AD Marco 09 vs Paredes: match statistics
Full analysis and pick in the app
Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
AD Marco 09 vs Paredes: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
AD Marco 09 play Paredes in Liga 3 (Portugal). The match date is 7 November 2026. Venue: Estádio Municipal do Marco de Canaveses.
Current form
AD Marco 09: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Paredes: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
AD Marco 09 scores 1.00 and concedes 0.63 goals per match. Paredes scores 2.13 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.63 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: AD Marco 09 25%, Paredes 63%. Over 2.5: AD Marco 09 25%, Paredes 75%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Paredes has higher xG: 1.76 vs 1.08. AD Marco 09: 7.6 shots per match, Paredes: 13.0.
Match halves
AD Marco 09: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.75. Paredes: half-time lead 63%, second-half goals 0.75.
Goals by minute
AD Marco 09: 61-75 (4 goals). Paredes: 0-15 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga 3: 2.63 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-3. Average goals 2.75, BTTS 25%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| AD Marco 09 | Paredes | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 44% | 49% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Paredes is 63% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - AD Marco 09 · 2.6 pts / match - Paredes
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Paredes is 113% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - AD Marco 09 · 2.13 goals / match - Paredes
AD Marco 09 is 59% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.63 goals / match - AD Marco 09 · 1 goals / match - Paredes
AD Marco 09 scores in 63% of matches (5 of 8 matches), while Paredes keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 matches).
Paredes scores in 100% of matches (8 of 8 matches), while AD Marco 09 keeps a clean sheet in 63% (5 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - AD Marco 09
Over / Under - Paredes
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Paredes is 60% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.25 pts / match - AD Marco 09 · 2 pts / match - Paredes
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AD Marco 09 - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Paredes - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 63% of matches and wins 75%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 0% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +6 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
AD Marco 09
Paredes
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 3).
Teams vs league
| AD Marco 09 | Liga | Paredes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.63 | 2.63 | ▲ 3.13 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 25% | 53% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 25% | 53% | ▲ 75% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 63% | 29% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 69% | ▲ 88% |
| Goal after half-time | • 75% | 74% | • 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): AD Marco 09 0 - 1 - 3 Paredes. Average goals 2.75, both teams scored in 25% matches.
FAQ
When do AD Marco 09 and Paredes play?
AD Marco 09 face Paredes on 7 November 2026 in Liga 3 at Estádio Municipal do Marco de Canaveses. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between AD Marco 09 and Paredes?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches AD Marco 09 won 0, Paredes won 3 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before AD Marco 09 vs Paredes?
AD Marco 09 score 1.00 goals per game on average and Paredes 2.13. The Liga 3 average is 2.63 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 25% of AD Marco 09's matches and 63% of Paredes's.
What form are AD Marco 09 and Paredes in?
Over the last 5 games AD Marco 09 have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Paredes 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AD Marco 09 vs Paredes?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for AD Marco 09 vs Paredes: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.