AlbinoLeffe vs Pergolettese: match statistics
AlbinoLeffe vs Pergolettese: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
AlbinoLeffe played Pergolettese in Serie C Group A (Italy). The match was played on 30 October 2026. Venue: Gewiss Stadium. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
AlbinoLeffe: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Pergolettese: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
AlbinoLeffe scores 1.45 and concedes 1.36 goals per match. Pergolettese scores 0.91 and concedes 0.82. League average: 2.43 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: AlbinoLeffe 73%, Pergolettese 36%. Over 2.5: AlbinoLeffe 55%, Pergolettese 36%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
AlbinoLeffe has higher xG: 1.50 vs 1.39. AlbinoLeffe: 11.6 shots per match, Pergolettese: 12.0.
Match halves
AlbinoLeffe: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.73. Pergolettese: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.64.
Goals by minute
AlbinoLeffe: 46-60 (4 goals). Pergolettese: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group A: 2.43 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Pergolettese are in better form, winning 3 of their last 5 matches and drawing 2, while AlbinoLeffe have managed just 1 win over the same period. The hosts have failed to win any of their 5 home matches, whereas the visitors have won 33% of their away games. Pergolettese also have the defensive edge: away from home, they concede an average of 1 goal and keep a clean sheet in half of their matches, while AlbinoLeffe concede 1.4 goals per game at home and have yet to keep a clean sheet. The hosts create slightly better chances on their own ground, posting an xG of 1.54 compared with their opponents’ away xG of 1.36, although both teams average 1 goal in these conditions. The high draw rates—60% for AlbinoLeffe at home and 50% for Pergolettese away—increase the likelihood of the points being shared, but current form and the visitors’ stronger defensive record point in their favour.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
In the last 5 matches, both teams scored in 80% of games, a clear shift from their season figures of 40% and 33%. AlbinoLeffe have recently averaged 1.4 goals per match, while Pergolettese have averaged 1.8; they have also conceded 1.4 and 1.2 goals respectively. Their recent attacking xG also supports the prospect of both teams finding the net: 1.63 for the hosts and 1.78 for the visitors. The BTTS - Yes pick remains a moderate one, as AlbinoLeffe have failed to score in 60% of their matches this season and Pergolettese in 50%, but their current attacking form outweighs that risk.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal points to Under 3.5 goals: this line has not been breached in any AlbinoLeffe match, and in 67% of Pergolettese matches. The hosts average 0.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded at home, while the visitors average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded away. However, the teams’ last five matches have produced more goals: AlbinoLeffe averaged 2.8 goals in total, and Pergolettese 3.0, which argues against an overly low forecast. Their average xG—1.43 for the hosts and 1.36 for the visitors—also points to greater attacking potential than the goal figures alone suggest. I therefore project 2.45 goals in total and select Under 3.5 goals, although recent form limits confidence in this prediction.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely starting point: AlbinoLeffe were level at the break in 3 of their 5 home matches and averaged just 0.4 goals in first halves. Pergolettese also rarely take the lead early, having done so once in 6 away matches and averaging 0.17 goals before half-time. After the break, however, the advantage shifts to the visitors: in their last 5 matches, they averaged 1.4 goals in second halves, while AlbinoLeffe conceded 0.8 per second half. Pergolettese have won 3 of their last 5 matches and have not lost any, whereas the hosts have won just once in that span. Therefore, a draw at half-time followed by an away win at full-time is the best-supported scenario, although AlbinoLeffe's 60% home half-time draw rate and Pergolettese's 50% away full-time draw rate point to a significant risk of the match remaining level.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| AlbinoLeffe | Pergolettese | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 25% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Pergolettese is 83% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - AlbinoLeffe · 2.2 pts / match - Pergolettese
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AlbinoLeffe is 59% better for: goals scored per match.
1.45 goals / match - AlbinoLeffe · 0.91 goals / match - Pergolettese
Pergolettese is 66% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.36 goals / match - AlbinoLeffe · 0.82 goals / match - Pergolettese
AlbinoLeffe scores in 73% of matches (8 of 11 matches), while Pergolettese keeps a clean sheet in 45% (5 of 11 matches).
Pergolettese scores in 45% of matches (5 of 11 matches), while AlbinoLeffe keeps a clean sheet in 18% (2 of 11 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - AlbinoLeffe
Over / Under - Pergolettese
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
AlbinoLeffe is 27% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.27 pts / match - AlbinoLeffe · 1 pts / match - Pergolettese
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AlbinoLeffe - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Pergolettese - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
AlbinoLeffe
Pergolettese
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).
Teams vs league
| AlbinoLeffe | Liga | Pergolettese | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.82 | 2.43 | ▼ 1.73 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 73% | 55% | ▼ 36% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 55% | 53% | ▼ 36% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 30% | ▲ 45% |
| Goal before half-time | • 64% | 65% | ▼ 55% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 75% | ▼ 55% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): AlbinoLeffe 1 - 1 - 0 Pergolettese. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of AlbinoLeffe vs Pergolettese?
The Serie C Group A match finished AlbinoLeffe 3:2 Pergolettese. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between AlbinoLeffe and Pergolettese?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches AlbinoLeffe won 1, Pergolettese won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before AlbinoLeffe vs Pergolettese?
AlbinoLeffe score 1.45 goals per game on average and Pergolettese 0.91. The Serie C Group A average is 2.43 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 73% of AlbinoLeffe's matches and 36% of Pergolettese's.
What form are AlbinoLeffe and Pergolettese in?
Over the last 5 games AlbinoLeffe have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Pergolettese 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AlbinoLeffe vs Pergolettese?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for AlbinoLeffe vs Pergolettese: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.