York9 FC vs Cavalry FC: match statistics
York9 FC vs Cavalry FC: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
York9 FC played Cavalry FC in Canadian Premier League (Canada). The match was played on 10 June 2026. Final score: 1:5.
Current form
York9 FC: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Cavalry FC: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
York9 FC scores 1.50 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Cavalry FC scores 1.56 and concedes 0.44. League average: 2.54 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: York9 FC 75%, Cavalry FC 33%. Over 2.5: York9 FC 50%, Cavalry FC 33%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 43%.
xG, shots and style
Cavalry FC has higher xG: 1.60 vs 1.37. York9 FC: 12.5 shots per match, Cavalry FC: 13.9.
Match halves
York9 FC: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.00. Cavalry FC: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 1.11.
Goals by minute
York9 FC: 46-60 (4 goals). Cavalry FC: 61-75 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Canadian Premier League: 2.54 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 43%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 6 previous H2H matches were available: 2-1-3. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 83%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict an away win based on a clear defensive edge and recent form. Cavalry have 6 wins this season and have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding only 2, while York9 have 3 wins this season and have won just once in their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 9. Away, Cavalry concede on average 0.4 goals per game and keep clean sheets in 60% of matches, whereas the hosts concede on average 1.75 goals at home and keep clean sheets in 25% of matches, giving the visitors a significant defensive advantage. Chance quality is similar (home xG 1.28 vs Cavalry away 1.35), but higher York9 home conversion (18% vs Cavalry 9%) does not compensate for the difference in defensive stability. Considering also PPG over the last 5 matches (York9 0.8 vs Cavalry 2.4) and season goal difference (Cavalry 14 scored and 4 conceded vs York9 12 scored and 12 conceded), I rate the probabilities at 20% home, 15% draw, 65% away.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
A strong signal against BTTS comes from Cavalry: they have kept a clean sheet in 60% of away matches and conceded just 2 goals in the last 5 fixtures (0.4 goals avg), indicating a stable defense. York9 at home have a season goals average of 2.25 and xG 1.92, but in the last 5 matches they have scored only 4 goals total (0.8 avg) and conceded 9 goals (1.8 avg), so the home side’s scoring form is weakened. Season BTTS rates are 50% for York9 and only 20% for Cavalry, while the league BTTS is 54%, but the contrast of Cavalry’s 60% clean sheets versus York9’s 0.8 goals in five matches favors a No Goal/clean sheet expected scenario. Based on this I estimate 70% probability for 'no' and 30% for 'yes'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model projects 1.63 xG for York9 and 1.10 xG for Cavalry, totaling 2.73 expected goals; this sum is clearly above 1.5 and slightly above 2.5. York9 score an average of 2.25 goals at home and have 100% of matches with over 1.5 goals this season, while their average xG_for is 1.92 versus 1.34 xG conceded to Cavalry, which strongly supports Over 1.5. Cavalry have averaged 2.0 goals in their last 5 matches (10 goals in last 5) and have a recent xG_for of 1.8, which raises the probability of exceeding 2.5 to roughly 62%. Seasonal Over 3.5 rates are low (25% for York9 and 0% for Cavalry), so I estimate Over 3.5 at about 20%. Therefore the strongest signal from the data is to play the Over line at 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Half-time statistics strongly indicate a draw: the hosts are level at the break in 75% of matches and the visitors in 80%, so fixtures between these teams are most often undecided after 45 minutes. After the break the advantage lies with the home side — York9 scores on average 1.5 goals in the second half and concedes only 0.25, while Cavalry averages 0.8 scored and 0.4 conceded, which suggests the hosts are more likely to decide the match after the break. Over the season York9 average 2.25 goals per game and an xG of 1.92 versus Cavalry’s 1.35, and they also average 18 shots compared to the opponent’s 10.6, confirming a higher volume of chances and superior attacking quality for the home team. Although the visitors are in better recent form over the last five matches (80% wins vs the hosts’ 20%), the HT balance and the strength of the hosts’ second halves make the strongest signal a draw at half-time and a York9 win at full-time (X/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| York9 FC | Cavalry FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Cavalry FC is 71% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - York9 FC · 2.4 pts / match - Cavalry FC
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cavalry FC is 241% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.5 goals / match - York9 FC · 0.44 goals / match - Cavalry FC
York9 FC scores in 100% of matches (8 of 8 matches), while Cavalry FC keeps a clean sheet in 56% (5 of 9 matches).
Cavalry FC scores in 78% of matches (7 of 9 matches), while York9 FC keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - York9 FC
Over / Under - Cavalry FC
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
York9 FC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Cavalry FC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +7 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
York9 FC
Cavalry FC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Canadian Premier League).
Teams vs league
| York9 FC | Liga | Cavalry FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.00 | 2.54 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 54% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 43% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | • 25% | 24% | ▲ 56% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 63% | 49% | ▼ 33% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 63% | 86% | ▼ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (6): York9 FC 2 - 1 - 3 Cavalry FC. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 83% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of York9 FC vs Cavalry FC?
The Canadian Premier League match finished York9 FC 1:5 Cavalry FC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between York9 FC and Cavalry FC?
In the last 6 head-to-head matches York9 FC won 2, Cavalry FC won 3 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 83% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before York9 FC vs Cavalry FC?
York9 FC score 1.50 goals per game on average and Cavalry FC 1.56. The Canadian Premier League average is 2.54 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 75% of York9 FC's matches and 33% of Cavalry FC's.
What form are York9 FC and Cavalry FC in?
Over the last 5 games York9 FC have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Cavalry FC 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for York9 FC vs Cavalry FC?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.