
0.78Goals scored (1st half)0.37
York9 FCAtlético Ottawa
1.04Goals conceded (1st half)0.78
York9 FCAtlético Ottawa
1.81Average goals (1st half)1.15
York9 FCAtlético Ottawa
44%Clean sheet before half-time56%
York9 FCAtlético Ottawa
44%No goal before half-time70%
York9 FCAtlético Ottawa

After half-time (2nd half)

0.85Points per match (2nd half)1.67
York9 FCAtlético Ottawa
0.7Goals scored (2nd half)1.15
York9 FCAtlético Ottawa
1.33Goals conceded (2nd half)0.81
York9 FCAtlético Ottawa
2.04Average goals (2nd half)1.96
York9 FCAtlético Ottawa
30%Clean sheet after half-time44%
York9 FCAtlético Ottawa
52%No goal after half-time33%
York9 FCAtlético Ottawa

York9 FC - second-half results

19% W30% D52% L
35
Half-time points
21
Half-time goals
-7
Goal difference (1st half)
23
Second-half points
-17
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.30
PPG before half-time
Lead holding67%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 22%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Atlético Ottawa - second-half results

44% W33% D22% L
27
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
-11
Goal difference (1st half)
45
Second-half points
+9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding218%

Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

York9 FC - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.800.60
Goals scored / match1.20.2
Goals conceded / match1.81.2
Average goals in match3.01.4
1 goal80%60%
2 goals80%60%
3 goals60%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference-3-5
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 6
Atlético Ottawa - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.60
Goals scored / match0.41.0
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match0.81.8
1 goal80%80%
2 goals0%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference0+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

York9 FC
ScoredConceded
11
9
0-15
4
6
16-30
6
13
31-45
10
10
46-60
7
12
61-75
2
14
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -12 - late phases are a weakness.

Atlético Ottawa
ScoredConceded
4
9
0-15
3
5
16-30
3
7
31-45
5
9
46-60
9
9
61-75
17
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +13 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.48
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
110%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
71%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-22%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
69%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

York9 FC

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.57
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.32
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+4.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.17
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.49
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
82%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
174%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.40
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
5% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 28% come in the first quarter-hour.
5%

Atlético Ottawa

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.29
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.22
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+4.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.22
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
0.00
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
112%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
88%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.21
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.8
Late goals
41% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
41%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Canadian Premier League).

Teams vs league

York9 FCLigaAtlético Ottawa
Average goals in match▲ 3.853.16• 3.11
Both teams scored▲ 78%63%• 63%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 70%59%▲ 67%
Clean sheets▼ 7%20%▲ 22%
Goal before half-time▲ 81%68%• 67%
Goal after half-time▼ 78%83%▲ 85%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.16
Average goals per match
63%
Both teams scored
59%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
20%
Clean sheets
1.80
Home goals / match
1.36
Away goals / match
+32%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defence advantage
+16%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
31%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
7%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
55%
2 goals
31%
3 goals
15%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (7): York9 FC 1 - 4 - 2 Atlético Ottawa. Average goals 2.71, both teams scored in 71% matches.

Atlético Ottawa
2 : 1
York9 FC
Atlético Ottawa
1 : 1
York9 FC
York9 FC
4 : 1
Atlético Ottawa
York9 FC
2 : 2
Atlético Ottawa
Atlético Ottawa
0 : 0
York9 FC
York9 FC
0 : 0
Atlético Ottawa
Atlético Ottawa
3 : 2
York9 FC

FAQ

When do York9 FC and Atlético Ottawa play?

York9 FC face Atlético Ottawa on 25 October 2026 in Canadian Premier League. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between York9 FC and Atlético Ottawa?

In the last 7 head-to-head matches York9 FC won 1, Atlético Ottawa won 2 and 4 ended level. These games averaged 2.71 goals, with both teams scoring in 71% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before York9 FC vs Atlético Ottawa?

York9 FC score 1.48 goals per game on average and Atlético Ottawa 1.52. The Canadian Premier League average is 3.16 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 78% of York9 FC's matches and 63% of Atlético Ottawa's.

What form are York9 FC and Atlético Ottawa in?

Over the last 5 games York9 FC have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Atlético Ottawa 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for York9 FC vs Atlético Ottawa?

The statistical background for York9 FC vs Atlético Ottawa — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.