Cancún vs Tapatío: match statistics
Cancún vs Tapatío: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Cancún played against Tapatío in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The game was played on October 4, 2026. Venue: Estadio Olímpico Andrés Quintana Roo. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Cancún has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Tapatío has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Cancún scores 1.80 goals per game and allows 1.50. Tapatío scores 1.89 and allows 1.56. Games in this league average 3.16 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Cancún's games and 67% of Tapatío's. The Over 2.5 rates are 60% and 67%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 61% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Cancún has the higher season xG average, 1.63 to 1.38 per game. Cancún takes 13.6 shots per game, while Tapatío takes 11.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Cancún leads at halftime in 30% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. Tapatío leads at halftime in 33% and scores 1.22 after halftime.
When the teams score
Cancún's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). For Tapatío, it is minutes 0-15 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ascenso MX games average 3.16 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 61% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 3 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Cancún are the favorites at home: they have won 60% of their home matches, scoring an average of 2.4 goals and conceding just 0.8, while Tapatío have won 25% of their away matches and concede an average of 2.25 goals on the road. The hosts also create more chances—their home xG is 2.04 compared with the visitors’ away xG of 1.39, and they average 7 shots on target against 5. Over their last five matches, Cancún have scored 13 goals and conceded 7, while Tapatío have scored 11 and conceded 9, further strengthening the case for the hosts. However, the visitors have scored in every away match, so although they have yet to keep a clean sheet on the road, they could make it difficult for Cancún to secure the win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Tapatío saw both teams score in 100% of their away matches and in 80% of their last 5 matches overall; for Cancún, the corresponding figures are 40% at home and 60% in their last 5 matches. The visitors average 1.75 goals away from home and have not been held scoreless on the road, which supports them finding the net despite Cancún keeping a clean sheet in 60% of their home matches. Meanwhile, the hosts average 2.0 goals at home, while Tapatío concede 2.25 goals away and have not kept a clean sheet on the road. The last 5 matches also support a goals-at-both-ends scenario: Cancún averaged 2.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded, while Tapatío averaged 2.2 scored and 1.8 conceded. The 100% rate of both teams scoring in Tapatío's away matches and the effectiveness of both attacks outweigh the more cautious signal from Cancún's home clean sheets, so I’m backing BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
In their last 5 matches, Cancún averaged 2.6 goals scored and Tapatío 2.2; in both cases, 80% of matches featured at least three goals. Cancún average 2.0 goals at home, while Tapatío concede 2.25 away from home, pointing to a high-scoring performance from Cancún. Tapatío average 1.75 goals scored away, although 60% of Cancún’s home matches have ended with a clean sheet, making the visitors’ scoring output less certain. The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals: this line has been cleared in all of Tapatío’s away matches and in 60% of Cancún’s home matches, with a projected total of 3.40 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is Cancún leading at the break and winning after 90 minutes: the hosts were ahead at half-time in 3 of the 5 matches considered, while Tapatío did not lead in any of their 4. Cancún won 60% of these matches, compared with a 25% win rate for their opponents, scoring an average of 2.0 goals and conceding 1.0, while Tapatío conceded an average of 2.25. Cancún’s 60% clean-sheet rate, compared with 0% for Tapatío, also supports the hosts holding on to their lead. In their last 5 matches, Cancún scored an average of 1.8 goals after the break, while Tapatío conceded 1.4 in that period, strengthening the 1/1 pick. Confidence in the prediction is limited by the similar xG figures for the two attacks, at 1.38 and 1.39, so a draw at half-time followed by a home win remains a significant alternative.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Cancún | Tapatío | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.43 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Cancún is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - Cancún · 1.4 pts / game - Tapatío
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tapatío is 5% better for: goals scored per game.
1.8 goals / game - Cancún · 1.89 goals / game - Tapatío
Cancún scores in 90% of games (9 of 10 games), while Tapatío keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 games).
Tapatío scores in 89% of games (8 of 9 games), while Cancún keeps a clean sheet in 40% (4 of 10 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Cancún
Over / Under - Tapatío
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cancún - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 40%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Tapatío - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 44%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Cancún
Tapatío
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Cancún | Liga | Tapatío | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.30 | 3.16 | ▲ 3.44 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 56% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 60% | 61% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 24% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 90% | 74% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 79% | • 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Cancún's perspective: 3 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Tapatío. Games average 1.75 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Cancún vs Tapatío?
The Ascenso MX match finished Cancún 1:0 Tapatío. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Cancún and Tapatío?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Cancún won 3, Tapatío won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Cancún vs Tapatío?
Cancún score 1.80 goals per game on average and Tapatío 1.89. The Ascenso MX average is 3.16 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Cancún's matches and 67% of Tapatío's.
What form are Cancún and Tapatío in?
Over the last 5 games Cancún have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Tapatío 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cancún vs Tapatío?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Cancún vs Tapatío: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.