Switzerland - Challenge LeagueData current as of 20 October 2026

Aarau vs Étoile Carouge: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Aarau vs Étoile Carouge: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Aarau play Étoile Carouge in Challenge League (Switzerland). The match date is 24 October 2026.

Current form

Aarau: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Étoile Carouge: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Aarau scores 1.50 and concedes 1.80 goals per match. Étoile Carouge scores 0.80 and concedes 1.40. League average: 2.98 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Aarau 90%, Étoile Carouge 40%. Over 2.5: Aarau 90%, Étoile Carouge 40%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 60%.

xG, shots and style

Aarau has higher xG: 1.90 vs 1.83. Aarau: 17.7 shots per match, Étoile Carouge: 17.8.

Match halves

Aarau: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.90. Étoile Carouge: half-time lead 10%, second-half goals 0.40.

Goals by minute

Aarau: 61-75 (5 goals). Étoile Carouge: 16-30 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Challenge League: 2.98 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 60%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 3-0-2. Average goals 3.40, BTTS 60%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.64)
(4.00)
(4.06)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

AarauÉtoile Carouge
1.5Goals scored / match0.8
AarauÉtoile Carouge
1.8Goals conceded / match1.4
AarauÉtoile Carouge
51%Average possession56%
AarauÉtoile Carouge
5.7Shots on target / match4.4
AarauÉtoile Carouge

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

17.7Shots per match17.8
AarauÉtoile Carouge
5.7Shots on target4.4
AarauÉtoile Carouge
8.5%Shot conversion4.5%
AarauÉtoile Carouge
51%Possession56%
AarauÉtoile Carouge
1.9xG for1.83
AarauÉtoile Carouge
1.49xG against1.45
AarauÉtoile Carouge

Shooting quality

Aarau: AttackingÉtoile Carouge: Dominant
AarauÉtoile Carouge
Accuracy (shots on target)32%25%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.10
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.260.18

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Aarau is 400% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Aarau · 0.2 pts / match - Étoile Carouge

Aarau
DWDLL
Season result split
30% W30% D40% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-3-4
1.20 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-2-0
Last 5 at home
3-2-0
DWWWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 2.29Opponent xG: 1.69BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%
Étoile Carouge
LDLLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
20% W30% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-3-5
0.90 pts / match · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-4
0.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-2-2
Last 5 away
0-2-2
DDLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.63Opponent xG: 1.71BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Aarau is 88% better for: goals scored per match.

1.5 goals / match - Aarau · 0.8 goals / match - Étoile Carouge

Étoile Carouge is 29% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.8 goals / match - Aarau · 1.4 goals / match - Étoile Carouge

Aarau scoring profile: very strong

Aarau scores in 90% of matches (9 of 10 matches), while Étoile Carouge keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 matches).

Étoile Carouge scoring profile: very strong

Étoile Carouge scores in 50% of matches (5 of 10 matches), while Aarau keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 10 matches).

15Goals scored (season)8
AarauÉtoile Carouge
18Goals conceded (season)14
AarauÉtoile Carouge
3.3Average goals in match2.2
AarauÉtoile Carouge
9Goals scored (last 5)2
AarauÉtoile Carouge
10Goals conceded (last 5)11
AarauÉtoile Carouge

How often they score at least...

90%1 goal50%
AarauÉtoile Carouge
50%2 goals20%
AarauÉtoile Carouge
10%3 goals10%
AarauÉtoile Carouge
0%4 goals0%
AarauÉtoile Carouge

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal80%
AarauÉtoile Carouge
70%2 goals30%
AarauÉtoile Carouge
10%3 goals20%
AarauÉtoile Carouge
0%4 goals10%
AarauÉtoile Carouge

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

54%
League average

Goal patterns

20%BTTS at half-time30%
AarauÉtoile Carouge
0%BTTS in both halves0%
AarauÉtoile Carouge
20%Scored in both halves10%
AarauÉtoile Carouge

BTTS and goal count

80%Min. 3 goals and BTTS20%
AarauÉtoile Carouge
10%Min. 3 goals without BTTS20%
AarauÉtoile Carouge
100%BTTS - last 540%
AarauÉtoile Carouge

