22 de Julio vs CD El Nacional: match statistics
22 de Julio vs CD El Nacional: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
22 de Julio played CD El Nacional in Primera Categoría Serie B (Ecuador). The match was played on 7 October 2026. Venue: Estadio Jocay. Final score: 2:5.
Current form
22 de Julio: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. CD El Nacional: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
22 de Julio scores 0.54 and concedes 1.89 goals per match. CD El Nacional scores 0.72 and concedes 1.55. League average: 1.98 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: 22 de Julio 25%, CD El Nacional 48%. Over 2.5: 22 de Julio 39%, CD El Nacional 45%. League level: BTTS 35%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
CD El Nacional has higher xG: 1.33 vs 0.85. 22 de Julio: 4.6 shots per match, CD El Nacional: 10.0.
Match halves
22 de Julio: half-time lead 7%, second-half goals 0.25. CD El Nacional: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.45.
Goals by minute
22 de Julio: 76-90+ (5 goals). CD El Nacional: 46-60 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera Categoría Serie B: 1.98 goals per match, BTTS 35%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-2. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
22 de Julio have a slight home advantage, having won 21% of their home matches, while CD El Nacional have won just 7% of their away games. However, the hosts score only 0.50 goals per home match and have failed to score in 64% of those games, so it is difficult to consider them clear favourites. The visitors find the net more often away from home, averaging 0.79 goals, and create chances worth 1.20 xG compared with the hosts’ 0.97 xG at home. Their defence is more vulnerable, though: they concede an average of 1.93 goals away, while 22 de Julio concede 1.57 at home. Both teams have lost 4 of their last 5 matches, so the hosts’ edge is minimal, and a draw remains a realistic outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal in favor of BTTS - No is the teams’ low scoring output: 22 de Julio average 0.57 goals per match, while CD El Nacional average 0.79. The home side have failed to score in 57% of their matches, compared with 36% for the visitors, increasing the likelihood that at least one team will finish the match without scoring. Across their last 5 matches, both teams averaged 0.6 goals, and none of CD El Nacional’s matches during that period saw both teams score. Against this pick is the visitors’ poor defensive record, conceding an average of 1.93 goals, as well as the fact that the hosts have conceded 18 goals in their last 5 matches. Despite these risks, both teams’ low scoring output and the fact that both teams scored in just 29% of the home side’s matches support the scenario in which at least one team fails to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals: this line has been surpassed in 86% of CD El Nacional matches, compared with just 50% of 22 de Julio matches. In their last 5 games, the home side conceded an average of 3.6 goals, while the visitors conceded 1.8, increasing the likelihood of at least two goals even if both attacks are relatively inefficient. Their seasonal averages for goals scored are only 0.57 and 0.79, but xG figures of 1.48 and 1.20 point to more chances created than the results alone suggest. The 2.5-goal line is less reliable, having been surpassed in 29% of the home side's matches and 57% of the visitors' games; therefore, the case for Over 1.5 goals is clearer.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal in favor of CD El Nacional leading at the break is the hosts’ form: 22 de Julio have been trailing at half-time in each of their last five matches, conceding an average of 2 goals before the break. The visitors average 0.36 goals in the first half, so their attack offers little certainty, while the hosts have led at the break in only 7% of their matches this season. The case for the visitors holding on to their lead is further supported by 22 de Julio losing four of their last five matches and conceding an average of 3.6 goals in those games, compared with 1.8 conceded by El Nacional. The 2/2 pick nevertheless remains risky: the visitors have won only 7% of their matches this season and have themselves conceded an average of 1.93 goals per game, so a draw either at half-time or at full-time also remains a significant possibility.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| 22 de Julio | CD El Nacional | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.18 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.20 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
CD El Nacional is 200% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - 22 de Julio · 0.6 pts / match - CD El Nacional
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
CD El Nacional is 33% better for: goals scored per match.
0.54 goals / match - 22 de Julio · 0.72 goals / match - CD El Nacional
CD El Nacional is 22% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.89 goals / match - 22 de Julio · 1.55 goals / match - CD El Nacional
22 de Julio scores in 36% of matches (10 of 28 matches), while CD El Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 14% (4 of 29 matches).
CD El Nacional scores in 55% of matches (16 of 29 matches), while 22 de Julio keeps a clean sheet in 18% (5 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - 22 de Julio
Over / Under - CD El Nacional
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
22 de Julio - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 7% of matches and wins 14%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
CD El Nacional - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 10%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -8 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
22 de Julio
CD El Nacional
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera Categoría Serie B).
Teams vs league
| 22 de Julio | Liga | CD El Nacional | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.43 | 1.98 | ▲ 2.28 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 25% | 35% | ▲ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 39% | 34% | ▲ 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 41% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 54% | 58% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 57% | 59% | ▲ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): 22 de Julio 0 - 1 - 2 CD El Nacional. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of 22 de Julio vs CD El Nacional?
The Primera Categoría Serie B match finished 22 de Julio 2:5 CD El Nacional. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between 22 de Julio and CD El Nacional?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches 22 de Julio won 0, CD El Nacional won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before 22 de Julio vs CD El Nacional?
22 de Julio score 0.54 goals per game on average and CD El Nacional 0.72. The Primera Categoría Serie B average is 1.98 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 25% of 22 de Julio's matches and 48% of CD El Nacional's.
What form are 22 de Julio and CD El Nacional in?
Over the last 5 games 22 de Julio have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and CD El Nacional 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for 22 de Julio vs CD El Nacional?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.