Scotland - League OneData current as of 12 September 2026

Inverness CT vs Alloa Athletic: match statistics

Inverness CT crest
Inverness CT
3 : 1half-time 0:1
Alloa Athletic crest
Alloa Athletic
165%(1.50)
X22%(3.65)
213%(5.80)

Inverness CT presents dominant form at their own stadium with 78% of home matches won and an impressive goal record of 34:12 for the season. The hosts stand out with offensive efficiency, scoring an average of 2.22 goals per home match while conceding just 0.56, confirmed by 67% clean sheets. Alloa Athletic, despite a decent table position, struggles significantly on the road—only 40% wins and a high rate of 40% of matches without scoring a goal. xG statistics also favor the hosts (2.05 vs 1.30), and the difference in quality between Inverness's home play and Alloa's away play is distinct. The weaker recent form of both teams (1.2 and 1.0 PPG) does not change the fact that Inverness remains the decisive favorite for this clash on their home turf.

Inverness CT vs Alloa Athletic: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Inverness CT played Alloa Athletic in League One (Scotland). The match was played on 24 January 2026. Final score: 3:1.

Current form

Inverness CT: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Alloa Athletic: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Inverness CT scores 1.70 and concedes 0.60 goals per match. Alloa Athletic scores 1.29 and concedes 0.62. League average: 2.59 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Inverness CT 30%, Alloa Athletic 29%. Over 2.5: Inverness CT 40%, Alloa Athletic 33%. League level: BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 52%.

xG, shots and style

Inverness CT has higher xG: 1.74 vs 1.23. Inverness CT: 13.9 shots per match, Alloa Athletic: 9.3.

Match halves

Inverness CT: half-time lead 45%, second-half goals 0.90. Alloa Athletic: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.76.

Goals by minute

Inverness CT: 61-75 (8 goals). Alloa Athletic: 46-60 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League One: 2.59 goals per match, BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 52%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 50%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Inverness CT presents dominant form at their own stadium with 78% of home matches won and an impressive goal record of 34:12 for the season. The hosts stand out with offensive efficiency, scoring an average of 2.22 goals per home match while conceding just 0.56, confirmed by 67% clean sheets. Alloa Athletic, despite a decent table position, struggles significantly on the road—only 40% wins and a high rate of 40% of matches without scoring a goal. xG statistics also favor the hosts (2.05 vs 1.30), and the difference in quality between Inverness's home play and Alloa's away play is distinct. The weaker recent form of both teams (1.2 and 1.0 PPG) does not change the fact that Inverness remains the decisive favorite for this clash on their home turf.

View the statistical overview

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
3 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

66Possession (%)34
Inverness CTAlloa Athletic
15Shots4
Inverness CTAlloa Athletic
6Shots on target1
Inverness CTAlloa Athletic
1.83xG0.44
Inverness CTAlloa Athletic
8Corners1
Inverness CTAlloa Athletic
65Dangerous attacks16
Inverness CTAlloa Athletic
12Fouls12
Inverness CTAlloa Athletic
2Cards2
Inverness CTAlloa Athletic

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Inverness CTAlloa Athletic
1.7Goals scored / match1.29
Inverness CTAlloa Athletic
0.6Goals conceded / match0.62
Inverness CTAlloa Athletic
54%Average possession51%
Inverness CTAlloa Athletic
6.1Shots on target / match4.86
Inverness CTAlloa Athletic

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.95Shots per match9.29
Inverness CTAlloa Athletic
6.1Shots on target4.86
Inverness CTAlloa Athletic
12.2%Shot conversion13.8%
Inverness CTAlloa Athletic
54%Possession51%
Inverness CTAlloa Athletic
1.74xG for1.23
Inverness CTAlloa Athletic
0.81xG against1.12
Inverness CTAlloa Athletic

Shooting quality

Inverness CT: BalancedAlloa Athletic: Efficient finishing
Inverness CTAlloa Athletic
Accuracy (shots on target)44%52%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.280.27

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Inverness CT is 40% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Inverness CT · 1 pts / match - Alloa Athletic

Inverness CT
WLLDW
Season result split
65% W15% D20% L
Season (W-D-L)
13-3-4
2.10 pts / match · goal difference +22
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-1-1
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
DWWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.24Opponent xG: 0.65BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%
Alloa Athletic
LLDDW
Season result split
48% W24% D29% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-5-6
1.67 pts / match · goal difference +14
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-2-4
Last 5 away
2-2-1
WWDLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.26Opponent xG: 1.08BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Inverness CT is 32% better for: goals scored per match.

1.7 goals / match - Inverness CT · 1.29 goals / match - Alloa Athletic

Inverness CT scoring profile: strong

Inverness CT scores in 90% of matches (18 of 20 matches), while Alloa Athletic keeps a clean sheet in 48% (10 of 21 matches).

Alloa Athletic scoring profile: more difficult

Alloa Athletic scores in 62% of matches (13 of 21 matches), while Inverness CT keeps a clean sheet in 65% (13 of 20 matches).

34Goals scored (season)27
Inverness CTAlloa Athletic
12Goals conceded (season)13
Inverness CTAlloa Athletic
2.3Average goals in match1.9
Inverness CTAlloa Athletic
7Goals scored (last 5)5
Inverness CTAlloa Athletic
3Goals conceded (last 5)5
Inverness CTAlloa Athletic

How often they score at least...

90%1 goal62%
Inverness CTAlloa Athletic
45%2 goals33%
Inverness CTAlloa Athletic
20%3 goals19%
Inverness CTAlloa Athletic
15%4 goals14%
Inverness CTAlloa Athletic

How often they concede at least...

