Bosnia & Herzegovina - Premier League of BosniaStadion GrbavicaData current as of 04 September 2026

Željezničar vs Velež: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Željezničar vs Velež: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Željezničar play Velež in Premier League of Bosnia (Bosnia & Herzegovina). The match date is 5 September 2026. Venue: Stadion Grbavica.

Current form

Željezničar: 1-1-2, 1.00 points/match. Velež: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Željezničar scores 0.75 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Velež scores 0.80 and concedes 1.80. League average: 2.30 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Željezničar 50%, Velež 40%. Over 2.5: Željezničar 25%, Velež 40%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 43%.

xG, shots and style

Velež has higher xG: 1.33 vs 0.84. Željezničar: 8.5 shots per match, Velež: 11.4.

Match halves

Željezničar: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.75. Velež: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.60.

Goals by minute

Željezničar: 61-75 (2 goals). Velež: 76-90+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Premier League of Bosnia: 2.30 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 43%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-2. Average goals 1.25, BTTS 25%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.75Goals scored / match0.8
ŽeljezničarVelež
1.5Goals conceded / match1.8
ŽeljezničarVelež
43%Average possession39%
ŽeljezničarVelež
1.25Shots on target / match3.8
ŽeljezničarVelež

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

8.5Shots per match11.4
ŽeljezničarVelež
1.25Shots on target3.8
ŽeljezničarVelež
8.8%Shot conversion7%
ŽeljezničarVelež
43%Possession39%
ŽeljezničarVelež
0.84xG for1.33
ŽeljezničarVelež
1.68xG against1.3
ŽeljezničarVelež

Shooting quality

Željezničar: BalancedVelež: Balanced
ŽeljezničarVelež
Accuracy (shots on target)15%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.100.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.600.21

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Željezničar is 25% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Željezničar · 0.8 pts / match - Velež

Željezničar
WLDL
Season result split
25% W25% R50% P
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-2
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-1-0
Last 5 at home
1-1-0
WD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.5xG: 0.84Opponent xG: 1.68BTTS: 50%Over 2.5: 25%
Velež
LLWLD
Season result split
20% W20% R60% P
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-3
Last 5 away
0-0-3
LLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.33Opponent xG: 1.30BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Velež is 7% better for: goals scored per match.

0.75 goals / match - Željezničar · 0.8 goals / match - Velež

Željezničar is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.5 goals / match - Željezničar · 1.8 goals / match - Velež

Željezničar scoring profile: strong

Željezničar scores in 50% of matches (2 of 4 matches), while Velež keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 matches).

Velež scoring profile: very strong

Velež scores in 60% of matches (3 of 5 matches), while Željezničar keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 4 matches).

3Goals scored (season)4
ŽeljezničarVelež
6Goals conceded (season)9
ŽeljezničarVelež
2.25Average goals in match2.6
ŽeljezničarVelež
3Goals scored (last 5)4
ŽeljezničarVelež
6Goals conceded (last 5)9
ŽeljezničarVelež

How often they score at least...

50%1 goal60%
ŽeljezničarVelež
25%2 goals20%
ŽeljezničarVelež
0%3 goals0%
ŽeljezničarVelež
0%4 goals0%
ŽeljezničarVelež

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal80%
ŽeljezničarVelež
50%2 goals60%
ŽeljezničarVelež
0%3 goals40%
ŽeljezničarVelež
0%4 goals0%
ŽeljezničarVelež

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

48%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time0%
ŽeljezničarVelež
0%BTTS in both halves0%
ŽeljezničarVelež
0%Scored in both halves20%
ŽeljezničarVelež

BTTS and goal count

25%Min. 3 goals and BTTS20%
ŽeljezničarVelež
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS20%
ŽeljezničarVelež
50%BTTS - last 540%
ŽeljezničarVelež

