Zabbar St. Patrick vs Marsaxlokk: match statistics
Marsaxlokk appear to be the clear favorites for this match. Zabbar St. Patrick are in very poor form, averaging only 0.2 points per game in their last five matches, without a single win. The hosts have just an 11% home win rate and have conceded an average of 1.67 goals per game in home matches. Meanwhile, Marsaxlokk are in good form with 2 points per game in their last five outings, winning three of them. The visitors show better efficiency both in attack (higher xG: 1.23 vs 0.95) and in defense (lower xG against: 1.03 vs 1.15). Additionally, Marsaxlokk have a 36% away win rate and a 36% clean sheet rate, which surpasses the hosts' capabilities. Taking all these factors into account, an away win is the most probable outcome.
Zabbar St. Patrick vs Marsaxlokk: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Zabbar St. Patrick played Marsaxlokk in Maltese Premier League (Malta). The match was played on 7 February 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Zabbar St. Patrick: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Marsaxlokk: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Zabbar St. Patrick scores 1.10 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Marsaxlokk scores 1.20 and concedes 1.05. League average: 2.59 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Zabbar St. Patrick 60%, Marsaxlokk 50%. Over 2.5: Zabbar St. Patrick 45%, Marsaxlokk 45%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 45%.
xG, shots and style
Marsaxlokk has higher xG: 1.15 vs 1.05. Zabbar St. Patrick: 7.0 shots per match, Marsaxlokk: 8.0.
Match halves
Zabbar St. Patrick: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.50. Marsaxlokk: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.75.
Goals by minute
Zabbar St. Patrick: 0-15 (4 goals). Marsaxlokk: 46-60 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Maltese Premier League: 2.59 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 45%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Marsaxlokk appear to be the clear favorites for this match. Zabbar St. Patrick are in very poor form, averaging only 0.2 points per game in their last five matches, without a single win. The hosts have just an 11% home win rate and have conceded an average of 1.67 goals per game in home matches. Meanwhile, Marsaxlokk are in good form with 2 points per game in their last five outings, winning three of them. The visitors show better efficiency both in attack (higher xG: 1.23 vs 0.95) and in defense (lower xG against: 1.03 vs 1.15). Additionally, Marsaxlokk have a 36% away win rate and a 36% clean sheet rate, which surpasses the hosts' capabilities. Taking all these factors into account, an away win is the most probable outcome.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Zabbar St. Patrick | Marsaxlokk | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 46% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Marsaxlokk is 233% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Zabbar St. Patrick · 2 pts / match - Marsaxlokk
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Marsaxlokk is 9% better for: goals scored per match.
1.1 goals / match - Zabbar St. Patrick · 1.2 goals / match - Marsaxlokk
Marsaxlokk is 43% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.5 goals / match - Zabbar St. Patrick · 1.05 goals / match - Marsaxlokk
Zabbar St. Patrick scores in 75% of matches (15 of 20 matches), while Marsaxlokk keeps a clean sheet in 35% (7 of 20 matches).
Marsaxlokk scores in 75% of matches (15 of 20 matches), while Zabbar St. Patrick keeps a clean sheet in 15% (3 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Zabbar St. Patrick
Over / Under - Marsaxlokk
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Zabbar St. Patrick is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.25 pts / match - Zabbar St. Patrick · 1.15 pts / match - Marsaxlokk
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Zabbar St. Patrick - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 15%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Marsaxlokk - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Zabbar St. Patrick
Marsaxlokk
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Maltese Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Zabbar St. Patrick | Liga | Marsaxlokk | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.60 | 2.59 | ▼ 2.25 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 50% | • 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 45% | 45% | • 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 29% | ▲ 35% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 70% | ▼ 55% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 74% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Zabbar St. Patrick 0 - 0 - 1 Marsaxlokk. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Zabbar St. Patrick vs Marsaxlokk?
The Maltese Premier League match finished Zabbar St. Patrick 1:2 Marsaxlokk. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Zabbar St. Patrick vs Marsaxlokk?
Zabbar St. Patrick score 1.10 goals per game on average and Marsaxlokk 1.20. The Maltese Premier League average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Zabbar St. Patrick's matches and 50% of Marsaxlokk's.
What form are Zabbar St. Patrick and Marsaxlokk in?
Over the last 5 games Zabbar St. Patrick have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Marsaxlokk 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Zabbar St. Patrick vs Marsaxlokk?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Zabbar St. Patrick vs Marsaxlokk: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.