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

70%Min. 1 goal before half-time60%
AarauÉtoile Carouge
40%Min. 2 goals before half-time30%
AarauÉtoile Carouge
10%Min. 3 goals before half-time10%
AarauÉtoile Carouge

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time70%
AarauÉtoile Carouge
60%Min. 2 goals after half-time40%
AarauÉtoile Carouge
40%Min. 3 goals after half-time10%
AarauÉtoile Carouge

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Aarau is 44% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.3 pts / match - Aarau · 0.9 pts / match - Étoile Carouge

Aarau - half-time state
30% leading40% draw30% trailing
Étoile Carouge - half-time state
10% leading60% draw30% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.3Points per match (1st half)0.9
AarauÉtoile Carouge
0.6Goals scored (1st half)0.4
AarauÉtoile Carouge
0.6Goals conceded (1st half)0.6
AarauÉtoile Carouge
1.2Average goals (1st half)1
AarauÉtoile Carouge
60%Clean sheet before half-time50%
AarauÉtoile Carouge
50%No goal before half-time60%
AarauÉtoile Carouge

After half-time (2nd half)

1.3Points per match (2nd half)0.9
AarauÉtoile Carouge
0.9Goals scored (2nd half)0.4
AarauÉtoile Carouge
1.2Goals conceded (2nd half)0.8
AarauÉtoile Carouge
2.1Average goals (2nd half)1.2
AarauÉtoile Carouge
20%Clean sheet after half-time50%
AarauÉtoile Carouge
40%No goal after half-time80%
AarauÉtoile Carouge

Aarau - second-half results

40% W10% D50% L
13
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.30
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.6

Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Étoile Carouge - second-half results

20% W30% D50% L
9
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.90
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at half-time in 10% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Aarau - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.20
Goals scored / match0.81.0
Goals conceded / match0.81.2
Average goals in match1.62.2
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference0-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 0% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4
Étoile Carouge - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.00
Goals scored / match0.40.0
Goals conceded / match0.61.6
Average goals in match1.01.6
1 goal60%100%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%0%
No goal60%100%
Goal difference-1-8
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 0% draw - 100% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Aarau
ScoredConceded
4
3
0-15
0
2
16-30
2
1
31-45
1
6
46-60
5
2
61-75
3
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Étoile Carouge
ScoredConceded
0
2
0-15
2
3
16-30
2
1
31-45
2
3
46-60
1
2
61-75
1
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.75
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
92%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
65%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+24%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
45%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Aarau

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.41
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.71
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.40
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.31
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
85%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
148%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 27% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Étoile Carouge

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.38
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.98
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-1.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.05
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
66%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
80%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.70
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
13% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
13%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Challenge League).

Teams vs league

AarauLigaÉtoile Carouge
Average goals in match▲ 3.302.98▼ 2.20
Both teams scored▲ 90%54%▼ 40%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 90%60%▼ 40%
Clean sheets▼ 0%25%▼ 20%
Goal before half-time▼ 70%78%▼ 60%
Goal after half-time▲ 100%88%▼ 70%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.98
Average goals per match
54%
Both teams scored
60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.76
Home goals / match
1.22
Away goals / match
+44%
Home attack advantage
+31%
Home defence advantage
+14%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
88%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
10%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (5): Aarau 3 - 0 - 2 Étoile Carouge. Average goals 3.40, both teams scored in 60% matches.

FAQ

When do Aarau and Étoile Carouge play?

Aarau face Étoile Carouge on 24 October 2026 in Challenge League. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Aarau and Étoile Carouge?

In the last 5 head-to-head matches Aarau won 3, Étoile Carouge won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.40 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Aarau vs Étoile Carouge?

Aarau score 1.50 goals per game on average and Étoile Carouge 0.80. The Challenge League average is 2.98 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 90% of Aarau's matches and 40% of Étoile Carouge's.

What form are Aarau and Étoile Carouge in?

Over the last 5 games Aarau have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Étoile Carouge 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Aarau vs Étoile Carouge?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Aarau vs Étoile Carouge: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.