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

50%Min. 1 goal before half-time80%
ŽeljezničarVelež
0%Min. 2 goals before half-time40%
ŽeljezničarVelež
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
ŽeljezničarVelež

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
ŽeljezničarVelež
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time40%
ŽeljezničarVelež
25%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
ŽeljezničarVelež

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Velež is 60% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.5 pts / match - Željezničar · 0.8 pts / match - Velež

Željezničar - half-time state
0% leading50% draw50% trailing
Velež - half-time state
20% leading20% draw60% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.5Points per match (1st half)0.8
ŽeljezničarVelež
0Goals scored (1st half)0.2
ŽeljezničarVelež
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)1
ŽeljezničarVelež
0.5Average goals (1st half)1.2
ŽeljezničarVelež
50%Clean sheet before half-time40%
ŽeljezničarVelež
100%No goal before half-time80%
ŽeljezničarVelež

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per match (2nd half)1
ŽeljezničarVelež
0.75Goals scored (2nd half)0.6
ŽeljezničarVelež
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.8
ŽeljezničarVelež
1.75Average goals (2nd half)1.4
ŽeljezničarVelež
0%Clean sheet after half-time20%
ŽeljezničarVelež
50%No goal after half-time40%
ŽeljezničarVelež

Željezničar - second-half results

25% W25% R50% P
2
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
4
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.50
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Velež - second-half results

20% W40% R40% P
4
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
5
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.80
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Željezničar - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.501.00
Goals scored / match0.00.8
Goals conceded / match0.51.0
Average goals in match0.51.8
1 goal50%100%
2 goals0%50%
3 goals0%25%
Clean sheet50%0%
No goal100%50%
Goal difference-2-1
Half-time: 0% leading - 50% draw - 50% trailing
2nd half: 25% won - 25% draw - 50% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Velež - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.00
Goals scored / match0.20.6
Goals conceded / match1.00.8
Average goals in match1.21.4
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-4-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Željezničar
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
1
16-30
0
1
31-45
0
2
46-60
2
1
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Velež
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
0
1
16-30
0
3
31-45
0
0
46-60
0
3
61-75
3
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.42
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
105%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
45%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-48%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
30%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
20%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 5 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Željezničar

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.84
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.09
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.09
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.18
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
52%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
172%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.8
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

Velež

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.03
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.03
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.53
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.50
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
92%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
126%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
75% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 25% come in the first quarter-hour.
75%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League of Bosnia).

Teams vs league

ŽeljezničarLigaVelež
Average goals in match 2.252.30 2.60
Both teams scored 50%48% 40%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 25%43% 40%
Clean sheets 0%33% 20%
Goal before half-time 50%61% 80%
Goal after half-time 100%78% 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.30
Average goals per match
48%
Both teams scored
43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
33%
Clean sheets
1.43
Home goals / match
0.87
Away goals / match
+64%
Home attack advantage
+39%
Home defence advantage
+30%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
61%
1 goal
22%
2 goals
4%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (4): Željezničar 1 - 1 - 2 Velež. Average goals 1.25, both teams scored in 25% matches.

FK Željezničar Sarajevo
0 : 0
FK Velež Mostar
FK Velež Mostar
1 : 0
FK Željezničar Sarajevo
FK Željezničar Sarajevo
1 : 2
FK Velež Mostar
FK Velež Mostar
0 : 1
FK Željezničar Sarajevo

FAQ

When do Željezničar and Velež play?

Željezničar face Velež on 5 September 2026 in Premier League of Bosnia at Stadion Grbavica. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Željezničar and Velež?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches Željezničar won 1, Velež won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Željezničar vs Velež?

Željezničar score 0.75 goals per game on average and Velež 0.80. The Premier League of Bosnia average is 2.30 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Željezničar's matches and 40% of Velež's.

What form are Željezničar and Velež in?

Over the last 5 games Željezničar have a 1-1-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Velež 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Željezničar vs Velež?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Željezničar vs Velež: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.