Young Boys vs Basel: match statistics

Young Boys sit top of the table and remain unbeaten in the league, with a record of 3 wins and 1 draw, while Basel are third after 3 victories and 1 defeat. The hosts are considerably more dangerous in attack at home, averaging 4.0 goals from 19.5 shots and 9 shots on target per match, compared with Basel’s 1.5 goals, 13 shots and 3.5 shots on target away from home. Their average xG also confirms this advantage, standing at 2.27 for Young Boys and 1.39 for the visitors, while the hosts have scored as many as 20 goals in their last five matches. Basel do, however, possess a clearly more solid away defence, conceding just 0.5 goals per match and keeping a clean sheet in 50% of such games, so a closely contested encounter cannot be ruled out. Although Young Boys concede an average of 2.0 goals at home and have yet to keep a clean sheet, their greater attacking intensity and run of 4 wins in their last 5 matches point to a home victory.

The case for both teams to score is strengthened by their recent form: Young Boys recorded BTTS in 60% of their last five matches, while Basel did so in as many as 80%. During this period, the hosts averaged 4.0 goals scored per game, compared with 2.8 for Basel, while conceding 1.2 and 2.0 goals respectively. Young Boys have not kept a clean sheet this season, and despite Basel keeping a clean sheet in 50% of their matches, they allowed opponents an average of 1.76 xG. Both teams also create a solid number of chances, with average xG of 1.45 for Young Boys and 1.39 for Basel, while the league-wide BTTS rate stands at a high 71%. The most likely scenario is therefore one in which the hosts exploit Basel’s defensive weaknesses, but the visitors also respond with at least one goal.

Young Boys have averaged 4.0 goals scored over their last 5 matches, while Basel have averaged 2.8, conceding 1.2 and 2.0 goals per game, respectively. During this period, the hosts generated 2.26 xG, while Basel’s defence allowed an average of 1.47 xG, clearly supporting at least two goals in the match. Over 2.5 goals was recorded in all five of Young Boys’ most recent games and in 80% of Basel’s latest matches, while the league average stands at a high 3.76 goals. Basel kept a clean sheet in 50% of matches played in this fixture, but Young Boys scored an average of 2.0 goals, meaning the visitors’ defensive stability does not eliminate the hosts’ goal-scoring potential. The strongest pick remains Over 1.5, as both teams scored at least one goal in 100% of their matches so far, and their current form points to a significantly higher goal tally than just two.

Young Boys are in excellent form, having won 4 of their last 5 matches and averaging 4.0 goals scored against just 1.2 conceded during that period. The hosts held the lead at the break in 60% of their last five matches, scoring an average of 1.6 goals before half-time, while Basel were behind at half-time in 20% of their games. Young Boys’ superiority after the interval is particularly significant: they averaged 2.4 goals in the second half across their last five matches and did not lose any second half, whereas Basel conceded an average of 1.6 goals after the break. Basel remain a threat, having won 3 of their last 5 matches and scored an average of 2.8 goals, but their defence conceded as many as 2.0 goals per match. The most likely scenario is therefore one in which Young Boys take advantage of their stronger start and high second-half efficiency, leading at half-time and winning the match overall: 1/1.