Alloa Athletic vs Inverness CT: match statistics
Inverness CT hold a clear advantage as the league leaders with an impressive record of 18 wins this season and excellent form in their last five matches (2.2 points per game). The visitors are characterized by exceptional defensive solidity with 64% clean sheets away from home and an average of just 0.64 goals conceded. Alloa Athletic, despite decent home form (57% win rate), fall short in key statistics – lower xG (1.29 vs 1.42) and weaker recent form (1.8 PPG). Inverness's advantage in possession (54% vs 50%) and better defensive efficiency (19 goals conceded all season compared to the hosts' 28) further support the prediction of an away win. The difference in league position (1st place vs 3rd place) and Inverness CT's superior away performance speak in favor of their success in this match.
Alloa Athletic vs Inverness CT: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Alloa Athletic played Inverness CT in League One (Scotland). The match was played on 21 March 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Alloa Athletic: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Inverness CT: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Alloa Athletic scores 1.52 and concedes 0.97 goals per match. Inverness CT scores 1.76 and concedes 0.66. League average: 2.66 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Alloa Athletic 41%, Inverness CT 41%. Over 2.5: Alloa Athletic 48%, Inverness CT 45%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Inverness CT has higher xG: 1.73 vs 1.28. Alloa Athletic: 9.8 shots per match, Inverness CT: 13.9.
Match halves
Alloa Athletic: half-time lead 34%, second-half goals 0.93. Inverness CT: half-time lead 48%, second-half goals 0.93.
Goals by minute
Alloa Athletic: 76-90+ (10 goals). Inverness CT: 61-75 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.66 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-2. Average goals 2.33, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Inverness CT hold a clear advantage as the league leaders with an impressive record of 18 wins this season and excellent form in their last five matches (2.2 points per game). The visitors are characterized by exceptional defensive solidity with 64% clean sheets away from home and an average of just 0.64 goals conceded. Alloa Athletic, despite decent home form (57% win rate), fall short in key statistics – lower xG (1.29 vs 1.42) and weaker recent form (1.8 PPG). Inverness's advantage in possession (54% vs 50%) and better defensive efficiency (19 goals conceded all season compared to the hosts' 28) further support the prediction of an away win. The difference in league position (1st place vs 3rd place) and Inverness CT's superior away performance speak in favor of their success in this match.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Alloa Athletic | Inverness CT | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 50% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Inverness CT is 16% better for: goals scored per match.
1.52 goals / match - Alloa Athletic · 1.76 goals / match - Inverness CT
Inverness CT is 47% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.97 goals / match - Alloa Athletic · 0.66 goals / match - Inverness CT
Alloa Athletic scores in 72% of matches (21 of 29 matches), while Inverness CT keeps a clean sheet in 55% (16 of 29 matches).
Inverness CT scores in 90% of matches (26 of 29 matches), while Alloa Athletic keeps a clean sheet in 41% (12 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Alloa Athletic
Over / Under - Inverness CT
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Inverness CT is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.48 pts / match - Alloa Athletic · 1.86 pts / match - Inverness CT
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Alloa Athletic - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 34% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Inverness CT - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 48% of matches and wins 62%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Alloa Athletic
Inverness CT
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Alloa Athletic | Liga | Inverness CT | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.48 | 2.66 | ▼ 2.41 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 41% | 49% | ▼ 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 48% | 52% | ▼ 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 41% | 29% | ▲ 55% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 62% | 75% | ▼ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 81% | ▼ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Alloa Athletic 0 - 1 - 2 Inverness CT. Average goals 2.33, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Alloa Athletic vs Inverness CT?
The League One match finished Alloa Athletic 1:1 Inverness CT. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Alloa Athletic and Inverness CT?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Alloa Athletic won 0, Inverness CT won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Alloa Athletic vs Inverness CT?
Alloa Athletic score 1.52 goals per game on average and Inverness CT 1.76. The League One average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Alloa Athletic's matches and 41% of Inverness CT's.
What form are Alloa Athletic and Inverness CT in?
Over the last 5 games Alloa Athletic have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Inverness CT 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Alloa Athletic vs Inverness CT?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.