Ajax vs Excelsior: match statistics
Ajax vs Excelsior: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ajax played Excelsior in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The match was played on 19 September 2026. Venue: Johan Cruijff Arena. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Ajax: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Excelsior: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ajax scores 3.17 and concedes 1.17 goals per match. Excelsior scores 2.17 and concedes 1.17. League average: 3.89 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ajax 67%, Excelsior 67%. Over 2.5: Ajax 83%, Excelsior 100%. League level: BTTS 72%, Over 2.5 79%.
xG, shots and style
Ajax has higher xG: 2.54 vs 1.44. Ajax: 23.3 shots per match, Excelsior: 12.7.
Match halves
Ajax: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 2.00. Excelsior: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Ajax: 76-90+ (6 goals). Excelsior: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eredivisie: 3.89 goals per match, BTTS 72%, Over 2.5 79%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ajax are in clearly better overall form: they have won 4 of their last 5 matches and scored 19 goals in that run, while Excelsior have netted 9. The hosts create plenty of chances at home, averaging 21 shots with an xG of 2.06, but their defensive frailties remain a concern: they concede as many as 2.5 goals per home game and have yet to keep a clean sheet. Excelsior are highly effective away from home, averaging 3 goals, converting 20% of their shots and remaining unbeaten in all three matches on the road. The visitors also post stronger defensive numbers away from home, conceding an average of 0.67 goals and keeping 67% clean sheets, although Ajax hold the edge in possession, 54% to 42%. The clash between Ajax’s strong attacking form and Excelsior’s efficiency and solid away organization points most strongly towards a draw in a match featuring goals.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The BTTS - Yes pick is supported by the very high scoring efficiency of both teams in their recent matches, with the percentage of games in which both teams scored standing at 80% for each side. Ajax has averaged 3.8 goals scored across its last five matches, but has also conceded 1.8, while its home-match run has produced BTTS in 100% of cases and not a single clean sheet. Excelsior’s current attacking output is significantly better than its cautious away profile would suggest: it averages 6.67 shots on target, scores 3.0 goals away from home, and has an xG of 1.62. The hosts allow opponents an xG of 1.58, while Excelsior has conceded an average of 1.4 goals in its last five matches, further strengthening the chances of both sides finding the net. An additional argument is the league average of 3.91 goals per match and a BTTS rate of 74%, although Excelsior’s 67% away clean-sheet rate limits confidence in the pick.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The profile of this fixture clearly points towards goals: both teams have gone over 1.5 and 2.5 goals in 100% of their matches so far. Ajax have averaged 3.8 goals scored in their last five appearances, supported by a very high xG of 2.41, while Excelsior have scored 1.8 goals per game over the same period. Away from home, the visitors average 15.33 shots and 6.67 shots on target, while Ajax have conceded an average of 1.8 goals across their last five matches. An additional argument is the league average of 3.91 goals per game, with 79% of matches finishing over 2.5 goals. However, Over 1.5 goals remains the strongest pick, as even with more conservative finishing, the data for both teams strongly supports at least two goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Ajax are in considerably better current form, having won 4 of their last 5 matches while averaging 3.8 goals, whereas Excelsior have won twice during this period and conceded an average of 1.4 goals. The hosts led at the break in 3 of their last 5 matches, and their average of 1.2 goals before half-time exceeds Excelsior’s 0.8. After the interval, Ajax step up their performance further, averaging 2.6 goals across their last five matches while conceding just 0.8. Excelsior nevertheless have solid away-season statistics, including a 67% clean-sheet rate and an average of 2.0 goals before half-time, making a draw at half-time followed by an Ajax win at full-time a significant alternative. The strongest scenario, however, is Ajax taking the lead in the first half and maintaining their advantage until the final whistle.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ajax | Excelsior | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.42 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ajax is 43% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Ajax · 1.4 pts / match - Excelsior
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ajax is 46% better for: goals scored per match.
3.17 goals / match - Ajax · 2.17 goals / match - Excelsior
Ajax scores in 100% of matches (6 of 6 matches), while Excelsior keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 matches).
Excelsior scores in 100% of matches (6 of 6 matches), while Ajax keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ajax
Over / Under - Excelsior
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ajax is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.17 pts / match - Ajax · 1.67 pts / match - Excelsior
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ajax - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Excelsior - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 0% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ajax
Excelsior
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).
Teams vs league
| Ajax | Liga | Excelsior | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.33 | 3.89 | ▼ 3.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 67% | 72% | ▼ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 83% | 79% | ▲ 100% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 15% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 81% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 95% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Ajax 0 - 1 - 1 Excelsior. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ajax vs Excelsior?
The Eredivisie match finished Ajax 2:2 Excelsior. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Ajax and Excelsior?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Ajax won 0, Excelsior won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Ajax vs Excelsior?
Ajax score 3.17 goals per game on average and Excelsior 2.17. The Eredivisie average is 3.89 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 79% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Ajax's matches and 67% of Excelsior's.
What form are Ajax and Excelsior in?
Over the last 5 games Ajax have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Excelsior 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ajax vs Excelsior?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.