Zarzis vs Olympique Béja: match statistics

Zarzis go into this match in excellent form, having won all 5 of their last games with a 7:0 goal difference. The hosts have averaged 1.4 goals per match and, most importantly, have not conceded a single goal during this period, indicating a highly stable defensive structure. Olympique Béja have recorded just 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last five matches, scoring 4 goals and conceding 6. The visitors therefore have a clearly inferior goal difference compared with Zarzis, while their average of 0.8 goals scored per game may not be enough to break down the hosts’ defence. Although Olympique Béja sit higher in the table, current form and the difference in attacking efficiency point towards a Zarzis victory.

The strongest argument for BTTS - No is Zarzis’s current run: in their last five matches, the team won all 5 games, scored 7 goals, and conceded none. Olympique Béja averaged just 0.8 goals per game during this period, while BTTS occurred in only 40% of their last five matches. The hosts do have an opponents’ xG of 1.49, and the visitors create an average of 1.35 xG, so a Béja goal remains a realistic scenario. However, Zarzis’s actual defensive efficiency, confirmed by five consecutive clean sheets, clearly supports the view that at least one team will fail to score.

Data from the last five matches points to an exceptionally tight Zarzis defense: the team won all 5 games without conceding a single goal. During this period, Zarzis averaged 1.4 goals, while Olympique Béja scored only 0.8 goals per game, with 4 of its 5 matches producing no more than 2 goals. The hosts do have an average xG of 0.85, but their opponents create chances worth an average of 1.49 xG against them, which leaves some risk of a single away goal. Nevertheless, the projected total of 1.65 goals, combined with the absence of any Zarzis match finishing Over 2.5 goals in their last five appearances, clearly supports the Under 3.5 goals selection. The Under 3.5 line offers the greatest margin for safety, as losing the bet would require at least 4 goals.

Zarzis have won all of their last five matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and conceding none, while Olympique Béja have recorded a 40% loss rate and conceded an average of 1.2 goals. The hosts were leading at the break in 4 of their 5 matches, whereas the visitors were ahead at half-time in only 2 of 5 and went into the interval behind in 2 of 5. Zarzis averaged 0.8 goals scored before the break compared with Béja’s 0.4, while their defence kept a clean sheet in the first half in 100% of these matches. After the interval, the hosts also maintained a perfect clean-sheet record and scored an average of 0.6 goals, while Béja failed to win any of their five second halves. The strongest signal therefore points to an HT/FT scenario in which Zarzis take the lead at the break and maintain it until full-time: 1/1.