35%1 goal52%
Inverness CTAlloa Athletic
20%2 goals10%
Inverness CTAlloa Athletic
5%3 goals0%
Inverness CTAlloa Athletic
0%4 goals0%
Inverness CTAlloa Athletic

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

42%
League average

Goal patterns

15%BTTS at half-time10%
Inverness CTAlloa Athletic
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Inverness CTAlloa Athletic
35%Scored in both halves29%
Inverness CTAlloa Athletic

BTTS and goal count

25%Min. 3 goals and BTTS19%
Inverness CTAlloa Athletic
15%Min. 3 goals without BTTS14%
Inverness CTAlloa Athletic
20%BTTS - last 540%
Inverness CTAlloa Athletic

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

65%Min. 1 goal before half-time52%
Inverness CTAlloa Athletic
35%Min. 2 goals before half-time24%
Inverness CTAlloa Athletic
5%Min. 3 goals before half-time5%
Inverness CTAlloa Athletic

2nd half

85%Min. 1 goal after half-time76%
Inverness CTAlloa Athletic
30%Min. 2 goals after half-time19%
Inverness CTAlloa Athletic
10%Min. 3 goals after half-time14%
Inverness CTAlloa Athletic

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Inverness CT is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.8 pts / match - Inverness CT · 1.38 pts / match - Alloa Athletic

Inverness CT - half-time state
45% leading45% draw10% trailing
Alloa Athletic - half-time state
29% leading52% draw19% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.8Points per match (1st half)1.38
Inverness CTAlloa Athletic
0.8Goals scored (1st half)0.52
Inverness CTAlloa Athletic
0.25Goals conceded (1st half)0.29
Inverness CTAlloa Athletic
1.05Average goals (1st half)0.81
Inverness CTAlloa Athletic
80%Clean sheet before half-time76%
Inverness CTAlloa Athletic
40%No goal before half-time62%
Inverness CTAlloa Athletic

After half-time (2nd half)

1.95Points per match (2nd half)1.71
Inverness CTAlloa Athletic
0.9Goals scored (2nd half)0.76
Inverness CTAlloa Athletic
0.35Goals conceded (2nd half)0.33
Inverness CTAlloa Athletic
1.25Average goals (2nd half)1.1
Inverness CTAlloa Athletic
75%Clean sheet after half-time67%
Inverness CTAlloa Athletic
35%No goal after half-time48%
Inverness CTAlloa Athletic

Inverness CT - second-half results

60% W15% D25% L
36
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
+11
Goal difference (1st half)
39
Second-half points
+11
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.80
PPG before half-time
Lead holding144%

Leads at half-time in 45% of matches and wins 65%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Alloa Athletic - second-half results

48% W29% D24% L
29
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
36
Second-half points
+9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.38
PPG before half-time
Lead holding166%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Inverness CT - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.40
Goals scored / match0.60.8
Goals conceded / match0.00.6
Average goals in match0.61.4
1 goal40%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%60%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference+3+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
Alloa Athletic - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.20
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match0.81.2
1 goal60%60%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Inverness CT
ScoredConceded
6
1
0-15
3
2
16-30
7
2
31-45
6
1
46-60
8
4
61-75
4
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Alloa Athletic
ScoredConceded
3
3
0-15
4
2
16-30
4
1
31-45
7
0
46-60
5
2
61-75
4
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.10
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 0.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
81%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
30%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-29%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
56%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Inverness CT

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.93
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.17
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-11.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.04
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.21
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
121%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
50%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.70
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
12% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 18% come in the first quarter-hour.
12%

Alloa Athletic

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.11
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.56
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-16.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.06
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.50
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
108%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
44%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.67
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).

Teams vs league

Inverness CTLigaAlloa Athletic
Average goals in match 2.302.59 1.90
Both teams scored 30%42% 29%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 40%52% 33%
Clean sheets 65%32% 48%
Goal before half-time 65%72% 52%
Goal after half-time 85%80% 76%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.59
Average goals per match
42%
Both teams scored
52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
32%
Clean sheets
1.40
Home goals / match
1.19
Away goals / match
+18%
Home attack advantage
+15%
Home defence advantage
+11%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Alloa AthleticGoalLewis StewartAssist: Luke Donnelly
  2. Inverness CTGoalChanka ZimbaAssist: Alfie Stewart
  3. Inverness CTYellow cardDaniel Devine
  4. Inverness CTYellow cardAlfie Bavidge
  5. Alloa AthleticYellow cardCalum Adamson
  6. Alloa AthleticYellow cardCharlie Dewar
  7. Inverness CTGoalJordan AlongeAssist: Alfie Stewart
  8. Inverness CTGoalChanka ZimbaAssist: Alfie Bavidge
  9. Inverness CTSubstitutionOn: Paul AllanOff: Adam Mackinnon
  10. Alloa AthleticSubstitutionOn: Andrew ClarkeOff: Calum Adamson
  11. Inverness CTSubstitutionOn: Joe ChalmersOff: Jordan Alonge

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Inverness CT 1 - 1 - 0 Alloa Athletic. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Alloa Athletic FC
1 : 1
Inverness Caledonian Thistle FC
Inverness Caledonian Thistle FC
1 : 0
Alloa Athletic FC

FAQ

What was the result of Inverness CT vs Alloa Athletic?

The League One match finished Inverness CT 3:1 Alloa Athletic. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Inverness CT and Alloa Athletic?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Inverness CT won 1, Alloa Athletic won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Inverness CT vs Alloa Athletic?

Inverness CT score 1.70 goals per game on average and Alloa Athletic 1.29. The League One average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 30% of Inverness CT's matches and 29% of Alloa Athletic's.

What form are Inverness CT and Alloa Athletic in?

Over the last 5 games Inverness CT have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Alloa Athletic 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Inverness CT vs Alloa Athletic?

The statistical background for Inverness CT vs Alloa Athletic — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.