Zira vs Qarabağ: match statistics
Qarabağ presents a significantly better form and statistics this season, sitting 2nd in the table with an impressive record of 15 wins. The visiting team has a phenomenal away win rate of 78% and has never finished an away game without scoring (FTS% 0%). Zira, despite a solid league position, has much more modest offensive stats, scoring an average of just 1.42 goals per home match, while Qarabağ averages 2.22 goals away. The difference in ball possession advantage (61% vs 63%) and shot conversion (13% vs 16%) also favors the visitors. Qarabağ has won four of their last five away fixtures, confirming their solid disposition on the road. Considering all these factors, we predict a victory for Qarabağ, although Zira as the host might put up some resistance, justifying a 25% chance for their success.
Zira vs Qarabağ: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Zira played Qarabağ in Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). The match was played on 14 March 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Zira: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Qarabağ: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Zira scores 1.35 and concedes 1.04 goals per match. Qarabağ scores 2.05 and concedes 0.73. League average: 2.51 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Zira 52%, Qarabağ 41%. Over 2.5: Zira 43%, Qarabağ 41%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Qarabağ has higher xG: 1.97 vs 1.41. Zira: 10.8 shots per match, Qarabağ: 15.4.
Match halves
Zira: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 0.65. Qarabağ: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 1.27.
Goals by minute
Zira: 31-45+ (10 goals). Qarabağ: 76-90+ (16 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premyer Liqası: 2.51 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Qarabağ presents a significantly better form and statistics this season, sitting 2nd in the table with an impressive record of 15 wins. The visiting team has a phenomenal away win rate of 78% and has never finished an away game without scoring (FTS% 0%). Zira, despite a solid league position, has much more modest offensive stats, scoring an average of just 1.42 goals per home match, while Qarabağ averages 2.22 goals away. The difference in ball possession advantage (61% vs 63%) and shot conversion (13% vs 16%) also favors the visitors. Qarabağ has won four of their last five away fixtures, confirming their solid disposition on the road. Considering all these factors, we predict a victory for Qarabağ, although Zira as the host might put up some resistance, justifying a 25% chance for their success.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Zira | Qarabağ | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Qarabağ is 30% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Zira · 2.6 pts / match - Qarabağ
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Qarabağ is 52% better for: goals scored per match.
1.35 goals / match - Zira · 2.05 goals / match - Qarabağ
Qarabağ is 42% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.04 goals / match - Zira · 0.73 goals / match - Qarabağ
Zira scores in 78% of matches (18 of 23 matches), while Qarabağ keeps a clean sheet in 50% (11 of 22 matches).
Qarabağ scores in 86% of matches (19 of 22 matches), while Zira keeps a clean sheet in 39% (9 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Zira
Over / Under - Qarabağ
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Zira - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Qarabağ - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 68%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +13 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Zira
Qarabağ
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).
Teams vs league
| Zira | Liga | Qarabağ | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.39 | 2.51 | ▲ 2.77 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 52% | 43% | ▼ 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 46% | ▼ 41% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 39% | 34% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 65% | ▲ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 61% | 71% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Zira 0 - 2 - 0 Qarabağ. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Zira vs Qarabağ?
The Premyer Liqası match finished Zira 1:3 Qarabağ. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Zira and Qarabağ?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Zira won 0, Qarabağ won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Zira vs Qarabağ?
Zira score 1.35 goals per game on average and Qarabağ 2.05. The Premyer Liqası average is 2.51 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Zira's matches and 41% of Qarabağ's.
What form are Zira and Qarabağ in?
Over the last 5 games Zira have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Qarabağ 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Zira vs Qarabağ?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Zira vs Qarabağ: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.