Ajax vs Excelsior: match statistics
Full analysis and pick in the app
Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Ajax vs Excelsior: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ajax play Excelsior in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The match date is 19 September 2026. Venue: Johan Cruijff Arena.
Current form
Ajax: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Excelsior: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ajax scores 3.17 and concedes 1.17 goals per match. Excelsior scores 2.17 and concedes 1.17. League average: 3.94 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ajax 67%, Excelsior 67%. Over 2.5: Ajax 83%, Excelsior 100%. League level: BTTS 74%, Over 2.5 80%.
xG, shots and style
Ajax has higher xG: 2.54 vs 1.44. Ajax: 23.3 shots per match, Excelsior: 12.7.
Match halves
Ajax: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 2.00. Excelsior: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Ajax: 76-90+ (6 goals). Excelsior: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eredivisie: 3.94 goals per match, BTTS 74%, Over 2.5 80%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 100%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ajax | Excelsior | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.42 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ajax is 43% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Ajax · 1.4 pts / match - Excelsior
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ajax is 46% better for: goals scored per match.
3.17 goals / match - Ajax · 2.17 goals / match - Excelsior
Ajax scores in 100% of matches (6 of 6 matches), while Excelsior keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 matches).
Excelsior scores in 100% of matches (6 of 6 matches), while Ajax keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ajax
Over / Under - Excelsior
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ajax is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.17 pts / match - Ajax · 1.67 pts / match - Excelsior
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ajax - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Excelsior - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 0% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ajax
Excelsior
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).
Teams vs league
| Ajax | Liga | Excelsior | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.33 | 3.94 | ▼ 3.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 67% | 74% | ▼ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 83% | 80% | ▲ 100% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 14% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 80% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 94% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Ajax 0 - 1 - 1 Excelsior. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
When do Ajax and Excelsior play?
Ajax face Excelsior on 19 September 2026 in Eredivisie at Johan Cruijff Arena. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Ajax and Excelsior?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Ajax won 0, Excelsior won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Ajax vs Excelsior?
Ajax score 3.17 goals per game on average and Excelsior 2.17. The Eredivisie average is 3.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 80% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Ajax's matches and 67% of Excelsior's.
What form are Ajax and Excelsior in?
Over the last 5 games Ajax have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Excelsior 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ajax vs Excelsior?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.