Zürich vs Luzern: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a very balanced matchup between the two teams. Zürich sits in 8th place with an 8-4-12 record, while Luzern is in 9th position with a 6-9-9 result, showing a minimal class difference. A key factor is the identical home goal difference for both teams (-1), suggesting a similar level of play. Zürich displays better home form with a 42% win rate at their ground and a higher average xG (1.87 vs 1.41 for Luzern away), yet they concede an average of 1.92 goals per match. Luzern shows solidity in away fixtures with a 33% draw rate and better recent form (1.2 PPG vs 0.8 for the hosts). Given the high average goals in Zürich's home matches (3.75) and the balanced strength of both sides, a draw seems the most probable outcome, though a slight edge is given to the hosts due to the home advantage and superior xG statistics.
Zürich vs Luzern: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Zürich played Luzern in Super League (Switzerland). The match was played on 14 February 2026. Final score: 1:4.
Current form
Zürich: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Luzern: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Zürich scores 1.50 and concedes 1.88 goals per match. Luzern scores 1.83 and concedes 1.92. League average: 3.31 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Zürich 67%, Luzern 75%. Over 2.5: Zürich 75%, Luzern 75%. League level: BTTS 67%, Over 2.5 66%.
xG, shots and style
Zürich has higher xG: 1.64 vs 1.53. Zürich: 14.3 shots per match, Luzern: 14.2.
Match halves
Zürich: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.71. Luzern: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Zürich: 16-30 (8 goals). Luzern: 61-75 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Super League: 3.31 goals per match, BTTS 67%, Over 2.5 66%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a very balanced matchup between the two teams. Zürich sits in 8th place with an 8-4-12 record, while Luzern is in 9th position with a 6-9-9 result, showing a minimal class difference. A key factor is the identical home goal difference for both teams (-1), suggesting a similar level of play. Zürich displays better home form with a 42% win rate at their ground and a higher average xG (1.87 vs 1.41 for Luzern away), yet they concede an average of 1.92 goals per match. Luzern shows solidity in away fixtures with a 33% draw rate and better recent form (1.2 PPG vs 0.8 for the hosts). Given the high average goals in Zürich's home matches (3.75) and the balanced strength of both sides, a draw seems the most probable outcome, though a slight edge is given to the hosts due to the home advantage and superior xG statistics.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Zürich | Luzern | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.43 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Luzern is 50% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Zürich · 1.2 pts / match - Luzern
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Luzern is 22% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - Zürich · 1.83 goals / match - Luzern
Zürich scores in 75% of matches (18 of 24 matches), while Luzern keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 24 matches).
Luzern scores in 88% of matches (21 of 24 matches), while Zürich keeps a clean sheet in 8% (2 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Zürich
Over / Under - Luzern
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Luzern is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.29 pts / match - Zürich · 1.38 pts / match - Luzern
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Zürich - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Luzern - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 25%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -11 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (10 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Zürich
Luzern
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Super League).
Teams vs league
| Zürich | Liga | Luzern | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.38 | 3.31 | ▲ 3.75 |
| Both teams scored | • 67% | 67% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 75% | 66% | ▲ 75% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 8% | 19% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 88% | 76% | ▼ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | • 83% | 83% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Zürich 1 - 1 - 0 Luzern. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Zürich vs Luzern?
The Super League match finished Zürich 1:4 Luzern. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Zürich and Luzern?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Zürich won 1, Luzern won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Zürich vs Luzern?
Zürich score 1.50 goals per game on average and Luzern 1.83. The Super League average is 3.31 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Zürich's matches and 75% of Luzern's.
What form are Zürich and Luzern in?
Over the last 5 games Zürich have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Luzern 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Zürich vs Luzern?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.